Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC København preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Košická futbalová aréna Thu, 23 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya Zhytomyr
3 – 3
FC KøbenhavnCOP
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Oleg Fedor - 36'
Goal
|
Goal
Robert - 4', 54'

CONTEXT

Polissya Zhytomyr hosted FC København in the first leg of their tie and produced an entertaining 3-3 draw. The home team led 2-1 at the break thanks to effective forward play. FC København, regarded as the stronger side, struggled to match the expected output but fought back in the second period. Expected goals favored the hosts heavily at 3.2 to 1.22, yet the actual goals ended level. Both sides enjoyed equal possession throughout the ninety minutes. The moderate deviation of 10.7 percent highlighted some unpredictability in the performance levels. No dismissals occurred to alter the flow of the game. The aggregate remains open for the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A moderate 10.7 percent deviation occurred with FC København as the affected side.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections for the contest.
  • xG alignment: The final result did not align with the underlying expected goals metrics.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Polissya Zhytomyr posted 3.2 expected goals against 1.22 for FC København.
  • Event impact: The match concluded 3-3 following a 2-1 halftime score in favor of the home team.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion affected the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Oliveira Silva
D. Oliveira Silva
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
T. Pereira Costa
T. Pereira Costa
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Campos
C. Campos
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Pereira dos Santos
L. Pereira dos Santos
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Polissya Zhytomyr R. Rotan
R. Rotan
VS
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Polissya Zhytomyr
5.36%
Draw
89.29%
Away FC København
5.36%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.17
72.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Polissya Zhytomyr
FC København
Power Score
64.17
72.35
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
410
193

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr — Opponent-weighted form score
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Polissya Zhytomyr FC København

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Polissya Zhytomyr

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC København

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Polissya Zhytomyr ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC København
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
46.70
25.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.70
46.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Polissya Zhytomyr +2.01 Efficiency Index
vs
FC København -2.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Polissya Zhytomyr
FC København
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Polissya Zhytomyr
vs
FC København
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Polissya Zhytomyr FC København
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
31%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.08 vs -0.38
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr FC København
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
31%
3%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.38 vs -0.08
Polissya Zhytomyr
FC København
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Polissya Zhytomyr
vs
FC København
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Polissya Zhytomyr FC København
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.30
FC København 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr FC København
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.08
FC København 0.04
Polissya Zhytomyr
FC København
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Polissya Zhytomyr had peak pressure around 28'.
  • Polissya Zhytomyr started the game with stronger pressure.
Polissya Zhytomyr Pressure COP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Polissya Zhytomyr reached the top pressure at 28' (100.00).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Košická futbalová aréna
Capacity
12658
Attendance
2268
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
Tiago José Pereira Costa
Carlos Campos
Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Statistics

Possession
Polissya Zhytomyr
52%
COP
48%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
6 Big Chances Created 0
12 Shots 4
67 Dangerous attacks 37
50 Possession 50
2 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 15
5 Substitutions 4
18 Throwins 12
3 Assists 2
10 Dribble Attempts 23
6 Successful Dribbles 7
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 30

Attacking

107 Attacks 87
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

56 Long Passes 75
471 Passes 494
394 Successful Passes 405
84 Successful Passes Percentage 82
18 Key Passes 9
34 Successful Long Passes 31
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

4 Saves 4
22 Tackles 9
5 Interceptions 10

Build-up

32 Total Crosses 6
7 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
8 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Starting XI ▼

77
Georgiy Bushchan
Georgiy Bushchan Goalkeeper
6.64
5
Eduard Sarapiy
Eduard Sarapiy (C) Defender
6.71
15
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Defender
6.77
44
Sergiy Chobotenko
Sergiy Chobotenko Defender
6.59
55
Borys Krushynskyi
Borys Krushynskyi Defender
5.92
6
Borel Tomandzoto
Borel Tomandzoto Midfielder
6.54
18
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi Midfielder
7.56
14
Lindon Emërllahu
Lindon Emërllahu
Midfielder80'
6.6
27
Oleg Fedor
Oleg Fedor Midfielder
6.85
9
Oleksandr Filippov
Oleksandr Filippov
Attacker70'
7.27
7
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Oleksandr Nazarenko Attacker
7.48
45
Maksym Bragaru
Maksym Bragaru
Midfielder70'
6.9
11
Leandro Andrade
Leandro Andrade Attacker
6.83
10
Vladyslav Veleten
Vladyslav Veleten
Midfielder70'
6.92
95
Igor Krasnopir
Igor Krasnopir Attacker
7.89
89
Mykola Gayduchyk
Mykola Gayduchyk
Attacker82'
6.6
Referee : David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Starting XI ▼

