Qarabağ VS Vestri

2026/2027 Europa League, Europe

Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))

Europa League

Qarabağ QAR

3 0

Vestri VES

Full Time

1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

Zakaria Sawo - 30'

Abdellah Zoubir - 45+2'

R. Cephas - 86'

CONTEXT

Qarabağ hosted Vestri in the first leg of a two-legged tie and secured a 3-0 victory. The home side established control early, leading 2-0 at halftime through efficient finishing and sustained pressure. Possession statistics reflected this dominance with Qarabağ holding 72 percent of the ball compared to Vestri's 28 percent. No red cards were shown to either team, allowing both sides to maintain full squads for the full ninety minutes. Despite Vestri being labeled the stronger side beforehand, Qarabağ delivered a composed performance that produced the final scoreline of 3-0. The minimal deviation recorded aligned closely with observed patterns on the pitch.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: The match recorded a minimal structural deviation of 2.9 percent.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with pre-match benchmarks.
xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment checks.
Market alignment: The result proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
xG expectations: No xG expectations were documented ahead of kickoff.
Event impact: Qarabağ's 3-0 win underscored sustained second-half control.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and therefore created no distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

R. Jitari

Referee • 25 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 30.4

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 4

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0.36

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0.36

League Avg 0

V. Lifciu

1st Assistant • 0 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

V. Vicol

2nd Assistant • 0 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

A. Breguța

4th Official • 0 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Q. Qurbanov

D. Osafo-Badu

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Qarabağ

97.13%

Draw

1.9%

Vestri

0.96%

Team Power Ranking

13.33

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Qarabağ

Vestri

Power Score

13.33

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Qarabağ — Opponent-weighted form score

Vestri — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Qarabağ Vestri

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Qarabağ

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Vestri

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Qarabağ ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Vestri

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

33.40

18.75

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

18.75

33.40

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Qarabağ +0.91 Efficiency Index

Vestri -0.91 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Qarabağ

Vestri

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Qarabağ ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Vestri

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Qarabağ Vestri

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Qarabağ Vestri

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Qarabağ

Vestri

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Qarabağ

Vestri

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Qarabağ Vestri

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Qarabağ Vestri

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Qarabağ

Vestri

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

QAR had peak pressure around 95'.
QAR started the game with stronger pressure.

QAR Pressure VES Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: QAR reached the top pressure at 95' (59.28).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-4-1-1

General Information

Date & Time

Competition

2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2

Stadium

Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))

Capacity

31200

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

R. Jitari

Vladislav Lifciu

Vadim Vicol

Andrei Breguța

Statistics

Possession

QAR

71%

VES

29%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0

12 Shots 2

141 Dangerous attacks 45

72 Possession 28

9 Corners 0

8 Free kicks 8

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5

21 Throwins 15

2 Assists 0

Attacking

157 Attacks 69

Discipline

4 Offsides 2

4 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : R. Jitari

Manager ▼

Q. Qurbanov Coach

Starting XI ▼

Mateusz Kochalski Goalkeeper

6.5

Matheus Silva Defender

6.5

Bence Várkonyi Defender

6.5

Bruno Langa Defender

6.5

Elvin Cafarquliyev

Defender65'

6.5

Badavi Hüseynov (C) Defender

6.5

Dani Bolt

Defender88'

Marko Jankovic Midfielder

6.5

Samuel Lobato

Midfielder65'

6.5

Abdellah Zoubir Midfielder

6.69

R. Cephas

Attacker79'

6.86

Kady Borges Midfielder

6.5

Oleksiy Kashchuk Midfielder

6.61

Jaly Mouaddib

Midfielder65'

6.5

Pedro Bicalho Midfielder

6.5

Zakaria Sawo Attacker

7.23

Substitutes ▼

Şahruddin Məhəmmədəliyev Goalkeeper

Cebrail Makreckis Midfielder

Hikmat Cabrayilzada Midfielder

Ali Bashirov Midfielder

Referee : R. Jitari

Manager ▼

D. Osafo-Badu Coach

Starting XI ▼

Marvin Darri Steinarsson Goalkeeper

5.68

Edson Defender

5.88

T. Phete Defender

5.88

G. Svavarsson Defender

6.05

G. Einarsson

Defender57'

