Qarabağ vs Dynamo Kyiv preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
Europa Conference League
QarabağQAR
2 0
Dynamo KyivDYN
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 1
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Qarabağ 2–0 Dynamo Kyiv. The result saw Qarabağ take the points. Qarabağ showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 74%–26%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match recorded a minimal deviation of 2.7 percent from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to assess outcome consistency.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with available indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were supplied for performance review.
  • Event impact: The second leg produced a 2-0 win that confirmed aggregate progress.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred and therefore created no match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Attwell
S. Attwell
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
I. Hussin
I. Hussin
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Greenhalgh
N. Greenhalgh
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Smith
L. Smith
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Qarabağ Q. Qurbanov
Q. Qurbanov
VS
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Qarabağ Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Qarabağ
97.32%
Draw
1.91%
Away Dynamo Kyiv
0.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.51
22.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Qarabağ
Dynamo Kyiv
Power Score
26.51
22.22
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Qarabağ — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Qarabağ Dynamo Kyiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Qarabağ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Qarabağ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
7.43
12.69
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.69
7.43
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Qarabağ -0.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Kyiv +0.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Qarabağ
Dynamo Kyiv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Qarabağ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Qarabağ Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Qarabağ Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Qarabağ
Dynamo Kyiv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Qarabağ
vs
Dynamo Kyiv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Qarabağ Dynamo Kyiv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Qarabağ 0.00
Dynamo Kyiv 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Qarabağ Dynamo Kyiv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Qarabağ 0.00
Dynamo Kyiv 0.02
Qarabağ
Dynamo Kyiv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • QAR had peak pressure around 17'.
  • QAR started the game with stronger pressure.
QAR Pressure DYN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: QAR reached the top pressure at 17' (56.38).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Qarabağ QAR Home
1 matches
Dynamo Kyiv DYN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-14T00:00:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-1-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 1
Stadium
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
Capacity
31200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stuart Attwell
Ian Hussin
Nick Greenhalgh
Lewis Smith

Statistics

Possession
QAR
62%
DYN
38%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Shots 0
110 Dangerous attacks 66
74 Possession 26
4 Corners 6
6 Free kicks 2
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Goal Kicks 2
5 Substitutions 5
3 Throwins 2

Attacking

150 Attacks 98

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
4 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

23
Martin Zlomislic
Martin Zlomislic Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Matheus Silva
Matheus Silva Defender
6.61
4
Bence Várkonyi
Bence Várkonyi Defender
6.5
44
Elvin Cafarquliyev
Elvin Cafarquliyev Defender
6.61
5
Bruno Langa
Bruno Langa
Defender72'
6.5
55
Badavi Hüseynov
Badavi Hüseynov Defender
6.49
7
Jaly Mouaddib
Jaly Mouaddib Midfielder
6.69
22
Musa Qurbanly
Musa Qurbanly
Attacker72'
6.5
8
Marko Jankovic
Marko Jankovic Midfielder
6.5
10
Abdellah Zoubir
Abdellah Zoubir Midfielder
6.5
88
Samuel Lobato
Samuel Lobato
Midfielder80'
6.5
20
Kady Borges
Kady Borges Midfielder
6.5
29
Renaldo Cephas
Renaldo Cephas
Attacker72'
6.5
21
Oleksiy Kashchuk
Oleksiy Kashchuk Midfielder
6.69
9
Joni Montiel
Joni Montiel
Midfielder88'
35
Pedro Bicalho
Pedro Bicalho Midfielder
6.5
Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

71
Vyacheslav Surkis
Vyacheslav Surkis Goalkeeper
5.88
5
Oleksiy Sych
Oleksiy Sych Defender
6.05
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
6.05
40
Kristian Bilovar
Kristian Bilovar Defender
6.05
44
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Vladyslav Dubinchak (C) Defender
6.04
16
Shola Ogundana
Shola Ogundana
Midfielder79'
6.5
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder
6.27
15
Valentyn Rubchynskyi
Valentyn Rubchynskyi Midfielder
6.27
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Midfielder83'
6.5
21
Justin Lonwijk
Justin Lonwijk Midfielder
6.27
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko
Midfielder72'
6.5
70
Bogdan Redushko
Bogdan Redushko Midfielder
6.27
22
Vladyslav Kabaev
Vladyslav Kabaev
Midfielder72'
6.5
11
Matviy Ponomarenko
Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker
6.39
39
Eduardo Guerrero
Eduardo Guerrero Attacker
6.43
18
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Defender72'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Joni Montiel → Oleksiy Kashchuk
10th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
Vitaliy Buyalskyi  → Valentyn Rubchynskyi
9th Substitution
Event
Samuel Lobato → Abdellah Zoubir 
8th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
Shola Ogundana → Vladyslav Dubinchak
7th Substitution
Event
Renaldo Cephas → Kady Borges
1st Substitution
72'
Event
Bruno Langa → Elvin Cafarquliyev
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
Musa Qurbanly → Jaly Mouaddib
4th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Vladyslav Kabaev  → Bogdan Redushko
2nd Substitution
72'
Event
Mykola Shaparenko → Justin Lonwijk
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Oleksandr Tymchyk → Eduardo Guerrero
6th Substitution
Event
Oleksiy Kashchuk
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
69'
Event
Badavi Hüseynov
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
62'
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Matviy Ponomarenko
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
29'
Event
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Unsporting behaviour / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Jaly Mouaddib
Field Goal / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
Jonatan Montiel Caballero comes on for Oleksii Kashchuk.
83
Update Update
Vitaliy Buyalskyi comes on for Valentyn Rubchynskyi.
80
Update Update
Samuel Lobato is on, and Abdellah Zoubir is off.
79
Update Update
Ogundana Shola is coming on for Vladyslav Dubinchak.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Oleksandr Tymchyk is on, and Eduardo Guerrero is off.
72
Update Update
Mykola Shaparenko comes on for Justin Lonwijk.
72
Update Update
Vladyslav Kabaev is on, and Bohdan Redushko is off.
72
Update Update
On Renaldo Cephas, off Kady Iuri Borges Malinowski.
72
Substitution Substitution
Musa Qurbanly is substituted off for Jaly Mouaddib.
72
Update Update
Bruno Alberto Langa is on, and Elvin Dzhafarquliyev is off.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Badavi Huseynov.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Matvii Ponomarenko.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vladyslav Dubinchak.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jaly Mouaddib scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Matheus Silva.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Stuart Attwell.

CONCLUSION

Qarabağ secured a composed 2-0 victory over Dynamo Kyiv to advance from the tie. The home team managed the game through sustained possession and clinical finishing after an early lead. With the halftime score at 1-0 the second half required no drastic adjustments as the visitors struggled to create meaningful threats. The absence of disciplinary incidents allowed both sides to focus purely on tactical execution. This result demonstrated Qarabağ ability to control proceedings from start to finish while respecting the aggregate situation. The performance underlined their status as the stronger side and delivered a clean progression without unnecessary complications or late drama.