PSV vs Fortuna Sittard preview

Netherlands flag 2026/2027 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Philips Stadion
Eredivisie
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season

CONTEXT

PSV faced Fortuna Sittard in a home fixture that finished 2-2 after trailing 0-1 at halftime. PSV controlled 76 percent of possession and generated an expected goals total of 2.65 against the visitors 0.71 yet could not secure the win. The stronger side created numerous opportunities but the away team held firm to claim a point. No red cards were shown to either side and the match remained eleven versus eleven throughout. The final scoreline reflected a draw despite the clear statistical dominance displayed by the home team in open play and set pieces. Fortuna Sittard defended compactly and struck on the counter to stay competitive until the end.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: PSV exhibited a significant structural deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the match dynamics throughout.
  • xG alignment: xG figures did not align with the final 2-2 outcome.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with market expectations for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: PSV posted 2.65 xG while Fortuna Sittard recorded 0.71 xG.
  • Event impact: The draw carried a clear event impact on the final standings.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion occurred as both teams finished with eleven players.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Bos
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Ribbink
M. Ribbink
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Westhof
J. Westhof
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Sturm
R. Sturm
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
2.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.08
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Twente Rank: 79 W
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 70 W
Ajax Rank: 80 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 66 W
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 68 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 76 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Utrecht Rank: 76 L
PEC Zwolle Rank: 66 W
Feyenoord Rank: 82 L
SC Heerenveen Rank: 72 L
NAC Breda Rank: 59 D
AZ Rank: 80 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.58
65.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
PSV
Fortuna Sittard
Power Score
85.58
65.68
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
40
399

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
PSV Opponent-weighted form score
Fortuna Sittard Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) PSV Fortuna Sittard

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

PSV

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Fortuna Sittard

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

PSV ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fortuna Sittard
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.61
38.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.54
34.61
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
PSV -0.38 Efficiency Index
vs
Fortuna Sittard +0.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
PSV
Fortuna Sittard
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

PSV
vs
Fortuna Sittard
Created Set-piece attacking threat
PSV Fortuna Sittard
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
5%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.14 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
PSV Fortuna Sittard
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
5%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.14
PSV
Fortuna Sittard
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

PSV
vs
Fortuna Sittard
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
PSV Fortuna Sittard
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
PSV Fortuna Sittard
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
PSV
Fortuna Sittard
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PSV had peak pressure around 35'.
  • PSV started the game with stronger pressure.
PSV Pressure FOR Pressure
Pressure Index: PSV reached the top pressure at 35' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

PSV PSV Home
4 matches
Fortuna Sittard FOR Away
Match Record
4
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
4
Goals
14
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
14
+9
Goal Difference
-9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:35:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Philips Stadion
Capacity
36500
Attendance
33400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marco Ribbink
Joris Westhof
Rick Sturm

Statistics

Possession
PSV
71%
FOR
29%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
5 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 2
106 Dangerous attacks 25
76 Possession 24
9 Corners 0
6 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

67 Ball Safe 58
3 Goal Kicks 9
12 Goal Attempts 7
4 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 13
12 Successful Headers 8
1 Assists 0
1 Injuries 0
6 Dribble Attempts 7
6 Successful Dribbles 7
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64

Attacking

141 Attacks 68

Possession

27 Long Passes 16
758 Passes 249
269 Successful Passes 14
88 Successful Passes Percentage 66
16 Key Passes 2

Defensive

2 Saves 2
4 Tackles 10
6 Interceptions 6
37 Duels Won 35

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 7

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
9 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Alex Bos

Starting XI

32
Matej Kovar
Matej Kovar Goalkeeper
6.95
4
Armando Obispo
Armando Obispo Defender
6.84
5
Ivan Perišić
Ivan Perišić Defender
7.85
6
Ryan Flamingo
Ryan Flamingo Defender
7.79
17
Mauro Júnior
7.01
7
Ruben van Bommel
Ruben van Bommel Midfielder
6.73
37
Amir Bouhamdi
Amir Bouhamdi
Attacker46'
6.79
10
Paul Wanner
Paul Wanner Midfielder
6.75
20
Guus Til
Guus Til Midfielder
6.69
14
Alassane Pléa
Alassane Pléa
Attacker68'
7.13
21
Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans Midfielder
6.59
27
Dennis Man
Dennis Man
Attacker69'
6.35
31
Noah Fernandez
Noah Fernandez Midfielder
7.91
9
Ricardo Pepi
Ricardo Pepi Attacker
5.97
25
Kiliann Sildillia
6.21
Referee : Alex Bos

