PSV vs Villarreal preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Philips Stadion
Club Friendlies 1
PSVPSV
1 3
VillarrealVIL
Full Time
Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Cheikh Ahmad Tidiane Thiam - 72'
Pau Cabanes - 76'

CONTEXT

PSV faced Villarreal in a match that ended with a 1-3 scoreline. The game remained level at halftime with a 0-0 score. PSV held 59 percent possession compared to Villarreal's 41 percent yet could not prevent the away side from claiming victory. The stronger team on paper failed to deliver as Villarreal secured the win through effective second half play. No red cards were shown to either side during the contest. The outcome highlighted a significant deviation by the visiting team from pre match projections. This result stands as a notable performance by Villarreal against the home side.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: PSV 1-3 Villarreal. Villarreal showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the final result.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The result showed true market alignment with the winner.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not defined owing to null values.
  • Event impact: Second half events enabled Villarreal to score three goals.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no game distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
PSV P. Bosz
P. Bosz
VS
Villarreal I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 86 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 71 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.25
86.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
PSV
Villarreal
Power Score
87.25
86.53
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
32
36

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
PSV — Opponent-weighted form score
Villarreal — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) PSV Villarreal

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

PSV

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Villarreal

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

PSV ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Villarreal
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
6.27
3.78
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
3.78
6.27
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
PSV +0.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Villarreal -0.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
PSV
Villarreal
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

PSV ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Villarreal
Created Set-piece attacking threat
PSV Villarreal
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
PSV Villarreal
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
PSV
Villarreal
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
PSV
vs
Villarreal
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
PSV Villarreal
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
PSV 0.02
Villarreal 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
PSV Villarreal
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
PSV 0.10
Villarreal 0.02
PSV
Villarreal
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PSV had peak pressure around 90'.
  • PSV started the game with stronger pressure.
PSV Pressure VIL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PSV reached the top pressure at 90' (56.01).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Philips Stadion
Capacity
36500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
PSV
61%
VIL
39%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
5 Shots 8
54 Dangerous attacks 31
59 Possession 41
2 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

8 Substitutions 20
3 Throwins 1
1 Dribble Attempts 0
1 Successful Dribbles 0
100 Successful Dribbles Percentage 0

Attacking

100 Attacks 82

Possession

2 Long Passes 0
9 Passes 7
7 Successful Passes 6
78 Successful Passes Percentage 86
1 Successful Long Passes 0
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 0

Defensive

0 Saves 1
0 Tackles 1
1 Interceptions 2

Build-up

1 Total Crosses 0
1 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 15

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

32
Matej Kovar
Matej Kovar Goalkeeper
5.67
3
Yarek Gasiorowski
Yarek Gasiorowski Defender
5.89
6
Ryan Flamingo
Ryan Flamingo Defender
5.79
25
Kiliann Sildillia
Kiliann Sildillia Defender
5.83
31
Noah Fernandez
Noah Fernandez Defender
5.68
7
Ruben van Bommel
Ruben van Bommel Midfielder
6.17
17
Mauro Júnior
Mauro Júnior (C) Midfielder
6.37
21
Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans Midfielder
6.33
23
Joey Veerman
Joey Veerman Midfielder
6.16
27
Dennis Man
Dennis Man Midfielder
6.18
14
Alassane Pléa
Alassane Pléa Attacker
6.5

Starting XI ▼

1
Luiz Júnior
Luiz Júnior Goalkeeper
6.32
5
Willy Kambwala
Willy Kambwala Defender
6.13
6
Pau Navarro
Pau Navarro Defender
6.17
15
Santiago Mouriño
Santiago Mouriño Defender
6.17
23
Sergi Cardona
Sergi Cardona (C) Defender
6.27
20
Alberto Moleiro
Alberto Moleiro Midfielder
6.37
22
Ayoze Pérez
Ayoze Pérez Midfielder
6.37
26
Carlos Macià
Carlos Macià Midfielder
6.35
28
Alassane Diatta
Alassane Diatta Midfielder
6.41
9
Georges Mikautadze
Georges Mikautadze Attacker
6.82
34
Nizar El Jmili
Nizar El Jmili Attacker
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
76'
Event
Pau Cabanes
4th Goal
Event
Mauro Júnior
3rd Goal
75'
72'
Event
Cheikh Ahmad Tidiane Thiam
2nd Goal
66'
Event
Georges Mikautadze
1st Goal
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Santiago Mouriño
3rd Yellowcard
36'
Event
Alassane Diatta
2nd Yellowcard
10'
Event
Sergi Cardona
1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Villarreal overcame the home advantage held by PSV to record a clear 1-3 victory. The visitors capitalized on opportunities after a goalless first half where both teams shared equal standing. Possession favored PSV but did not translate into defensive stability or attacking success. Villarreal's approach yielded three goals that decided the contest. The performance by the away side demonstrated strong adaptation and clinical finishing. No disciplinary issues arose to alter the flow of play. This outcome leaves PSV reflecting on missed chances while Villarreal gains momentum from the result.