Paris Saint Germain vs Brest preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Parc des Princes Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain PSG
Brest B29
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Paris Saint-Germain welcome Brest to the Parc des Princes for Ligue 1 regular season action in the 2025/2026 campaign. As league leaders in 1st place, PSG wield a dominant power score of 94.97 against Brest's 72.88, translating to a 22.1-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with PSG's 24.72 rating towering over Brest's 5.17. While Brest sit 12th in the table, PSG's home venue amplifies their edge in this mismatch. Limited data on set pieces due to unavailable xG stats leaves some questions, but overall profiles point to PSG control. Efficiency and transition insights remain sparse, yet the Parisians' top-table pedigree suggests a routine outing against mid-table opposition.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Paris Saint Germain hold a 22.1-point power advantage over Brest.
  • Form: Paris Saint Germain's form score of 24.72 dwarfs Brest's 5.17.
  • Squad: Paris Saint Germain top Ligue 1 in 1st place while Brest occupy 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG statistics.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables not available for either team.
  • Market: Paris Saint Germain 80.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 12.9% (Δ+0%) | Brest 6.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Paris Saint Germain L. Martínez García
L. Martínez García
VS
Brest E. Roy
E. Roy
2.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lorient Rank: 74 D
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Nantes Rank: 65 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 81 L
Toulouse Rank: 74 W
Nice Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Rank: 72 L
Lens Rank: 82 D
Nantes Rank: 64 D
Rennes Rank: 79 L
Auxerre Rank: 70 L
Monaco Rank: 80 L
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 2 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paris Saint Germain
80.21%
Draw
12.88%
Away Brest
6.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
94.97
72.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paris Saint Germain
Brest
Power Score
94.97
72.88
League Position
1
12
Global Rank
5
142

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paris Saint Germain — Opponent-weighted form score
Brest — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paris Saint Germain Brest

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paris Saint Germain PSG Home
20 matches
Brest B29 Away
Match Record
18
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
18
Goals
55
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
55
+40
Goal Difference
-40
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:38:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
M. Safonov
Russia
39 M. Safonov
W. Zaire Emery
France
33 W. Zaire Emery
M. Aoás Corrêa
Brazil
5 M. Aoás Corrêa
L. Lopes Beraldo
Brazil
4 L. Lopes Beraldo
L. Hernández Pi
France
21 L. Hernández Pi
K. Lee
South Korea
19 K. Lee
V. Machado Ferreira
Portugal
17 V. Machado Ferreira
P. Fernández Sarmiento
27 P. Fernández Sarmiento
I. Mbaye
France
49 I. Mbaye
O. Dembélé
France
10 O. Dembélé
B. Barcola
France
29 B. Barcola
G. Coudert
France
30 G. Coudert
D. Guindo
Mali
27 D. Guindo
M. Diaz
4 M. Diaz
B. Chardonnet
France
5 B. Chardonnet
T. Zogbe
Ivory Coast
12 T. Zogbe
H. Makalou
Mali
33 H. Makalou
M. Baldé
Guinea-Bissau
17 M. Baldé
H. Magnetti
France
8 H. Magnetti
L. Tousart
France
24 L. Tousart
R. Del Castillo
France
10 R. Del Castillo
L. Ajorque
France
19 L. Ajorque

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Parc des Princes
Capacity
48583
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jérôme Brisard
Alexis Auger
Steven Torregrossa
Geoffrey Kubler

Lineup

Referee : Jérôme Brisard

Starting XI ▼

39
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper
6.81
4
Lucas Beraldo
Lucas Beraldo Defender
7.19
5
Marquinhos
Marquinhos Defender
6.95
21
Lucas Hernández
Lucas Hernández Defender
6.97
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Warren Zaïre-Emery Defender
7.1
17
Vitinha
Vitinha Midfielder
7.55
19
Kang-in Lee
Kang-in Lee Midfielder
7.19
27
Pedro Fernández
Pedro Fernández Midfielder
6.81
10
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Attacker
7.62
29
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Attacker
7.12
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye Attacker
6.82
Referee : Jérôme Brisard

Starting XI ▼

30
Grégoire Coudert
Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper
6.84
4
Junior Diaz
Junior Diaz Defender
6.9
5
Brendan Chardonnet
Brendan Chardonnet Defender
7.01
12
Luck Zogbé
Luck Zogbé Defender
6.55
27
Daouda Guindo
Daouda Guindo Defender
6.6
8
Hugo Magnetti
Hugo Magnetti Midfielder
6.8
24
Lucas Tousart
Lucas Tousart Midfielder
6.6
33
Hamidou Makalou
Hamidou Makalou Midfielder
6.55
10
Romain Del Castillo
Romain Del Castillo Attacker
6.94
17
Mama Baldé
Mama Baldé Attacker
6.76
19
Ludovic Ajorque
Ludovic Ajorque Attacker
7.17

CONCLUSION

Paris Saint-Germain enter as overwhelming favorites against Brest, backed by superior power ratings, form, and league standing at the Parc des Princes. Their 22.1-point edge and top-table position contrast sharply with Brest's 12th-place struggles and low form score. Home advantage should enable PSG to dictate proceedings, exploiting any Brest weaknesses in structure and output. While set piece and efficiency data gaps exist, the Parisians' overall quality promises control and likely a convincing result in this Ligue 1 encounter.