Panevėžys vs Tobol preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas Today - 3:30 PM
Europa Conference League
Panevėžys Panevėžys
Tobol Tobol
KICKOFF : Today - 3:30 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Panevėžys welcomes Tobol to Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas for the opening leg of their Europa Conference League second qualifying round tie. Power ratings sit level at fifty apiece, leaving neither side with a numerical edge on paper. The hosts receive recognition as the marginally stronger unit, yet the zero-point advantage underscores how evenly matched the pair appears. Domestic league positions offer no guidance because both clubs compete outside their usual environments. Recent outings remain undocumented, producing blank form records for the encounter. Set-piece metrics carry low confidence ratings and rely on proxy inputs, limiting detailed projections. The fixture marks the start of a two-legged contest where the initial result will shape the return meeting. Overall preparation focuses on tactical discipline rather than historical trends.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Equal power scores indicate a balanced structural matchup between the sides.
  • Form: Both teams enter without recent form data available.
  • Squad: Panevėžys holds a slight squad edge as the designated stronger team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics remain unavailable ahead of the fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not provided in current data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data in use.
  • xVariable: Power advantage stands at zero points for this encounter.
  • Market: Panevėžys 28.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ+0%) | Tobol 43.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Panevėžys T. Korkeakunnas
T. Korkeakunnas
VS
Tobol M. Romashchenko
M. Romashchenko
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Panevėžys
28.88%
Draw
27.34%
Away Tobol
43.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Panevėžys
Tobol
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Panevėžys — Opponent-weighted form score
Tobol — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Panevėžys Tobol

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Panevėžys Panevėžys Home
0 matches
Tobol Tobol Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-22T00:06:20+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas
Capacity
4000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Alf Olav Rossland
Edvard Helgerud
Marius Lien

Squad

Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Squad ▼

1
Vytautas Gediminas Černiauskas
Vytautas Gediminas Černiauskas Goalkeeper
22
Arijus Bražinskas
Arijus Bražinskas Goalkeeper
12
Liudvikas Valius
Liudvikas Valius Goalkeeper
95
Joël Fey d'Or Bopesu
Joël Fey d'Or Bopesu Defender
15
Justinas Januševskij
Justinas Januševskij Defender
33
Seydina Abou Bakr Lamine Keita
Seydina Abou Bakr Lamine Keita Defender
32
Rokas Rasimavičius
Rokas Rasimavičius Defender
13
Strahinja Kerkez
Strahinja Kerkez Defender
45
Milan Delević
Milan Delević Defender
5
Miano van den Bos
Miano van den Bos Defender
4
Rayen Mzoughi
Rayen Mzoughi Defender
50
Laurit Krasniqi
Laurit Krasniqi Defender
66
Dovydas Balsys
Dovydas Balsys Defender
25
Ignas Lukoševičius
Ignas Lukoševičius Defender
26
Jerôme Simon
Jerôme Simon Midfielder
7
Ernestas Veliulis
Ernestas Veliulis Midfielder
11
Lovro Grajfoner
Lovro Grajfoner Midfielder
6
Matas Ramanauskas
Matas Ramanauskas Midfielder
77
Parfait Bizoza
Parfait Bizoza Midfielder
34
Isaac Asante
Isaac Asante Midfielder
28
Ernestas Burdzilauskas
Ernestas Burdzilauskas Midfielder
—
Yassine Dridi
Yassine Dridi Midfielder
8
Salomon Kouadio
Salomon Kouadio Midfielder
80
Elivelto Ribeiro Dantas
Elivelto Ribeiro Dantas Attacker
24
Nauris Petkevičius
Nauris Petkevičius Attacker
16
Marko Bačanin
Marko Bačanin Attacker
79
Valdas Paulauskas
Valdas Paulauskas Attacker
27
Kwadwo Asamoah
Kwadwo Asamoah Attacker
17
Oleksandr Kurtsev
Oleksandr Kurtsev Attacker
Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Squad ▼

1
Sultan Busurmanov
Sultan Busurmanov Goalkeeper
44
Danil Ustimenko
Danil Ustimenko Goalkeeper
35
Yuriy Melikhov
Yuriy Melikhov Goalkeeper
25
Antonio Boršić
Antonio Boršić Defender
72
Rayan Senhadji
Rayan Senhadji Defender
22
Aleksandr Marochkin
Aleksandr Marochkin Defender
15
Marko Vukčević
Marko Vukčević Defender
4
Nemanja Cavnić
Nemanja Cavnić Defender
5
Pape Alioune N'Diaye
Pape Alioune N'Diaye Defender
3
Roman Asrankulov
Roman Asrankulov Defender
38
Amanzhol Bakitzhanov
Amanzhol Bakitzhanov Defender
33
Ivan Pivovarov
Ivan Pivovarov Defender
13
Abdoulaye Cissé
Abdoulaye Cissé Midfielder
8
Askhat Tagybergen
Askhat Tagybergen Midfielder
21
Nauryzbek Zhagorov
Nauryzbek Zhagorov Midfielder
14
Mohamed Amine Talal
Mohamed Amine Talal Midfielder
6
Maksim Myakish
Maksim Myakish Midfielder
10
Beibit Galym
Beibit Galym Midfielder
17
Aleksandr Zuev
Aleksandr Zuev Attacker
30
Luis Alejandro Guerra Romero
Luis Alejandro Guerra Romero Attacker
18
Uroš Milovanović
Uroš Milovanović Attacker
7
Zhaslan Zhumashev
Zhaslan Zhumashev Attacker
10
Islam Chesnokov
Islam Chesnokov Attacker
19
Dauren Zhumat
Dauren Zhumat Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Panevėžys holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Panevėžys a 0-point edge. External projection is Panevėžys 27.9%, draw 27.3%, and Tobol 44.8%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.