Petrovac vs Žalgiris preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion pod Malim brdom Thu, 9 Jul - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
PetrovacPET
1 3
ŽalgirisŽLG
Full Time Thu, 9 Jul 6:45 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal
Nikola Petković - 18', 58'

CONTEXT

The match between Petrovac and Žalgiris served as the opening leg of a two-legged knockout encounter. Petrovac, identified as the stronger team beforehand, hosted the fixture but ultimately suffered a 1-3 loss. Both sides found the net once in the first half, leaving the score level at 1-1 during the interval. Žalgiris then dominated proceedings after the break, adding two further goals to establish a commanding position for the second leg. The away side controlled more of the ball with 55 percent possession against Petrovac's 45 percent. No dismissals occurred on either side throughout the ninety minutes. This outcome highlighted a substantial shift from initial assessments, as the visitors overcame the home team's favored status through effective play. The significant deviation in performance underscored Žalgiris's ability to capitalize on opportunities away from home.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Petrovac 1-3 Žalgiris. Žalgiris showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment assessment in this fixture.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market expectations as indicated by available data.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were recorded to evaluate expectations against actual outcomes.
  • Event impact: The second half goals by Žalgiris proved decisive in determining the match outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary events affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Kubryak
D. Kubryak
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
V. Nyzhnyk
V. Nyzhnyk
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Striletska
M. Striletska
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Skrypnyk
M. Skrypnyk
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Petrovac Z. Dragićević
Z. Dragićević
VS
Žalgiris A. Skerla
A. Skerla
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Petrovac
26.74%
Draw
27.09%
Away Žalgiris
46.17%

Movement

Changes since opening
Petrovac
+25.97%
Draw
+25.18%
Žalgiris
-51.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Petrovac
Žalgiris
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Petrovac — Opponent-weighted form score
Žalgiris — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Petrovac Žalgiris

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Petrovac

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Žalgiris

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Petrovac ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Žalgiris
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
17.56
33.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.36
17.56
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Petrovac -1.49 Efficiency Index
vs
Žalgiris +1.49 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Petrovac
Žalgiris
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Petrovac ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Žalgiris
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Petrovac Žalgiris
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Petrovac Žalgiris
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Petrovac
Žalgiris
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Petrovac
vs
Žalgiris
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Petrovac Žalgiris
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Petrovac 0.16
Žalgiris 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Petrovac Žalgiris
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Petrovac 0.06
Žalgiris 0.03
Petrovac
Žalgiris
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ŽLG had peak pressure around 56'.
  • PET started the game with stronger pressure.
PET Pressure ŽLG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ŽLG reached the top pressure at 56' (73.66).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 09, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion pod Malim brdom
Capacity
1450
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dmitriy Kubryak
Viktor Nyzhnyk
Maryna Striletska
Maksym Skrypnyk

Statistics

Possession
PET
45%
ŽLG
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
4 Shots 12
38 Dangerous attacks 47
45 Possession 55
3 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

65 Ball Safe 78
5 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 4
15 Throwins 15
1 Assists 2
1 Injuries 3

Attacking

83 Attacks 92

Discipline

4 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak

Starting XI ▼

25
Marko Kordić
Marko Kordić Goalkeeper
5.7
5
Aleksandar Kapisoda
Aleksandar Kapisoda (C) Defender
5.86
23
Robert Gjelaj
Robert Gjelaj Defender
5.86
29
Danilo Pešukić
Danilo Pešukić Defender
6.04
4
Ognjen Obradović
Ognjen Obradović
Defender61'
44
Marko Merdović
Marko Merdović Defender
5.86
7
Trimror Selimi
Trimror Selimi Midfielder
6.27
8
Danilo Bakić
Danilo Bakić
Midfielder72'
10
Nemanja Carević
Nemanja Carević Midfielder
6.18
11
Ivan Vukcevic
Ivan Vukcevic Midfielder
6.27
99
Vuk Strikovic
Vuk Strikovic
Attacker61'
18
S. Fićović
S. Fićović Midfielder
6.27
14
Nikola Balević
Nikola Balević
Midfielder80'
30
Nikola Janjić
Nikola Janjić Midfielder
6.27
—
Nikola Janjić
80'
17
Savo Arambašić Attacker
Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak

Starting XI ▼

12
Vincentas Šarkauskas
Vincentas Šarkauskas Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Danny Lupano
Danny Lupano Defender
6.25
15
Petar Bosančić
Petar Bosančić Defender
6.26
21
Dominik Franke
Dominik Franke Defender
6.25
23
Saba Mamatsashvili
Saba Mamatsashvili
Defender77'
6.5
77
Yuriy Kendysh
Yuriy Kendysh (C) Defender
6.26
6
Marko Capan
Marko Capan Midfielder
6.37
22
Ovidijus Verbickas
Ovidijus Verbickas
Midfielder85'
6.5
10
Paulius Golubickas
Paulius Golubickas Midfielder
6.37
18
Deividas Šešplaukis
Deividas Šešplaukis Midfielder
6.48
70
Bryan Teixeira
Bryan Teixeira Midfielder
6.48
5
Grigore Turda
Grigore Turda
Defender77'
6.5
11
Nikola Petković
Nikola Petković Attacker
2
7.1
20
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko
Midfielder68'
19
Stanislav Bilenkyi
Stanislav Bilenkyi Attacker
6.82

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Stanislav Bilenkyi
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
85'
Event
Ovidijus Verbickas → Marko Capan
9th Substitution
Event
Nikola Balević → S. Fićović
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Djordje Fabris → Nikola Janjić
8th Substitution
80'
77'
Event
Saba Mamatsashvili → Dominik Franke
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Grigore Turda → Bryan Teixeira
6th Substitution
Event
Danilo Bakić → Trimror Selimi
4th Substitution
72'
68'
Event
Ivan Lytvynenko → Nikola Petković
3rd Substitution
Event
Ognjen Obradović → Danilo Pešukić
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Vuk Strikovic → Ivan Vukcevic
2nd Substitution
61'
58'
Event
Nikola Petković
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Robert Gjelaj
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
53'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Dominik Franke
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Nemanja Carević
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
27'
18'
Event
Nikola Petković
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
85
Update Update
Ovidijus Verbickas comes on for Marko Capan.
80
Update Update
Djordje Fabris replaces Nikola Janjic.
80
Update Update
Nikola Balevic is on, and Stefan Ficovic is off.
77
Update Update
Saba Mamatsashvili is on, and Dominik Franke is off.
77
Update Update
Grigore Turda comes on for Bryan Silva Teixeira.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Danilo Bakic is on, and Trimror Selimi is off.
68
Substitution Substitution
Ivan Lytvynenko is substituted off for Nikola Petkovic.
61
Update Update
Ognjen Obradovic comes on for Danilo Pesukic.
61
Update Update
On Vuk Strikovic, off Ivan Vukcevic.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Robert Gjelaj receives a yellow card.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Franke receives a yellow card.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nikola Petkovic scores, making it 1-0.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has started!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Petrovac 1-3 Žalgiris. Structural assessment: Žalgiris exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.