31
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson Goalkeeper
6.74
2
Felix Beijmo
Felix Beijmo Defender
6.11
4
Munashe Garananga
Munashe Garananga Defender
6.48
33
Alex Král
Alex Král
Midfielder65'
6.63
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Defender
6.3
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Defender
5.12
37
Mustapha Nyassi
Mustapha Nyassi Defender
6.64
44
Geovanni Vianney Ndjee
Geovanni Vianney Ndjee
Attacker46'
6.33
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi (C) Midfielder
7.03
16
Robert
Robert Midfielder
2
8.37
14
Andreas Cornelius
Andreas Cornelius
Attacker81'
6.86
21
Mads Emil Madsen
Mads Emil Madsen Midfielder
7.64
36
William Clem
William Clem Midfielder
6.3
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
Youssoufa Moukoko Attacker
6.19
34
Marvin Nasnas
Marvin Nasnas
Midfielder90+3'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Marvin Nasnas → Youssoufa Moukoko
9th Substitution
Event
Oleksandr Filippov
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
88'
83'
Event
Mads Emil Madsen
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Mykola Gayduchyk → Igor Krasnopir
8th Substitution
82'
81'
Event
Andreas Cornelius → Robert
7th Substitution
Event
Lindon Emërllahu → Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Borel Tomandzoto
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Maksym Bragaru → Oleksandr Nazarenko
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Oleksandr Filippov → Oleg Fedor
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Vladyslav Veleten → Leandro Andrade
5th Substitution
70'
67'
Event
William Clem
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
65'
Event
Alex Král → Munashe Garananga
2nd Substitution
Event
Oleg Fedor
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
59'
54'
Event
Robert
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
46'
Event
Geovanni Vianney Ndjee → Mustapha Nyassi
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Junnosuke Suzuki
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Oleg Fedor
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
36'
Event
Igor Krasnopir
Header / 2nd Goal
6'
4'
Event
Robert
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Geovanni Vianney takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Update Update
On comes Marvin Nasnas, off goes Youssoufa Moukoko.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lindon Emerllahu takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Oleksandr Filippov with his right foot results in a goal.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-3.
87
Attempt Attempt
Mykola Haiduchyk takes a left-footed shot but misses.
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mads Emil Madsen scores with a left-footed shot.
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mads Emil Madsen scores, bringing the score to 2-3, assisted by Youssoufa Moukoko.
82
Update Update
Mykola Haiduchyk comes on for Igor Krasnopir.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mads Emil Madsen scores to make it 2-3, assisted by Youssoufa Moukoko.
81
Update Update
Andreas Cornelius is on, and Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva is off.
80
Update Update
Lindon Emerllahu comes on for Oleksandr Andrievsky.
76
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Bragaru takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Bragaru takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Borel Tomandzoto.
72
Attempt Attempt
Vladyslav Veleten takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Maksim Bragaru is on, and Oleksandr Nazarenko is off.
70
Update Update
Vladyslav Veleten replaces Leandro Andrade.
70
Update Update
Vladyslav Veleten replaces Leandro Andrade.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
William Clem receives a yellow card.
66
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko misses with a left-footed shot.
65
Substitution Substitution
Alex Kral is substituted on for Munashe Garananga.
62
Attempt Attempt
Borel Tomandzoto takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Oleh Andriiovych Fedor takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Oleh Andriiovych Fedor.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva scores to make it 2-2, assisted by Mohamed Elyounoussi.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
53
Attempt Attempt
Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Munashe Garananga attempts a header but misses the shot.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Geovanni Vianney comes on for Mustapha Nyassi.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Oleksandr Andrievsky with his left foot, but it misses the target.
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Oleksandr Andrievsky with his left foot goes wide.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Junnosuke Suzuki.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Oleh Andriiovych Fedor with his right foot results in a goal.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oleh Andriiovych Fedor scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Oleksandr Andrievsky.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
33
Attempt Attempt
Mustapha Nyassi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Oleksandr Andrievsky with his left foot, but it misses the target.
24
Attempt Attempt
Borel Tomandzoto takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Oleh Andriiovych Fedor takes a shot with his head but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Eduard Sarapiy takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Oleksandr Andrievsky with his left foot misses the target.
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Oleksandr Nazarenko with his right foot, but it misses the target.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Igor Krasnopir scores with a header.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Igor Krasnopir scores, making it 1-1.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva scores with a right-footed shot.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva scores, making it 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is David Silva.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Polissya Zhytomyr 3-3 FC København. Structural assessment: FC København exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.