Palermo vs Juve Stabia preview

Italy flag 2026/2027 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Serie B
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Palermo defeated Juve Stabia by a final score of 1-0. The home side scored once in the opening period to lead 1-0 at halftime. Possession statistics showed Palermo with 46 percent and Juve Stabia with 54 percent. No red cards were issued during the contest. Palermo entered as the stronger team and secured the victory. A significant deviation of 100 percent was recorded for the home side. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with the established pattern. Market alignment held true based on available indicators. Expected goals data remained unavailable so further alignment checks could not be completed. The game concluded without additional events or adjustments altering the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Palermo recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result remained aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing expected goals figures.
  • Event impact: The first half goal created the decisive event impact on the 1-0 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so red card distortion had no effect on the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Collu
G. Collu
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Cavallina
A. Cavallina
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Regattieri
M. Regattieri
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
1.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Catanzaro Rank: 63 W
Catanzaro Rank: 63 L
Venezia Rank: 75 L
Catanzaro Rank: 63 W
Reggiana Rank: 51 D
Cesena Rank: 54 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: 71 L
Monza Rank: 71 D
Modena Rank: 59 W
Südtirol Rank: 55 D
Frosinone Rank: 72 L
Pescara Rank: 51 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.28
58.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Palermo
Juve Stabia
Power Score
67.28
58.27
League Position
8
20
Global Rank
315
603

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Palermo Opponent-weighted form score
Juve Stabia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Palermo Juve Stabia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Palermo

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Juve Stabia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Palermo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Juve Stabia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.41
27.78
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.78
41.41
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Palermo +1.24 Efficiency Index
vs
Juve Stabia -1.24 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Palermo
Juve Stabia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Palermo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Juve Stabia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Palermo Juve Stabia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Palermo Juve Stabia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Palermo
Juve Stabia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Palermo
vs
Juve Stabia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Palermo Juve Stabia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Palermo Juve Stabia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Palermo
Juve Stabia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • JUV had peak pressure around 78'.
  • JUV started the game with stronger pressure.
PAL Pressure JUV Pressure
Pressure Index: JUV reached the top pressure at 78' (68.46).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Palermo PAL Home
5 matches
Juve Stabia JUV Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
6
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-24T00:21:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Serie B, Italy · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Capacity
36365
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Giuseppe Collu
Alex Cavallina
Mattia Regattieri

Statistics

Possession
PAL
48%
JUV
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 3
6 Shots 3
61 Dangerous attacks 40
46 Possession 54
6 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 21
4 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

28 Ball Safe 25
4 Goal Kicks 6
7 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 1
21 Dribble Attempts 20
10 Successful Dribbles 13
48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 65

Attacking

77 Attacks 107
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

47 Long Passes 37
374 Passes 445
307 Successful Passes 368
82 Successful Passes Percentage 83
11 Key Passes 11
23 Successful Long Passes 12
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

Defensive

4 Saves 3
17 Tackles 19
10 Interceptions 9
50 Duels Won 63

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 15
4 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
21 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Giuseppe Collu

Starting XI

14
Mattia Fortin
Mattia Fortin Goalkeeper
7.51
3
Tommaso Augello
Tommaso Augello Defender
7.7
13
Mattia Bani
Mattia Bani (C) Defender
7.28
32
Pietro Ceccaroni
Pietro Ceccaroni Defender
6.87
84
Tommaso Cassandro
6.76
29
Patryk Peda
Patryk Peda
Defender73'
6.22
8
Jacopo Segre
Jacopo Segre Midfielder
6.5
9
Dominic Vavassori
Dominic Vavassori Midfielder
6.76
7
Gabriel Strefezza
5.93
10
Filippo Ranocchia
Filippo Ranocchia Midfielder
7.42
24
Nahuel Estévez
Nahuel Estévez
Midfielder64'
6.56
17
Dennis Johnsen
Dennis Johnsen Midfielder
7.59
21
Jérémy Le Douaron
6.6
23
Hernani
Hernani Midfielder
7.46
20
Joel Pohjanpalo
Joel Pohjanpalo Attacker
6.84
11
Emmanuel Gyasi
Emmanuel Gyasi
Defender85'
6.24
Referee : Giuseppe Collu