Starting XI

31
Mattijs Branderhorst
6.55
2
Siebe Wylin
Siebe Wylin Defender
6.55
6
Syb van Ottele
Syb van Ottele Defender
6.6
9
Anthony Descotte
Anthony Descotte
Attacker78'
6.52
8
Jasper Dahlhaus
Jasper Dahlhaus Defender
6.46
39
Gani Büyükhan
Gani Büyükhan
Midfielder87'
12
Ivo Pinto
Ivo Pinto (C) Defender
6.71
28
Justin Hubner
Justin Hubner Defender
6.27
5
Yassin Oukili
Yassin Oukili Midfielder
6.35
38
Moussa Gbemou
Moussa Gbemou
Midfielder87'
23
Philip Brittijn
Philip Brittijn Midfielder
6.29
15
Nick de Groot
Nick de Groot
Defender79'
6.51
52
Mohamed Ihattaren
Mohamed Ihattaren Midfielder
6.86
10
Ole Romeny
Ole Romeny Attacker
7.59
25
Lequincio Zeefuik
6.25
20
Edouard Michut
Edouard Michut
Midfielder61'
7.26

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
87'
Event
Gani Büyükhan Jasper Dahlhaus
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Moussa Gbemou Yassin Oukili
9th Substitution
Event
Kiliann Sildillia Ricardo Pepi
7th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
Nick de Groot Philip Brittijn
6th Substitution
Event
Tripping / 2nd Yellowcard
78'
78'
Event
Anthony Descotte Syb van Ottele
5th Substitution
Event
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
74'
Event
Dennis Man Sven Mijnans
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Alassane Pléa Guus Til
3rd Substitution
68'
61'
Event
Edouard Michut Lequincio Zeefuik
2nd Substitution
Event
Header / 2nd Goal
55'
Event
Amir Bouhamdi Ruben van Bommel
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
33'
Event
Roughing / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Match ends with a score of 2-2.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Michut Edouard scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Michut Edouard scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
89
Attempt Attempt
Paul Wanner's left-footed shot is saved.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Substitution Substitution
Ganni Buyukhan is substituted for Jasper Dahlhaus.
83
Attempt Attempt
Noah Fernandez takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Noah Fernandez takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Update Update
Nick de Groot is on, and Philip Brittijn is off.
79
Update Update
Anthony Descotte is on, and Syb Van Ottele is off.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Dennis Man.
75
Attempt Attempt
Ole ter Haar Romeny takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Noah Fernandez scores with a left-footed shot.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Amine Ihattaren with his right foot is saved.
69
Substitution Substitution
Dennis Man is substituted for Sven Mijnans.
68
Update Update
Alassane Plea comes on for Guus Til.
67
Attempt Attempt
Guus Til takes a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ole ter Haar Romeny with his right foot is saved.
62
Update Update
Offside.
61
Substitution Substitution
Michut Edouard is substituted off for Lequincio Zeefuik.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Flamingo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Amir Bouhamdi attempts a header but misses the shot.
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ricardo Pepi Head Shot Missed
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ryan Flamingo scores to equalize at 1-1, assisted by Ivan Perisic.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ryan Flamingo takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ryan Flamingo equalizes to make it 1-1, assisted by Ivan Perisic.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
51
Attempt Attempt
Ricardo Pepi takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Sven Mijnans takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Amir Bouhamdi is on, and Ruben van Bommel is off.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ricardo Pepi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Update Update
Offside.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Ole ter Haar Romeny with his right foot results in a goal.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
40
Attempt Attempt
Yassin Oukili takes a left-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Sven Mijnans takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Lequincio Zeefuik.
32
Attempt Attempt
Armando Obispo attempts a header but misses the shot.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Lequincio Zeefuik.
31
Attempt Attempt
Ruben van Bommel takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Guus Til takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Noah Fernandez takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Paul Wanner takes a left-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Amine Ihattaren with his left foot is saved.
15
Attempt Attempt
Mauro Junior's left-footed shot is saved.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Amine Ihattaren with his left foot is saved.
7
Update Update
Offside.
6
Update Update
Offside.
6
Update Update
Offside.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Alex Bos.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw highlighted how possession and chance creation do not always translate directly into victory. PSV maintained territorial control for long periods yet Fortuna Sittard showed resilience in defense and clinical finishing on limited opportunities. The halftime deficit forced the home side to adjust their approach in the second period which produced an equalizing response. Both teams contributed to an open contest that featured end to end action and several near misses. The absence of dismissals allowed the tactical battle to unfold without major interruptions. Overall the result leaves both sides with mixed emotions after a hard fought encounter that showcased contrasting styles of play.