Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Raków Wed, 13 May - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 6:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Raków Częstochowa host Jagiellonia Białystok in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Raków. Domestically, Raków Częstochowa sit 3th in the table while Jagiellonia Białystok are 2th. Power ranking favours Raków Częstochowa by 4.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Raków Częstochowa possesses a 4.1-point power advantage with 69.42 rating over Jagiellonia Białystok's 65.3 at Stadion Raków.
  • Form: Raków enters with stronger form score of 27.56 versus Jagiellonia's 18.89.
  • Squad: Raków ranks 3rd domestically while Jagiellonia holds 2nd in Ekstraklasa standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis limited by absent detailed metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence using proxy data without xG availability.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to data constraints for matchup.
  • Market: Raków Częstochowa 44.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.8% (Δ+0%) | Jagiellonia Białystok 28.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Raków Częstochowa D. Kroczek
D. Kroczek
VS
Jagiellonia Białystok A. Siemieniec
A. Siemieniec
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Korona Kielce Rank: 61 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 61 D
Widzew Lodz Rank: 61 D
Legia Warszawa Rank: 66 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 63 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 66 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 57 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 56 L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Raków Częstochowa
44.54%
Draw
26.79%
Away Jagiellonia Białystok
28.66%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.42
65.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia Białystok
Power Score
69.42
65.3
League Position
3
2
Global Rank
227
329

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Jagiellonia Białystok — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Raków Częstochowa Jagiellonia Białystok

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa Home
13 matches
Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok Away
Match Record
7
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
7
Goals
25
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
25
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:05:30+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. Trelowski
1 K. Trelowski
F. Tudor
7 F. Tudor
B. Racovitan
25 B. Racovitan
E. Svarnas
4 E. Svarnas
M. Ameyaw
19 M. Ameyaw
O. Repka
6 O. Repka
M. Bulat
5 M. Bulat
A. Amorim Santos
11 A. Amorim Santos
M. Diaby Fadiga
80 M. Diaby Fadiga
J. Brunes
18 J. Brunes
T. Pieńko
8 T. Pieńko

General Information

Date & Time
May 13, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Raków
Capacity
11600
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Kacper Trelowski
Kacper Trelowski Goalkeeper
6.72
11
Adriano
Adriano Midfielder
6.74
19
Michael Ameyaw
Michael Ameyaw Midfielder
7.04
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Centre Forward
7.09
80
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga Attacker
6.97
8
Tomasz Pienko
Tomasz Pienko Attacker
6.73
4
Stratos Svarnas
Stratos Svarnas Left Back
7.06
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor Right Back
7.03
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat Central Midfield
6.99
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Central Midfield
6.86
25
Bogdan Racovițan
Bogdan Racovițan Centre Back
6.82

Starting XI ▼

50
Slawomir Abramowicz
Slawomir Abramowicz Goalkeeper
6.9
10
Afimico Pululu
Afimico Pululu Centre Forward
7.06
6
Taras Romanczuk
Taras Romanczuk Defensive Midfield
7.04
11
Jesús Imaz
Jesús Imaz Attacking Midfield
7.31
13
Bernardo Vital
Bernardo Vital Right Back
7.03
21
Sergio Lozano
Sergio Lozano Defensive Midfield
6.89
7
Álex Pozo
Álex Pozo Right Wing
6.85
77
Kajetan Szmyt
Kajetan Szmyt Left Wing
6.6
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
Norbert Wojtuszek Right Back
6.91
23
Guilherme Montóia
Guilherme Montóia Left Back
6.95
4
Yuki Kobayashi
Yuki Kobayashi Left Back
6.66

CONCLUSION

This Ekstraklasa showdown pits Raków's home prowess and form edge against Jagiellonia's lofty position. With power favoring the hosts by 4.1 points, Stadion Raków sets the stage for potential dominance in open exchanges. Limited set-piece insights shift focus to squad cohesion and transitional efficiency. Jagiellonia's resilience could force a stalemate, yet Raków's metrics suggest control. Top-table implications loom large, promising intensity from whistle to whistle. Expect decisive moments from structured build-up and counter threats.