Penrith AFC vs Bridlington Town preview

England flag 2026/2027 FA Cup, England
FA Cup
Penrith AFCPENR
1 2
Bridlington TownBRI
Full Time
Extra Preliminary Round

CONTEXT

Penrith AFC hosted Bridlington Town in a match that concluded 1-2 to the visitors after a scoreless first half. Penrith AFC entered as the stronger side yet could not prevent Bridlington Town from claiming all three points through second half goals. The result marked a significant deviation linked to the away team performance relative to pre match expectations. No red cards were issued to either side across the full ninety minutes leaving team structures unchanged. Expected goals possession and efficiency data remained unavailable limiting quantitative assessment of chance creation and conversion. The outcome stayed consistent with recorded market alignment indicators while efficiency stayed in line with the final score. This fixture illustrated how results can diverge from initial team strength evaluations even without disciplinary interventions or recorded statistical differentials.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Penrith AFC 1-2 Bridlington Town. Bridlington Town showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the final result.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess alignment with the score.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing values.
  • Event impact: Second half adjustments enabled the away team to secure victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Penrith AFC Penrith AFC
Penrith AFC
VS
Bridlington Town Bridlington Town
Bridlington Town
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Penrith AFC
Bridlington Town
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Penrith AFC — Opponent-weighted form score
Bridlington Town — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Penrith AFC Bridlington Town

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Penrith AFC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bridlington Town

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Penrith AFC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bridlington Town
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Penrith AFC Bridlington Town
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
— —
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Penrith AFC Bridlington Town
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
— —
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Penrith AFC
Bridlington Town
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Penrith AFC
vs
Bridlington Town
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Penrith AFC Bridlington Town
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Penrith AFC 0.00
Bridlington Town 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Penrith AFC Bridlington Town
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Penrith AFC 0.00
Bridlington Town 0.00
Penrith AFC
Bridlington Town
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 FA Cup, England · Extra Preliminary Round
Stadium
,
Capacity
N/A
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Match Commentary

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Penrith AFC 1-2 Bridlington Town. Structural assessment: Bridlington Town exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.