Pyunik vs Marsaxlokk preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Europa Conference League
PyunikPYU
1 0
MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 0
Daniil Kulikov - 80' (P)
Goal
|
|
Red Card Christoffer Mafoumbi 10'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Pyunik 1–0 Marsaxlokk. The result saw Pyunik take the points. Pyunik showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 68%–32%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Pyunik recorded a significant 25.5 percent deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: No xG values were recorded so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved consistent with pre-match market alignment.
  • xG expectations: Absence of xG data left expectations without numerical confirmation.
  • Event impact: The second-half goal proved decisive in securing the 1-0 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: The away team's red card altered second-half dynamics and contributed to the outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. O'Dowd
A. O'Dowd
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Campbell
C. Campbell
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. O'Brien
S. O'Brien
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Paul Norton
Paul Norton
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Pyunik A. Oseyan
A. Oseyan
VS
Marsaxlokk V. Potenza
V. Potenza
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Marsaxlokk Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pyunik Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pyunik
74.5%
Draw
15.1%
Away Marsaxlokk
10.4%

Movement

Changes since opening
Pyunik
-21.19%
Draw
+11.42%
Marsaxlokk
+9.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pyunik
Marsaxlokk
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pyunik — Opponent-weighted form score
Marsaxlokk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pyunik Marsaxlokk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Pyunik

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Marsaxlokk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Pyunik ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Marsaxlokk
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.31
22.97
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.97
33.31
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Pyunik +0.84 Efficiency Index
vs
Marsaxlokk -0.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Pyunik
Marsaxlokk
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Pyunik ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Marsaxlokk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Pyunik Marsaxlokk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Pyunik Marsaxlokk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Pyunik
Marsaxlokk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Pyunik
vs
Marsaxlokk
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Pyunik Marsaxlokk
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Pyunik 0.15
Marsaxlokk 0.11
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Pyunik Marsaxlokk
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Pyunik 0.00
Marsaxlokk 0.01
Pyunik
Marsaxlokk
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Marsaxlokk had peak pressure around 38'.
  • PYU started the game with stronger pressure.
PYU Pressure Marsaxlokk Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Marsaxlokk reached the top pressure at 38' (60.23).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pyunik PYU Home
1 matches
Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
3
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:00:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 0
Stadium
,
Capacity
N/A
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Aaron O'Dowd
Chris Campbell
Shane Gerard O'Brien
Paul Norton

Statistics

Possession
PYU
62%
Marsaxlokk
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
12 Shots 3
113 Dangerous attacks 47
68 Possession 32
10 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

68 Ball Safe 74
1 Penalties 0
13 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 13
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

121 Attacks 77

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Aaron O'Dowd

Starting XI ▼

16
Henri Avagyan
Henri Avagyan (C) Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Nikolaos Kenourgios
Nikolaos Kenourgios Defender
6.5
17
Vyacheslav Afyan
Vyacheslav Afyan
Midfielder46'
6.5
9
Artak Dashyan
Artak Dashyan Defender
6.5
15
Mikhail Kovalenko
Mikhail Kovalenko Defender
6.5
19
Sargis Metoyan
Sargis Metoyan
Attacker82'
6.46
76
Filipe Almeida
Filipe Almeida Defender
6.5
79
Sergiy Vakulenko
Sergiy Vakulenko Defender
6.5
11
Hovhannes Harutyunyan
Hovhannes Harutyunyan Midfielder
6.5
95
Momo Yansane
Momo Yansane
Attacker60'
6.5
18
Karlen Hovhannisyan
Karlen Hovhannisyan Midfielder
6.5
22
Sead Islamovic
Sead Islamovic Midfielder
6.45
10
Iman Griffith
Iman Griffith
Midfielder46'
6.5
25
Daniil Kulikov
Daniil Kulikov Midfielder
6.54
29
Iasonas Pikis
Iasonas Pikis Attacker
6.5
7
Edgar Malakyan
Edgar Malakyan
Midfielder60'
6.5
Referee : Aaron O'Dowd

Starting XI ▼

22
Christoffer Mafoumbi
Christoffer Mafoumbi Goalkeeper
5.19
3
Weder Silva
Weder Silva Defender
6.25
4
Oualid El Hasni
Oualid El Hasni Defender
6.26
5
Enrico Pepe
Enrico Pepe Defender
6.26
21
Oleksiy Bykov
Oleksiy Bykov
Defender86'
6
Nicky Muscat
Nicky Muscat (C) Midfielder
6.37
8
Ulises Jesús Arias
Ulises Jesús Arias Midfielder
6.33
14
Ensell Attard
Ensell Attard
Attacker86'
11
Juan Corbalan
Juan Corbalan Midfielder
6.33
25
Joseph Minala
Joseph Minala Midfielder
6.37
24
Lucas Caruana
Lucas Caruana
Midfielder86'
33
Domantas Šimkus
Domantas Šimkus Midfielder
6.5
28
Redon Mihana
Redon Mihana
Attacker53'
6.46
10
Dodo
Dodo Attacker
6.46
95
Matheus Silva
Matheus Silva Attacker
6.5
1
Andrea Cassar
Andrea Cassar
Goalkeeper13'
6.12

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Ensell Attard → Ulises Jesús Arias
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Oleksiy Bykov → Enrico Pepe
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Lucas Caruana → Joseph Minala
10th Substitution
Event
Sargis Metoyan
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Sargis Metoyan → Mikhail Kovalenko
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Daniil Kulikov
Penalty / 1st Penalty
80'
80'
Event
Juan Corbalan
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Juan Corbalan
7th Yellowcard
Event
Edgar Malakyan  → Iasonas Pikis
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Momo Yansane → Hovhannes Harutyunyan
6th Substitution
60'
59'
Event
Weder Silva
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
59'
Event
Weder
6th Yellowcard
53'
Event
Redon Mihana → Domantas Šimkus
4th Substitution
Event
Vyacheslav Afyan → Nikolaos Kenourgios
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Iman Griffith → Sead Islamovic
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Sead Islamovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
21'
13'
Event
Andrea Cassar → Matheus Silva
1st Substitution
10'
Event
Christoffer Mafoumbi
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
8'
Event
Ulises Jesús Arias
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Lucas Caruana comes on for Joseph Marie Minala.
87
Update Update
On comes Ensell Attard, off goes Ulises Arias.
86
Substitution Substitution
Oleksiy Bykov is substituted for Enrico Pepe.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sargis Metoyan receives a yellow card.
82
Update Update
Sargis Metoyan comes on for Mikhail Kovalenko.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's a penalty, and the score is now 1-0.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Update Update
Momo Yansane is on, and Hovhannes Harutyunyan is off.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Edgar Malakyan comes on for Iasonas Pikis.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Update Update
On comes Redon Mihana, off goes Domantas Simkus.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Iman Griffith is on, and Sead Islamovic is off.
46
Update Update
On Vyacheslav Afyan, off Nikos Kainourgios.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
13
Update Update
Andrea Cassar is on, and Matheus Silva is off.
10
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Christoffer Mafoumbi.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is A. O'Dowd.

CONCLUSION

Pyunik completed a controlled progression by adding a single second-half goal to their first-leg advantage. Possession dominance at 68 percent allowed them to dictate tempo after the interval once the red card reduced Marsaxlokk to ten players. The halftime parity at 0-0 gave way to a measured push that produced the decisive strike without conceding. Aggregate advancement by five goals to nil reflected the overall superiority across both legs. The red-card event shaped the closing stages yet the result stayed consistent with the stronger side prevailing throughout the tie.