Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 UEFA Super Cup, Europe
Red Bull Arena Wed, 12 Aug - 7:00 PM
UEFA Super Cup
Paris Saint GermainPSG
Aston VillaAVL
KICKOFF : Wed, 12 Aug - 7:00 PM
Final

CONTEXT

The UEFA Super Cup final brings Paris Saint Germain and Aston Villa together at the Red Bull Arena for the 2026/2027 season decider. PSG arrive with a power score of 96.08 while Aston Villa sit at 94.22, giving the French side a modest 1.9 point edge and confirming them as the stronger team on paper. Both clubs lack recent form records or domestic league positions, shifting attention toward overall squad quality and structural balance. The neutral venue removes home advantage factors and places emphasis on execution under pressure. Limited efficiency and set piece insights add uncertainty to pre-match planning. Paris Saint Germain will aim to convert their narrow power superiority into control, while Aston Villa seek to exploit any gaps through organized play.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Paris Saint Germain hold a slight power advantage of 1.9 points over Aston Villa.
  • Form: Both teams enter with no recent form data available.
  • Squad: Paris Saint Germain are identified as the stronger squad based on power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for either side in this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition play details remain unspecified due to limited data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: The power score differential highlights a narrow edge for the home side.
  • Market: Paris Saint Germain 53.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Aston Villa 21.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Paris Saint Germain L. Martínez García
L. Martínez García
VS
Aston Villa U. Emery Etxegoien
U. Emery Etxegoien
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paris Saint Germain
53.13%
Draw
24.94%
Away Aston Villa
21.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
96.08
94.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paris Saint Germain
Aston Villa
Power Score
96.08
94.22
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
5
8

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paris Saint Germain — Opponent-weighted form score
Aston Villa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paris Saint Germain Aston Villa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paris Saint Germain PSG Home
2 matches
Aston Villa AVL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
5
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-05T01:01:06+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 12, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 UEFA Super Cup, Europe · Final
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
Capacity
30188
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Omar Abdulkadir Artan
Liban Abdourazak Ahmed
Stephen Yiembe
Rade Obrenović

Squad

Referee : Omar Abdulkadir Artan

Squad ▼

39
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper
30
Lucas Chevalier
Lucas Chevalier Goalkeeper
16
Alessandro Longoni
Alessandro Longoni Goalkeeper
5
Marcos Aoás Corrêa
Marcos Aoás Corrêa Defender
21
Lucas Hernández Pi
Lucas Hernández Pi Defender
2
Achraf Hakimi Mouh
Achraf Hakimi Mouh Defender
51
William Joel Pacho Tenorio
William Joel Pacho Tenorio Defender
6
Illia Zabarnyi
Illia Zabarnyi Defender
25
Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes Defender
4
Lucas Lopes Beraldo
Lucas Lopes Beraldo Defender
—
Yoram Zague
Yoram Zague Defender
—
Renato Júnior Luz Sanches
Renato Júnior Luz Sanches Midfielder
8
Fabián Ruiz Peña
Fabián Ruiz Peña Midfielder
17
Vitor Machado Ferreira
Vitor Machado Ferreira Midfielder
87
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves Midfielder
33
Warren Zaire Emery
Warren Zaire Emery Midfielder
24
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu Midfielder
27
Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
Pedro Fernández Sarmiento Midfielder
10
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Attacker
—
Randal Kolo Muani
Randal Kolo Muani Attacker
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Attacker
29
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Attacker
14
Desire Doue
Desire Doue Attacker
47
Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha
Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha Attacker
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye Attacker
Referee : Omar Abdulkadir Artan

Squad ▼

23
Damián Emiliano Martínez
Damián Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper
40
Marco Bizot
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper
5
Tyrone Mings
Tyrone Mings Defender
2
Matty Cash
Matty Cash Defender
4
Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
Ezri Konsa Ngoyo Defender
12
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Defender
3
Victor Nilsson Lindelöf
Victor Nilsson Lindelöf Defender
14
Pau Francisco Torres
Pau Francisco Torres Defender
22
Ian Maatsen
Ian Maatsen Defender
32
Kosta Nedeljković
Kosta Nedeljković Defender
48
Modou Kéba Cissé
Modou Kéba Cissé Defender
6
Ross Barkley
Ross Barkley Midfielder
8
Boubacar Kamara
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder
7
John McGinn
John McGinn Midfielder
24
Amadou Zeund Georges Mvom Onana
Amadou Zeund Georges Mvom Onana Midfielder
35
João Victor Gomes da Silva
João Victor Gomes da Silva Midfielder
26
Lamar Bogarde
Lamar Bogarde Midfielder
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
18
Kevin Oghenetega Tamaraebi Bakumo-Abraham
Kevin Oghenetega Tamaraebi Bakumo-Abraham Attacker
11
Ollie Watkins
Ollie Watkins Attacker
31
Leon Bailey Butler
Leon Bailey Butler Attacker
10
Emiliano Buendía
Emiliano Buendía Attacker
29
Evann Guessand
Evann Guessand Attacker
33
Samuel Iling
Samuel Iling Attacker
17
Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra
Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra Attacker
47
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos Attacker

CONCLUSION

Paris Saint Germain carry a modest structural edge into the UEFA Super Cup final against Aston Villa. With both sides short on recent match data the contest will likely hinge on squad depth and tactical discipline at the Red Bull Arena. PSG are expected to dictate tempo early while Aston Villa look for openings on the counter. Set piece and efficiency information remains sparse so individual quality and in-game adjustments could prove decisive. The narrow power gap suggests a tight affair where small margins determine the winner. Supporters can anticipate a high-intensity battle focused on possession control and defensive organization throughout the ninety minutes.