Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera Sun, 3 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Pogoń SzczecinPogoń Szczecin
Wisła PłockWisła Płock
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 3:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 regular season, Pogoń Szczecin host Wisła Płock at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. The hosts enjoy a clear structural edge with a power score of 61.46 against the visitors' 51.33, a 10.1-point advantage marking Pogoń as the stronger side overall. However, Wisła Płock sit comfortably in 5th place in the league table, while Pogoń languish at 15th. Recent form tilts towards the away team too, with Wisła's 27.78 score surpassing Pogoń's 16.5. Pogoń will lean on home support and their power superiority to challenge Wisła's momentum. Advanced data is sparse, lacking efficiency metrics and detailed set-piece insights due to unavailable xG stats. This sets up a contest where execution in open play and transitions could prove decisive, with Pogoń favored in baseline projections at 49.1%.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Pogoń Szczecin holds a 10.1-point power advantage over Wisła Płock.
  • Form: Wisła Płock boasts a superior form score of 27.78 versus Pogoń Szczecin's 16.5.
  • Squad: Wisła Płock ranks 5th in the league, ahead of Pogoń Szczecin at 15th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable in current data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG variable metrics not provided for either team.
  • Market: Pogoń Szczecin 48.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Wisła Płock 25% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Pogoń Szczecin T. Thomasberg
T. Thomasberg
VS
Wisła Płock M. Misiura
M. Misiura
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 65 L
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 L
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Radomiak Radom Rank: 59 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 62 W
Katowice Rank: 65 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 4 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pogoń Szczecin
48.71%
Draw
26.28%
Away Wisła Płock
25.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.46
51.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pogoń Szczecin
Wisła Płock
Power Score
61.46
51.33
League Position
15
5
Global Rank
430
563

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pogoń Szczecin — Opponent-weighted form score
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pogoń Szczecin Wisła Płock

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin Home
19 matches
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock Away
Match Record
7
Wins
8
4
Draws
4
8
Losses
7
Goals
24
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
24
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:07:41+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Leszczynski
12 R. Leszczynski
N. Mijušković
25 N. Mijušković
M. Kamiński
35 M. Kamiński
M. Haglind-Sangré
4 M. Haglind-Sangré
D. Gallapeni
19 D. Gallapeni
D. Pacheco Lobato
8 D. Pacheco Lobato
K. Savvidis
88 K. Savvidis
D. Kun
14 D. Kun
Ł. Sekulski
20 Ł. Sekulski
W. Nowak
30 W. Nowak
I. Niarchos
9 I. Niarchos

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Capacity
18027
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bartosz Heinig
Filip Sierant
Błażej Syropiatko
Paweł Raczkowski

Expected Lineup

Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

77
Valentin Cojocaru
Valentin Cojocaru Goalkeeper
7.15
47
N. Lawa
N. Lawa Midfielder
6.55
25
M. Agger
M. Agger Midfielder
6.59
10
Filip Cuic
Filip Cuic Attacker
6.52
18
Paul Mukairu
Paul Mukairu Attacker
6.79
3
Kellyn Acosta
Kellyn Acosta Central Midfield
6.87
4
Léo Borges
Léo Borges Left Back
6.93
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
Fredrik Ulvestad Central Midfield
6.99
41
Attila Szalai
Attila Szalai Left Back
6.72
22
Danijel Loncar
Danijel Loncar Right Back
6.6
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Dimitrios Keramitsis Right Back
6.87
Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

12
Rafal Leszczynski
Rafal Leszczynski Goalkeeper
7.06
19
Dion Gallapeni
Dion Gallapeni Midfielder
6.43
20
Lukasz Sekulski
Lukasz Sekulski Midfielder
7.03
9
Giannis Niarchos
Giannis Niarchos Attacker
6.54
30
Wiktor Nowak
Wiktor Nowak Attacker
6.87
88
Kyriakos Savvidis
Kyriakos Savvidis Central Midfield
7.01
4
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Marcus Haglind-Sangré Right Back
6.74
14
Dominik Kun
Dominik Kun Central Midfield
6.71
8
Dani Pacheco
Dani Pacheco Central Midfield
7.2
25
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Nemanja Mijuskovic Left Back
6.71
35
Marcin Kaminski
Marcin Kaminski Centre Back
6.81

CONCLUSION

Pogoń Szczecin's structural power edge of 10.1 points and home advantage at Stadion Miejski position them well against Wisła Płock, despite the visitors' stronger league standing at 5th and better form of 27.78. Wisła will aim to leverage their momentum, but Pogoń's higher rating suggests control in key areas. With limited advanced stats, focus falls on solid defending and clinical finishing. The hosts could edge a tight affair, using familiarity with the venue to secure points and close the gap in the table.