Starting XI

23
Pietro Boer
Pietro Boer Goalkeeper
6.81
2
Manuel Ricciardi
Manuel Ricciardi Defender
6.27
6
Marco Bellich
Marco Bellich Defender
6.62
73
Giulio Scuderi
Giulio Scuderi Defender
6.93
25
Terrence Douglas
Terrence Douglas
Defender67'
6.98
87
Davide Bettella
Davide Bettella Defender
6.85
5
Thomas Battistella
Thomas Battistella Midfielder
7
17
Nermin Karić
Nermin Karić
Midfielder67'
7.2
8
Davide Buglio
Davide Buglio Midfielder
7.45
80
Federico Artioli
Federico Artioli
Midfielder75'
6.38
10
Christian Pierobon
Christian Pierobon Midfielder
7.84
7
Nicola Patanè
Nicola Patanè Attacker
6.8
30
Romeo Sandrucci
Romeo Sandrucci
Attacker85'
6.42
11
Kevin Piscopo
Kevin Piscopo Attacker
6.67
77
Saná Fernandes
Saná Fernandes
Attacker75'
6.57
27
Leonardo Candellone
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Jérémy Le Douaron Dennis Johnsen
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Emmanuel Gyasi Joel Pohjanpalo
9th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Romeo Sandrucci Nicola Patanè
10th Substitution
75'
Event
Federico Artioli Davide Buglio
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Saná Fernandes Kevin Piscopo
7th Substitution
Event
Patryk Peda Tommaso Cassandro
5th Substitution
73'
67'
Event
Terrence Douglas Giulio Scuderi
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Nermin Karić Thomas Battistella
4th Substitution
Event
Nahuel Estévez Filippo Ranocchia
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Gabriel Strefezza Dominic Vavassori
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
62'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
4'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-0.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Romeo Sandrucci.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Emmanuel Gyasi receives a yellow card.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Emmanuel Gyasi receives a yellow card.
85
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Le Douaron takes a left-footed shot but misses.
85
Update Update
Jeremy Le Douaron is on, and Dennis Johnsen is off.
83
Update Update
Emmanuel Gyasi comes on for Joel Pohjanpalo.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Romeo Sandrucci comes on for Nicola Patane.
81
Attempt Attempt
Nicola Patane takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
75
Attempt Attempt
Federico Artioli takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
75
Update Update
Sana Fernandes comes on for Kevin Piscopo.
73
Update Update
Federico Artioli replaces Davide Buglio.
72
Update Update
Patryk Peda comes on for Tommaso Cassandro.
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leonardo Candellone Head Shot Missed
67
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Ricciardi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
67
Substitution Substitution
Terrence Douglas is substituted for Giulio Scuderi.
66
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Ricciardi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
Substitution Substitution
Terrence Douglas is substituted for Giulio Scuderi.
65
Update Update
Nermin Karic is on, and Thomas Battistella is off.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Update Update
Gabriel Strefezza comes on for Dominic Vavassori.
63
Update Update
Nahuel Estevez is on, and Filippo Ranocchia is off.
62
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Battistella takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tommaso Augello receives a yellow card.
58
Attempt Attempt
Tommaso Cassandro takes a left-footed shot but misses.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Update Update
Davide Bettella's header is blocked.
55
Update Update
Davide Bettella's header is blocked.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Battistella takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Joel Pohjanpalo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Joel Pohjanpalo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Attempt Attempt
Dominic Vavassori takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 1-0.
42
Update Update
First half ends with a score of 1-0.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tommaso Cassandro receives a yellow card.
38
Attempt Attempt
Filippo Ranocchia takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Filippo Ranocchia takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Joel Pohjanpalo takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Filippo Ranocchia takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
36
Attempt Attempt
Filippo Ranocchia takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
36
Update Update
Offside.
33
Attempt Attempt
Filippo Ranocchia attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
33
Update Update
Offside.
33
Attempt Attempt
Filippo Ranocchia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Dennis Johnsen takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Mattia Bani takes a header shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Candellone's header is saved.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Candellone takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
15
Update Update
Offside.
12
Update Update
Offside.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Battistella takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Giulio Scuderi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Dennis Johnsen takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Giuseppe Collu.

CONCLUSION

The 1-0 result reflected Palermo maintaining a narrow lead established before the interval. Possession favored the visitors yet failed to produce an equalizer. Absence of disciplinary incidents allowed both sides to complete the match with full complements. Significant deviation applied specifically to the home side while efficiency remained consistent. Market alignment confirmed the outcome matched prior indicators though xG values were not supplied for deeper review. The single goal proved sufficient in a low scoring affair. Overall the contest stayed within expected structural bounds without second half changes or external factors shifting the balance.