Portugal vs Uzbekistan preview
World Cup
Uzbekistan
UZB
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Portugal delivered a commanding performance against Uzbekistan, securing a 5-0 victory. The match saw Portugal take a 3-0 lead by halftime, showcasing their dominance from the outset. With 66 percent possession compared to Uzbekistan's 34 percent, Portugal controlled the game effectively. Their expected goals stood at 2.68 while Uzbekistan managed only 0.39, reflecting the one-sided nature of the contest. The outcome aligned with the xG metrics, and there were no red cards to influence proceedings. The significant deviation noted for Portugal highlighted their unexpected level of control in the fixture. This result underscored Portugal's superiority on the day despite pre-match indications favoring the opposition.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Portugal exhibited a significant deviation of 16.8 percent in the match outcome.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for both teams.
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xG alignment: The final result was consistent with the xG values recorded.
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Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with market projections.
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xG expectations: Portugal held an xG advantage of 2.29 over Uzbekistan.
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Event impact: The 5-0 scoreline demonstrated Portugal's clinical finishing throughout the game.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Movement
Changes since opening
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Team Power Ranking
i
20.74
33.33
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Portugal
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Portugal
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Portugal
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Portugal
Uzbekistan
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- POR had peak pressure around 8'.
- POR started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-24T00:00:29+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Portugal
vs
Colombia
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 11:30 PM
Venue: Miami Stadium
Uzbekistan
vs
Congo DR
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 11:30 PM
Venue: Atlanta Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary