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Polissya Zhytomyr vs Oleksandria preview

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Tsentralnyi Stadion Fri, 8 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Live : 1st Half Fri, 8 May 3:00 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

Statistics

Possession
Polissya Zhytomyr
76%
Oleksandria
24%

Top Statistics

3 Shots 0
30 Dangerous attacks 6
75 Possession 25
7 Corners 1
1 Free kicks 1

Attacking

28 Attacks 15

Discipline

0 Fouls 1

Lineup

Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn

Starting XI

23
Yevgen Volynets
Yevgen Volynets Goalkeeper
6.55
5
Eduard Sarapiy
Eduard Sarapiy Defender
6.74
15
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
6.56
16
Ilir Krasniqi
Ilir Krasniqi Defender
6.66
31
Giorgi Maisuradze
6.68
8
Ruslan Babenko
Ruslan Babenko Midfielder
6.59
11
Oleksiy Gutsulyak
Oleksiy Gutsulyak Midfielder
7.02
14
Lindon Emërllahu
Lindon Emërllahu Midfielder
6.62
18
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
6.68
45
Maksym Bragaru
Maksym Bragaru Midfielder
6.66
95
Igor Krasnopir
Igor Krasnopir Attacker
6.57
Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn

Starting XI

72
Nazar Makarenko
Nazar Makarenko Goalkeeper
6.45
22
Danil Skorko
Danil Skorko Defender
6.11
26
Miguel Campos
Miguel Campos Defender
6.43
50
Jocelin Behiratche
Jocelin Behiratche Defender
6.28
90
Danyil Vlasiuk Defender
91
Bogdan Butko
Bogdan Butko Defender
6.23
10
Sergiy Buletsa
Sergiy Buletsa Midfielder
6.43
20
Daniil Vashchenko
Daniil Vashchenko Midfielder
6.31
27
Tedi Cara
Tedi Cara Midfielder
6.46
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade
Papa Ndiaga Yade Midfielder
6.63
99
Bryan Castillo
Bryan Castillo Attacker
6.49

CONTEXT

In the first half at minute 1, Oleksandria has quickly taken command with 70% possession against pregame favorites Polissya Zhytomyr, who entered as the structural stronger side with significant market backing. The hosts, projected leaders, face an early test as visitors dictate play without any expected goals registered yet. No red cards have appeared, maintaining a clean and fluid contest. Live dynamics show neutral alignment with pre-match projections and in-line deviation, reflecting early balance despite possession disparity. Polissya's control has been limited so far, contrasting pregame expectations of their dominance. This opening surge by Oleksandria sets a probing tone, with chances and efficiency shifts still pending as both sides settle.

TL;DR

  • Live state: In the first half at minute 1, Oleksandria dominates possession at 70% in a balanced contest without chances.
  • Structural vs live: Pregame structure strongly favors Polissya Zhytomyr, but live play reveals Oleksandria's early possession control.
  • Projection vs live: Polissya Zhytomyr as projection leaders align neutrally with current in-line live deviation.
  • xG trend: No xG accumulated yet in the opening minute of the first half.
  • Possession profile: Oleksandria commands 70% possession, diverging from pre-match signals of Polissya superiority.
  • Event impact: No red cards or major events alter the early flow.
  • Second-half outlook: Polissya's pregame strength positions them to challenge Oleksandria's early possession edge post-interval.
  • Market: Polissya Zhytomyr 68.8% (Δ-0.5%) | Draw 22.9% (Δ-0.2%) | Oleksandria 8.3% (Δ+0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Panchyshyn
D. Panchyshyn
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Polissya Zhytomyr R. Rotan
R. Rotan
VS
Oleksandria V. Sharan
V. Sharan
2.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.27
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
Veres Rank: 48 D
Kudrivka Rank: 42 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 54 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 D
Veres Rank: 47 L
Karpaty Rank: 55 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Polissya Zhytomyr
68.8%
Draw
22.88%
Away Oleksandria
8.32%

Movement

Changes since opening
Polissya Zhytomyr
-0.48%
Draw
-0.16%
Oleksandria
+0.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.55
43.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Polissya Zhytomyr
Oleksandria
Power Score
62.55
43.35
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
417
951

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Polissya Zhytomyr Opponent-weighted form score
Oleksandria Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Polissya Zhytomyr

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Oleksandria

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Polissya Zhytomyr ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Oleksandria
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Polissya Zhytomyr
Oleksandria
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Polissya Zhytomyr
vs
Oleksandria
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Polissya Zhytomyr
Oleksandria
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Polissya Zhytomyr had peak pressure around 26'.
  • Polissya Zhytomyr started the game with stronger pressure.
Polissya Zhytomyr Pressure Oleksandria Pressure
Pressure Index: Polissya Zhytomyr reached the top pressure at 26' (68.36).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Home
5 matches
Oleksandria Oleksandria Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
8
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T14:30:22+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
E. Volynets
Ukraine
23 E. Volynets
I. Krasniqi
Kosovo
16 I. Krasniqi
O. Hutsuliak
Ukraine
11 O. Hutsuliak
N. Makarenko
72 N. Makarenko
J. Behiratche
Ivory Coast
50 J. Behiratche
M. Ferreira Campos
Portugal
26 M. Ferreira Campos
B. Butko
Ukraine
91 B. Butko
D. Skorko
Ukraine
22 D. Skorko
P. Yade
Senegal
37 P. Yade
S. Buletsa
Ukraine
10 S. Buletsa
D. Vashchenko
Ukraine
20 D. Vashchenko
B. Castillo Rosendo
Venezuela
99 B. Castillo Rosendo

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Capacity
5928
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dmytro Panchyshyn

CONCLUSION

At this live stage, the run of play and underlying metrics suggest a in line path versus pre-match expectations. Projection alignment is neutral, while efficiency indicators are in line with. The remainder should be decided by execution in transitions and set plays.