Rangers vs Hibernian preview

Scotland flag 2026/2027 Premiership, Scotland
Ibrox Stadium Sun, 9 Aug - 3:00 PM
Premiership
RangersRAN
1 2
HibernianHIB
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 3:00 PM
Round 2 1st Phase
Miguel Chaiwa - 85' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
Josh Campbell - 12' (P)
Callum Wright - 90+3'

CONTEXT

Rangers welcomed Hibernian for what was expected to be a straightforward encounter given the home side's status as the stronger team. However, the visitors emerged victorious with a 1-2 scoreline. Hibernian led 0-1 at halftime after scoring in the first period. Rangers controlled the game with 76 percent possession and created 2.17 expected goals against Hibernian's 1.65. Despite these advantages the home team only managed one goal while the away side found the net twice. No red cards were issued during the contest. The result represented a significant deviation from the anticipated outcome based on pre-match assessments. Hibernian demonstrated clinical finishing to secure the win on the road.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Rangers 1-2 Hibernian. Hibernian showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with performance metrics for both sides.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment revealed inconsistency as Rangers lost despite 2.17 xG to 1.65.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true with the final outcome matching projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations favored Rangers to win based on their higher expected goals.
  • Event impact: Event impact stayed minimal without disruptions altering the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion remained absent as no red cards were issued.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Robertson
D. Robertson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. MacLeod
R. MacLeod
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Spence
C. Spence
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Steven
C. Steven
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Rangers D. McInnes
D. McInnes
VS
Hibernian D. Gray
D. Gray
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dundee United Rank: 66 D
Falkirk Rank: 65 W
Hibernian Rank: 71 L
Celtic Rank: 83 L
Hearts Rank: 74 L
Motherwell Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motherwell Rank: 72 L
Motherwell Rank: 71 L
Rangers Rank: 76 W
Falkirk Rank: 65 W
Celtic Rank: 83 L
Hearts Rank: 74 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.06
70.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rangers
Hibernian
Power Score
76.06
70.79
League Position
9
7
Global Rank
138
249

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score
Hibernian — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rangers Hibernian

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rangers

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hibernian

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rangers ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hibernian
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.46
38.33
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.33
40.46
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rangers — Efficiency Index
vs
Hibernian — Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rangers
Hibernian
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rangers
vs
Hibernian
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rangers Hibernian
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
18%
78%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.40 vs -0.29
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rangers Hibernian
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
78%
18%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.29 vs -0.40
Rangers
Hibernian
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rangers
vs
Hibernian
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rangers Hibernian
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rangers 0.22
Hibernian 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rangers Hibernian
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rangers 0.08
Hibernian 0.01
Rangers
Hibernian
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RAN had peak pressure around 98'.
  • RAN started the game with stronger pressure.
RAN Pressure HIB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RAN reached the top pressure at 98' (70.33).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rangers RAN Home
8 matches
Hibernian HIB Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
9
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T07:48:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Premiership, Scotland · Round 2 · 1st Phase
Stadium
Ibrox Stadium
Capacity
50817
Attendance
50893
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Don Robertson
Ross MacLeod
Calum Spence
Colin Steven

Statistics

Possession
RAN
69%
HIB
31%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 3
9 Shots 3
115 Dangerous attacks 24
76 Possession 24
7 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

103 Ball Safe 92
0 Penalties 1
8 Goal Kicks 14
15 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
32 Throwins 13
1 Hit Woodwork 0
19 Successful Headers 18
0 Assists 1
2 Injuries 0
19 Dribble Attempts 9
8 Successful Dribbles 3
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

138 Attacks 74
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

62 Long Passes 54
664 Passes 214
590 Successful Passes 144
89 Successful Passes Percentage 67
20 Key Passes 6
40 Successful Long Passes 26
65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

Defensive

0 Saves 8
18 Tackles 22
6 Interceptions 11
57 Duels Won 53

Build-up

38 Total Crosses 12
10 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

12 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Don Robertson

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
6.16
22
Vanja Dragojevic
Vanja Dragojevic Defender
6.26
10
Mohamed Diomandé
Mohamed Diomandé
Midfielder46'
6.76
24
Olwethu Makhanya
Olwethu Makhanya Defender
7
25
Tuur Rommens
Tuur Rommens Defender
6.86
37
Emmanuel Fernandez
Emmanuel Fernandez Defender
7.48
14
Cammy Devlin
Cammy Devlin Midfielder
7.43
17
Daisuke Yokota
Daisuke Yokota Midfielder
7.15
23
Djeidi Gassama
Djeidi Gassama
Attacker68'
6.78
43
Nicolas Raskin
Nicolas Raskin Midfielder
6.76
11
Thelo Aasgaard
Thelo Aasgaard
Midfielder68'
6.45
52
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis Midfielder
7.47
2
Ross McCrorie
Ross McCrorie
Defender79'
6.33
7
Lawrence Shankland
Lawrence Shankland (C) Attacker
7.39
9
Youssef Chermiti
Youssef Chermiti Attacker
6.56
20
Ryan Naderi
Ryan Naderi
Attacker36'
6.96
Referee : Don Robertson

