Pogoń Szczecin vs Motor Lublin preview

Poland flag 2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera Sat, 8 Aug - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Pogoń SzczecinPSZ
3 1
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
Full Time Sat, 8 Aug 3:30 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Makan Aïko - 90'

CONTEXT

Pogoń Szczecin hosted Motor Lublin and secured a 3-1 victory with a halftime lead of 2-0. The home side controlled the opening period effectively before adding a third goal after the break. Motor Lublin responded with a late consolation but could not close the gap. Home possession stood at 44 percent while the visitors held 56 percent. No red cards were shown to either team. Pogoń Szczecin as the stronger side delivered the expected result against their opponents. The match featured standard adjustments in the second half without major disruptions. This outcome reflected the pre-match assessment of team strengths and produced a clear winner on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Pogoń Szczecin recorded a significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not recorded for this match.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were available to assess expectations.
  • Event impact: Pogoń Szczecin secured a 3-1 victory over Motor Lublin.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Marciniak
S. Marciniak
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
T. Listkiewicz
T. Listkiewicz
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Kupsik
A. Kupsik
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Marciniak
T. Marciniak
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Pogoń Szczecin Ó. García Junyent
Ó. García Junyent
VS
Motor Lublin M. Misiura
M. Misiura
1.59
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 65 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 69 L
Katowice Rank: 68 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 65 W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 71 L
Wisła Płock Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 72 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 63 D
Legia Warszawa Rank: 71 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 63 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 60 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 75 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.08
61.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pogoń Szczecin
Motor Lublin
Power Score
67.08
61.58
League Position
3
16
Global Rank
358
536

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pogoń Szczecin — Opponent-weighted form score
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pogoń Szczecin Motor Lublin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Pogoń Szczecin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Motor Lublin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Pogoń Szczecin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Motor Lublin
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.89
33.66
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.66
39.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Pogoń Szczecin +0.64 Efficiency Index
vs
Motor Lublin -0.64 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Pogoń Szczecin
Motor Lublin
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Pogoń Szczecin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Motor Lublin
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Pogoń Szczecin Motor Lublin
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Pogoń Szczecin Motor Lublin
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Pogoń Szczecin
Motor Lublin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
Motor Lublin
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Pogoń Szczecin Motor Lublin
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Pogoń Szczecin 0.29
Motor Lublin 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Pogoń Szczecin Motor Lublin
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Pogoń Szczecin 0.02
Motor Lublin 0.06
Pogoń Szczecin
Motor Lublin
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PSZ had peak pressure around 59'.
  • Motor Lublin started the game with stronger pressure.
PSZ Pressure Motor Lublin Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PSZ reached the top pressure at 59' (82.64).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pogoń Szczecin PSZ Home
4 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
10
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:32:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Capacity
18027
Attendance
19308
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Szymon Marciniak
Tomasz Listkiewicz
Adam Kupsik
Tomasz Marciniak

Statistics

Possession
PSZ
46%
Motor Lublin
54%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 8
51 Dangerous attacks 57
44 Possession 56
2 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

26 Ball Safe 16
12 Goal Kicks 6
2 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 4
22 Throwins 22
1 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Assists 1
1 Injuries 1
12 Dribble Attempts 14
2 Successful Dribbles 6
17 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

Attacking

67 Attacks 77
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

56 Long Passes 39
387 Passes 486
319 Successful Passes 416
82 Successful Passes Percentage 86
9 Key Passes 9
31 Successful Long Passes 14
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

3 Saves 3
16 Tackles 16
5 Interceptions 14
37 Duels Won 52

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 19
5 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

77
Valentin Cojocaru
Valentin Cojocaru Goalkeeper
6.98
4
Léo Borges
Léo Borges Defender
6.97
23
Benjamin Mendy
Benjamin Mendy
Defender66'
6.52
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Dimitrios Keramitsis Defender
7.09
28
Linus Wahlqvist
Linus Wahlqvist Defender
6.89
41
Attila Szalai
Attila Szalai Defender
7.51
7
Musa Juwara
Musa Juwara Midfielder
6.98
11
Kamil Grosicki
Kamil Grosicki
Midfielder80'
6.97
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
Fredrik Ulvestad Midfielder
6.92
16
Patryk Dziczek
Patryk Dziczek Midfielder
6.82
21
Darko Churlinov
Darko Churlinov Midfielder
6.95
10
Filip Cuic
Filip Cuic
Attacker57'
6.82
35
Maciej Wojciechowski
Maciej Wojciechowski (C) Midfielder
6.4
3
Kellyn Acosta
Kellyn Acosta
Midfielder57'
7.31
18
Paul Mukairu
Paul Mukairu Attacker
6.74
15
Hussein Ali
Hussein Ali
Defender80'
6.27
Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

