Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal preview
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Puskás Aréna
Sat, 30 May - 4:00 PM
Champions League
Paris Saint Germain
PSG
Arsenal
ARS
KICKOFF :
Sat, 30 May - 4:00 PM
Final
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 28
CONTEXT
Paris Saint Germain meets Arsenal in the Champions League Final of the 2025/2026 campaign at Puskás Aréna. Arsenal enters as the stronger side according to power metrics, holding a narrow edge over the hosts. Form readings favor Paris Saint Germain ahead of kickoff. Both clubs arrive without recent domestic league positioning to reference, given the international nature of the competition. Set piece evaluations depend on proxy inputs that carry low confidence levels. Efficiency and transition details stay unavailable from current datasets. The encounter marks a high-stakes conclusion to the European season for these two sides.
TL;DR
-
Structural: The match is the Champions League Final at Puskás Aréna in the 2025/2026 season.
-
Form: Paris Saint Germain records a higher form score of 66.72 than Arsenal's 38.
-
Squad: Arsenal leads with a power score of 98.66 over Paris Saint Germain's 94.43.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency statistics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
-
Transition: Transition metrics lack sufficient data for meaningful comparison here.
-
Set pieces: Set piece evaluations use proxy data with low confidence for each side.
-
xVariable: Arsenal holds a 4.2 point power advantage entering the final.
-
Market: Paris Saint Germain 41.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.7% (Δ+0%) | Arsenal 29.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
L. Martínez García
VS
M. Arteta
2
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2.33
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Bayern München
Rank: 100
D
FC Bayern München
Rank: 100
W
Liverpool
Rank: 91
W
Liverpool
Rank: 91
W
Chelsea
Rank: 88
W
Chelsea
Rank: 88
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Madrid
Rank: 89
W
Atlético Madrid
Rank: 88
D
Sporting CP
Rank: 89
D
Sporting CP
Rank: 89
W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Rank: 89
W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Rank: 89
D
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Paris Saint Germain
41.68%
Draw
28.7%
Arsenal
29.62%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
94.43
98.66
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Power Score
94.43
98.66
League Position
11
1
Global Rank
5
2
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Paris Saint Germain
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Arsenal
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Paris Saint Germain Arsenal
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Paris Saint Germain
PSG
Home
5
matches
Arsenal
ARS
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
6
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-28T00:06:44+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
39 M. Safonov
33 W. Zaire Emery
5 M. Aoás Corrêa
4 L. Lopes Beraldo
21 L. Hernández Pi
87 J. Gonçalves Neves
17 V. Machado Ferreira
8 F. Ruiz Peña
14 D. Doue
9 G. Ramos
7 K. Kvaratskhelia
1 D. Raya Martin
33 R. Calafiori
6 G. dos Santos Magalhães
2 W. Saliba
3 C. Mosquera
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
41 D. Rice
19 L. Trossard
10 E. Eze
7 B. Saka
14 V. Gyökeres
General Information
Date & Time
May 30, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe · Final
Stadium
Puskás Aréna
Capacity
68976
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jan Seidel
Rafael Foltyn
Sandro Schärer
Daniel Siebert
Lineup
Referee :
Daniel Siebert
Manager ▼
L. Martínez García
Coach
Starting XI ▼
39
Matvey Safonov
Goalkeeper
6.99 4
Lucas Beraldo
Defender
6.36 5
Marquinhos
Defender
6.87 21
Lucas Hernández
Defender
6.36 33
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Defender
6.77 8
Fabián Ruiz
Midfielder
7.13 17
Vitinha
Midfielder
7.57 87
João Neves
Midfielder
7.18 7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Attacker
7.72 9
Gonçalo Ramos
Attacker
6.64 14
Désiré Doué
Attacker
7.55
Referee :
Daniel Siebert
Manager ▼
M. Arteta
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
David Raya
Goalkeeper
7.19 2
William Saliba
Defender
6.84 3
Cristhian Mosquera
Defender
6.68 6
Gabriel Magalhães
Defender
7.13 33
Riccardo Calafiori
Defender
6.82 10
Eberechi Eze
Midfielder
7.01 41
Declan Rice
Midfielder
7.35 49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Midfielder
6.95 7
Bukayo Saka
Attacker
7.21 14
Viktor Gyökeres
Attacker
6.86 19
Leandro Trossard
Attacker
7.07 CONCLUSION
Arsenal carries a modest overall power rating into the final despite trailing in recent form indicators. Paris Saint Germain will look to exploit that momentum when the sides meet on neutral ground. Limited supporting data on efficiency and transitions leaves room for in-game adjustments by both coaches. Set piece contributions remain difficult to project accurately given the proxy nature of available inputs. The venue itself offers a neutral setting that could influence patterns of play. Each team must balance defensive caution with attacking intent across the full ninety minutes. Preparation focuses on adapting to the unique demands of a one-off European decider.