Rayo Vallecano vs Girona preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga
Rayo VallecanoRAY
GironaGIR
KICKOFF :
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rayo Vallecano host Girona in La Liga (Regular Season) at Estadio de Vallecas. Domestically, Rayo Vallecano sit 11th in the table while Girona are 17th. Power ranking favours Rayo Vallecano by 3.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rayo Vallecano possesses a 3.7-point power advantage over Girona with scores of 78.89 to 75.2 and occupies 11th place versus Girona's 17th.
  • Form: Both teams have form scores of 0 with no recent outings or records available.
  • Squad: Rayo Vallecano's higher power rating and league position indicate superior squad depth compared to Girona.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent as data not enabled for this fixture.
  • Market: Rayo Vallecano 36.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.2% (Δ+0%) | Girona 33.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
VS
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Getafe Rank: 77 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Mallorca Rank: 77 L
Elche Rank: 74 W
FC Barcelona Rank: 97 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: 75 L
Valencia Rank: 76 L
Real Betis Rank: 80 L
Real Madrid Rank: 93 D
Villarreal Rank: 84 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 7 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rayo Vallecano
36.8%
Draw
30.15%
Away Girona
33.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.89
75.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Power Score
78.89
75.2
League Position
11
17
Global Rank
72
112

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rayo Vallecano Girona

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Vallecas
Capacity
14708
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Guillermo Cuadra Fernández
Guadalupe Porras Ayuso
Alejandro Estévez Iglesias
?. Rodríguez Recio

Lineup

Referee : Guillermo Cuadra Fernández

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
6.91
20
Iván Balliu
Iván Balliu Defender
6.53
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
7.09
32
Nobel Mendy
Nobel Mendy Defender
6.79
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
Jozhua Vertrouwd Defender
6.49
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
6.89
10
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello Midfielder
6.61
15
Gerard Gumbau
Gerard Gumbau Midfielder
6.66
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Attacker
6.62
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Attacker
6.91
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino Attacker
6.69
Referee : Guillermo Cuadra Fernández

Starting XI ▼

13
Paulo Gazzaniga
Paulo Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
6.85
4
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez Defender
6.88
12
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis Defender
6.88
16
Alejandro Francés
Alejandro Francés Defender
6.7
17
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Defender
6.85
8
Fran Beltrán
Fran Beltrán Midfielder
6.68
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Midfielder
7.26
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Midfielder
6.83
3
Joel Roca
Joel Roca Attacker
6.57
14
Claudio Echeverri
Claudio Echeverri Attacker
6.74
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Attacker
7.12

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Rayo Vallecano holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Rayo Vallecano a 3.7-point edge. External projection is Rayo Vallecano 39.3%, draw 28.9%, and Girona 31.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.