71
Mihai Popa
Mihai Popa Goalkeeper
6.29
4
Tin Plavotic
Tin Plavotic Defender
6.34
18
Bartosz Bereszyński
Bartosz Bereszyński Defender
6.71
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Defender
6.66
29
Thomas Santos
Thomas Santos Defender
6.82
70
Makan Aïko
Makan Aïko
Midfielder65'
7.1
6
Mateusz Łęgowski
Mateusz Łęgowski Midfielder
6.39
8
Christopher Simon
Christopher Simon Midfielder
7
2
Paskal Meyer
Paskal Meyer
Defender82'
6.33
11
Fábio Ronaldo
Fábio Ronaldo Midfielder
6.59
17
Kamil Lukoszek
Kamil Lukoszek
Midfielder77'
6.45
27
Yacine Bourhane
Yacine Bourhane Midfielder
7.04
90
Dominik Gregorski
Dominik Gregorski
Attacker82'
6.76
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Midfielder
6.58
10
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak (C) Attacker
7.13

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kellyn Acosta
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90'
90'
Event
Makan Aïko
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
84'
82'
Event
Dominik Gregorski → Yacine Bourhane
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Paskal Meyer → Christopher Simon
9th Substitution
Event
Hussein Ali → Paul Mukairu
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Kamil Grosicki  → Musa Juwara
7th Substitution
80'
77'
Event
Kamil Lukoszek → Fábio Ronaldo
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Fábio Ronaldo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Benjamin Mendy → Léo Borges
4th Substitution
66'
65'
Event
Makan Aïko → Thomas Santos
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Tin Plavotic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Kellyn Acosta → Maciej Wojciechowski
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Filip Cuic → Darko Churlinov
2nd Substitution
57'
1ST-HALF
Event
Attila Szalai
Header / 2nd Goal
43'
Event
Darko Churlinov
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
17'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Kellyn Acosta scores with a left-footed shot.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Makan Aiko with a right-footed shot results in a goal.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kellyn Acosta scores, making it 3-1.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
87
Attempt Attempt
Filip Cuic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
86
Attempt Attempt
Makan Aiko's right-footed shot is blocked.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Dimitrios Keramitsis.
83
Attempt Attempt
Filip Cuic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Dimitrios Keramitsis.
82
Update Update
Paskal Konrad Meyer is on, and Christopher Simon is off.
80
Update Update
Hussein Ali comes on for Paul Omo Mukairu.
80
Update Update
Kamil Grosicki is on, and Musa Juwara is off.
78
Attempt Attempt
Filip Cuic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
77
Update Update
Kamil Lukoszek comes on for Fabio Ronaldo.
75
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Bereszynski takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Ronaldo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a header, but it's saved.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Attempt Attempt
Dimitrios Keramitsis takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fabio Ronaldo receives a yellow card.
65
Update Update
On comes Benjamin Mendy, off goes Leonardo Borges Da Silva.
63
Update Update
Makan Aiko is on, and Thomas Santos is off.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Tin Plavotic.
57
Update Update
Filip Cuic replaces Darko Churlinov.
57
Update Update
On comes Kellyn Acosta, off goes Maciej Wojciechowski.
55
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Ronaldo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Paul Omo Mukairu's header is saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Dimitrios Keramitsis takes a shot with his head but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Musa Juwara takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Maciej Wojciechowski takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Maciej Wojciechowski takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attila Szalai attempts a header but misses the shot.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Attila Szalai Head Shot Goal
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Attila Szalai scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Linus Wahlqvist.
38
Update Update
Karol Czubak's header is blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Simon takes a left-footed shot but misses.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Santos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye takes a left-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Bereszynski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye with his left foot is blocked.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Darko Churlinov takes a right-footed shot and scores.
17
Attempt Attempt
Dimitrios Keramitsis takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Szymon Marciniak.

CONCLUSION

Pogoń Szczecin completed a straightforward 3-1 win over Motor Lublin after establishing a 2-0 halftime advantage. The home team managed the game efficiently despite lower possession figures. Motor Lublin created opportunities but finished with only one goal. The absence of red cards allowed both sides to maintain full squads throughout. This result confirmed the stronger team prevailing without notable interruptions. Second half play saw limited adjustments as the scoreline remained stable after the third goal. Overall the contest followed expected patterns based on team rankings and produced a decisive outcome for the home side.