6.26

E. Garðarsson (C) Defender

5.88

Konstantin Cheshmedjiev Defender

5.88

S. Fall Defender

5.86

Ibrahima Baldé Midfielder

6.5

J. Stensson

Midfielder26'

6.18

Þ. Hafþórsson Midfielder

6.27

Chriss-Albin Alexander Mörfelt

Midfielder57'

6.37

G. Hauksson Midfielder

6.27

B. Eydal

Defender78'

6.26

Breki Thór Hermannsson Midfielder

6.27

J. Selvén

Midfielder78'

6.37

Substitutes ▼

B. Snædal Goalkeeper

M. Hagbarðsson Defender

Gabríel Heidberg Kristjánsson Midfielder

F. Gbadamosi Midfielder

A. Jóhannsson Midfielder

E. Duah Midfielder

Events

2ND-HALF

Dani Bolt →

10th Substitution

88'

R. Cephas

Right foot shot / 3rd Goal

86'

R. Cephas →

9th Substitution

79'

78'

B. Eydal →

7th Substitution

78'

J. Selvén →

8th Substitution

Elvin Cafarquliyev →

4th Substitution

65'

Samuel Lobato →

5th Substitution

65'

Jaly Mouaddib →

6th Substitution

65'

57'

G. Einarsson →

2nd Substitution

57'

Chriss-Albin Alexander Mörfelt →

3rd Substitution

1ST-HALF

Abdellah Zoubir

Right foot shot / 2nd Goal

45+2'

Zakaria Sawo

Right foot shot / 1st Goal

30'

26'

J. Stensson →

1st Substitution

S. Fall

Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

Substitution

Substitution: Daniel Lima de Castro comes on for Badavi Huseynov.

GOAL! Important

Goal! Renaldo Cephas scores, making it 3-0.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Update

Renaldo Cephas comes on for Abdellah Zoubir.

Update

Johannes Selven comes on for Breki Hermannsson.

Substitution

Birkir Eydal is substituted off for Gunnar Jonas Hauksson.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Update

Samuel Lobato replaces Marko Jankovic.

Substitution

Jaly Mouaddib is substituted for Oleksii Kashchuk.

Update

Elvin Dzhafarquliyev comes on for Bruno Alberto Langa.

Update

On comes Gudmundur Arnar Svavarsson, off goes Gudmundur Pall Einarsson.

Substitution

Substitution: Albin Morfelt comes on for Thordur Gunnar Hafthorsson.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

GOAL! Important

Goal! Abdellah Zoubir scores, making it 2-0.

Corner

Corner awarded.

GOAL! Important

Goal! Zakaria Sawo scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Oleksii Kashchuk.

Update

Jacob Stensson is on, and Ibrahima Balde is off.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Yellow Card Important

Yellow card shown.

Update

Kick-off! The referee is Roman Jitari.

CONCLUSION

Qarabağ's 3-0 success in the opening leg sets a clear platform for the return fixture. The home team converted early opportunities into a two-goal halftime cushion and maintained territorial superiority throughout. Vestri struggled to create meaningful threats despite their pre-match designation as the stronger side. With both teams finishing with eleven players the contest remained balanced in terms of personnel. The second leg will require Vestri to overcome the aggregate deficit while Qarabağ can focus on controlled progression. Overall the performance highlighted effective use of possession and clinical finishing from the winners.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

Win Probabilities

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Qarabağ

Vestri

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

PRESSURE INDEX

STARTING XI

General Information

Next Match

Statistics

Top Statistics

Match Overview

Attacking

Discipline

Lineup

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Events

Match Commentary

CONCLUSION

Qarabağ vs Vestri preview

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

Win Probabilities

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Qarabağ

Vestri

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

PRESSURE INDEX

STARTING XI

General Information

Next Match

Statistics

Top Statistics

Match Overview

Attacking

Discipline

Lineup

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Events

Match Commentary

CONCLUSION