Parma vs Catania preview

Italy flag 2026/2027 Coppa Italia, Italy
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Coppa Italia
ParmaPRM
2 0
CataniaCAT
Full Time
1st Round
Simone Lontani - 19', 35'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Parma defeated Catania 2-0 with both goals arriving before the interval to set the tone for the contest. The home side capitalized on early opportunities while limiting Catania despite the visitors controlling 66 percent of possession. Parma posted 2.03 expected goals against Catania's 0.49, underscoring their superior threat in front of goal. The halftime score of 2-0 remained unchanged as the second period produced no further breakthroughs. No red cards were shown to either team, preserving a standard eleven versus eleven dynamic throughout. The stronger side delivered a result that aligned with underlying performance indicators and confirmed their status as the dominant force on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Parma exhibited a significant structural deviation of 100 percent in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the expected goals differential of 1.54.
  • Market alignment: The result showed true alignment with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: Parma generated 2.03 expected goals compared to Catania's 0.49.
  • Event impact: The two first-half goals proved decisive in securing the 2-0 victory.
  • Red card distortion: With no red cards issued, there was no distortion from disciplinary events.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Crezzini
V. Crezzini
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
F. Fontani
F. Fontani
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Boato
G. Boato
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Sacchi
J. Sacchi
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Parma C. Antón Cuesta
C. Antón Cuesta
VS
Catania E. Longo
E. Longo
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vicenza Rank: 46 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.16
48.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Parma
Catania
Power Score
75.16
48.72
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
151
593

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Parma — Opponent-weighted form score
Catania — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Parma Catania

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Parma

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Catania

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Parma ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Catania
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.09
13.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.86
43.09
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Parma +2.82 Efficiency Index
vs
Catania -2.82 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Parma
Catania
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Parma
vs
Catania
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Parma Catania
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
30%
17%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.60 vs -0.08
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Parma Catania
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
17%
30%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.08 vs -0.60
Parma
Catania
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Parma
vs
Catania
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Parma Catania
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Parma 0.23
Catania 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Parma Catania
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Parma 0.00
Catania 0.04
Parma
Catania
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CAT had peak pressure around 66'.
  • CAT started the game with stronger pressure.
PRM Pressure CAT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CAT reached the top pressure at 66' (91.31).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Coppa Italia, Italy · 1st Round
Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Capacity
27906
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valerio Crezzini
Federico Fontani
Giovanni Boato
Juan Luca Sacchi

Statistics

Possession
PRM
39%
CAT
61%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
1 Shots 2
53 Dangerous attacks 63
34 Possession 66
3 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 19
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

69 Ball Safe 105
7 Goal Kicks 4
10 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
12 Throwins 17
1 Assists 0
19 Dribble Attempts 24
7 Successful Dribbles 10
37 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42

Attacking

92 Attacks 140
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

23 Long Passes 41
340 Passes 636
300 Successful Passes 572
88 Successful Passes Percentage 90
9 Successful Long Passes 25
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 61

Defensive

2 Saves 6
20 Tackles 16
16 Interceptions 10
37 Duels Won 46

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 20
3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
19 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Valerio Crezzini

Starting XI ▼

40
Edoardo Corvi
Edoardo Corvi Goalkeeper
6.96
14
Emanuele Valeri
Emanuele Valeri Defender
7.33
15
Enrico Delprato
Enrico Delprato (C) Defender
7.37
37
Mariano Troilo
Mariano Troilo Defender
7.12
39
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati Defender
6.81
10
Adrián Bernabé
Adrián Bernabé Midfielder
6.89
24
Oliver Sørensen
Oliver Sørensen
Midfielder66'
6.4
32
Christian Ordóñez
Christian Ordóñez Midfielder
6.68
47
Abdou-Salam Konaté
Abdou-Salam Konaté Midfielder
7.08
16
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita
Midfielder66'
6.6
19
El Bilal Touré
El Bilal Touré Attacker
7.63
20
Matija Frigan
Matija Frigan
Attacker67'
6.13
27
Sascha Britschgi
Sascha Britschgi Attacker
6.62
29
Franco Carboni
Franco Carboni
Defender83'
6.24
76
Simone Lontani
Simone Lontani Attacker
2
8.46
7
Ousmane Diallo
Ousmane Diallo
Attacker77'
6.8
Referee : Valerio Crezzini