Starting XI ▼

1
Raphael Sallinger
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper
8.18
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora (C) Defender
6.73
6
Jason Kerr
Jason Kerr Defender
7.24
21
Jordan Obita
Jordan Obita Defender
7.01
27
Kanayo Megwa
Kanayo Megwa Defender
6.96
25
Felix Passlack
Felix Passlack
Defender76'
5.47
3
Adam Mayor
Adam Mayor Midfielder
6.99
7
Owen Elding
Owen Elding
Attacker90'
8
Josh Mulligan
Josh Mulligan Midfielder
6.41
14
Miguel Chaiwa
Miguel Chaiwa Midfielder
6.52
22
Ante Suto
Ante Suto Midfielder
6.55
17
Jamie McGrath
Jamie McGrath
Midfielder57'
6.44
32
Josh Campbell
Josh Campbell Midfielder
7.12
23
Callum Wright
Callum Wright
Midfielder57'
7.34
18
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé Attacker
6.65
9
Nathan Lowe
Nathan Lowe
Attacker57'
6.89

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Callum Wright
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
90'
Event
Owen Elding → Adam Mayor
10th Substitution
Event
Miguel Chaiwa
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
85'
Event
Ross McCrorie → Findlay Curtis
9th Substitution
79'
76'
Event
Felix Passlack → Kanayo Megwa
8th Substitution
Event
Thelo Aasgaard → Nicolas Raskin
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Djeidi Gassama → Daisuke Yokota
7th Substitution
68'
57'
Event
Nathan Lowe → Thibault Klidjé
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Jamie McGrath → Ante Suto
4th Substitution
57'
Event
Callum Wright → Josh Campbell
5th Substitution
Event
Mohamed Diomandé → Vanja Dragojevic
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Ante Suto
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Ryan Naderi → Youssef Chermiti
1st Substitution
36'
12'
Event
Josh Campbell
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Vanja Dragojevic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
11'
10'
Event
Thibault Klidjé
Penalty awarded

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Don Naderi takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Don Naderi's header is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lawrence Shankland takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Match ends with a score of 1-2.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Callum Wright scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Nathan Lowe.
90
Attempt Attempt
Djeidi Gassama takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Update Update
Owen Elding replaces Adam Mayor.
88
Attempt Attempt
Lawrence Shankland's header is saved.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Miguel Chaiwa results in an own goal.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Miguel Chaiwa levels the score at 1-1.
82
Attempt Attempt
Diomande Mohammed takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
81
Attempt Attempt
Djeidi Gassama takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Update Update
On Ross McCrorie, off Findlay Curtis.
78
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Don Naderi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
77
Attempt Attempt
Jamie McGrath takes a right-footed shot but misses.
76
Substitution Substitution
Felix Passlack is substituted for Kanayo Megwa.
76
Attempt Attempt
Thelo Aasgaard takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Diomande Mohammed takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
68
Update Update
Djeidi Gassama is on, and Daisuke Yokota is off.
68
Update Update
On comes Thelo Aasgaard, off goes Nicolas Raskin.
62
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Fernandez takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Lawrence Shankland takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
59
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Raskin takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Substitution Substitution
Nathan Lowe is substituted for Thibault Klidje.
57
Substitution Substitution
Callum Wright is substituted for Josh Campbell.
57
Update Update
Emmanuel Fernandez attempts a header, but it is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Lawrence Shankland takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Raskin takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Diomande Mohammed takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Findlay Curtis takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Findlay Curtis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Diomande Mohammed comes on for Vanja Dragojevic.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ante Suto receives a yellow card.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ante Suto's left-footed shot is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Josh Mulligan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Josh Mulligan takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Josh Campbell takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Raskin takes a left-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Daisuke Yokota takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Update Update
First half ends with the score at 0-1.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Update Update
Ryan Don Naderi replaces Youssef Chermiti.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Attempt Attempt
Youssef Chermiti takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Vanja Dragojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Devlin takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Youssef Chermiti takes a left-footed shot but misses.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Josh Campbell takes a right-footed shot and scores.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Josh Campbell scores, making it 0-1.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Josh Campbell scores, making it 0-1.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vanja Dragojevic.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

The final whistle confirmed Hibernian's 1-2 triumph over Rangers in a match filled with statistical contrasts. Rangers dominated possession at 76 percent and held an xG advantage of 2.17 to 1.65 yet could not translate this into a win. Hibernian led from the first half and maintained their advantage through resolute defending and opportunistic scoring. The absence of red cards allowed both sides to play their full complement of players throughout the ninety minutes. This result highlights how efficiency in key moments can outweigh overall territorial control. Rangers will need to address their finishing to avoid similar disappointments moving forward. Hibernian on the other hand can take confidence from this performance against a traditionally stronger opponent.