Starting XI ▼

22
Filippo Rinaldi
Filippo Rinaldi Goalkeeper
7.58
2
Gabriele Pagliai
Gabriele Pagliai Defender
6.36
6
Andrea Allegretto
Andrea Allegretto Defender
6.43
5
Marco Perrotta
Marco Perrotta
Defender82'
6.67
20
Daniele Donnarumma
Daniele Donnarumma Defender
6.63
19
Alessandro Raimo
Alessandro Raimo
Defender46'
6.74
68
Mario Ierardi
Mario Ierardi Defender
6.81
8
Kaleb Jiménez
Kaleb Jiménez Midfielder
6.88
16
Alessandro Quaini
Alessandro Quaini Midfielder
6.97
14
Francesco Di Tacchio
Francesco Di Tacchio
Midfielder63'
6.78
30
Andrea Corbari
Andrea Corbari Midfielder
6.11
21
Michael Liguori
Michael Liguori
Attacker46'
6.79
7
Giovanni Bruzzaniti
Giovanni Bruzzaniti Attacker
6.56
10
Emanuele Cicerelli
Emanuele Cicerelli (C) Attacker
7.47
77
Simone Leonardi
Simone Leonardi Attacker
6.31
9
Salvatore Caturano
Salvatore Caturano
Attacker63'
6.47

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Franco Carboni
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Franco Carboni → Sascha Britschgi
10th Substitution
83'
82'
Event
Marco Perrotta → Andrea Allegretto
9th Substitution
Event
Ousmane Diallo → Simone Lontani
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Matija Frigan → El Bilal Touré
7th Substitution
67'
Event
Mandela Keita → Abdou-Salam Konaté
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Oliver Sørensen → Adrián Bernabé
6th Substitution
66'
63'
Event
Salvatore Caturano → Simone Leonardi
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Francesco Di Tacchio → Alessandro Quaini
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Michael Liguori → Andrea Corbari
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Alessandro Raimo → Daniele Donnarumma
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Simone Leonardi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Simone Lontani
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
35'
33'
Event
Alessandro Quaini
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Simone Lontani
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
19'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Franco Carboni receives a yellow card.
86
Attempt Attempt
Mandela Keita takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Update Update
Franco Carboni is on, and Sascha Britschgi is off.
82
Update Update
Marco Perrotta is on, and Andrea Allegretto is off.
80
Attempt Attempt
Matija Frigan takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Ousmane Diallo is on, and Simone Lontani is off.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Matija Frigan comes on for El Bilal Toure.
66
Update Update
Oliver Sorensen is on, and Adrian Bernabe Garcia is off.
66
Update Update
Mandela Keita comes on for Abdou Konate.
63
Update Update
Salvatore Caturano comes on for Simone Leonardi.
63
Update Update
Salvatore Caturano comes on for Simone Leonardi.
62
Attempt Attempt
Giovanni Bruzzaniti takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Attempt Attempt
Enrico Del Prato takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Sascha Britschgi takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Allegretto's header is saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Emanuele Cicerelli takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Alessandro Raimo replaces Daniele Donnarumma.
46
Substitution Substitution
Michael Liguori is substituted for Andrea Corbari.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
45
Attempt Attempt
Right-footed shot missed.
44
Attempt Attempt
Simone Lontani's left-footed shot is saved.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Simone Lontani scores with a right-footed shot.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
24
Attempt Attempt
Left-footed shot saved.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Simone Lontani scores with a right-footed shot.
19
Update Update
Mariano Troilo's header is blocked.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Simone Lontani scores to make it 1-0.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot taken but missed the target.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Parma 2-0 Catania. Structural assessment: Parma exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.