Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Pärnu Rannastaadion Today - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Paide Paide
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
KICKOFF : Today - 4:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1

CONTEXT

Paide welcome Hegelmann Litauen to Pärnu Rannastaadion for the second leg of their Europa Conference League first qualifying round tie. The sides drew 1-1 in the opening fixture seven days ago leaving the aggregate level at 1-1. Both teams share identical power scores of 23.33 while form scores also match at 16.67. The venue offers Paide a familiar setting yet the visitors remain competitive on paper. Limited recent outing data restricts deeper insight into current momentum. Set piece metrics carry low confidence and rely on proxy information. Overall the contest appears finely balanced with neither side holding a clear structural edge entering the decisive leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Both teams share identical power scores of 23.33.
  • Form: Form scores stand level at 16.67 for each side.
  • Squad: Squad details remain unavailable in current records.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is not provided for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are absent from available inputs.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence with proxy data.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable due to missing inputs.
  • Market: Paide 50.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.1% (Δ+0%) | Hegelmann Litauen 22.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Paide T. Kink
T. Kink
VS
Hegelmann Litauen M. Erneta
M. Erneta
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hegelmann Litauen Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paide Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paide
50.06%
Draw
27.13%
Away Hegelmann Litauen
22.82%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paide
Hegelmann Litauen
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paide — Opponent-weighted form score
Hegelmann Litauen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paide Hegelmann Litauen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paide Paide Home
1 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-15T00:03:01+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1
Stadium
Pärnu Rannastaadion
Capacity
1500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stojanche Trpchevski
Goce Petreski
Martin Petkovski
Benjamin Kjerimi

Squad

Referee : Stojanche Trpchevski

Squad ▼

12
Marko Meerits
Marko Meerits Goalkeeper
56
Mattias Sapp
Mattias Sapp Goalkeeper
99
Ebrima Jarju
Ebrima Jarju Goalkeeper
27
Nikita Baranov
Nikita Baranov Defender
15
Hindrek Ojamaa
Hindrek Ojamaa Defender
7
Edgar Tur
Edgar Tur Defender
5
Gerdo Juhkam
Gerdo Juhkam Defender
2
Michael Lilander
Michael Lilander Defender
3
Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sa
Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sa Defender
4
Pedro Andrade Drozina
Pedro Andrade Drozina Defender
10
Martin Miller
Martin Miller Midfielder
6
Daniel Cabral de Oliveira
Daniel Cabral de Oliveira Midfielder
28
Oskar Hõim
Oskar Hõim Midfielder
21
Ramon Smirnov
Ramon Smirnov Midfielder
16
Aleksandr Šurõgin
Aleksandr Šurõgin Midfielder
24
Romet Nigula
Romet Nigula Midfielder
8
Henrik Ojamaa
Henrik Ojamaa Attacker
9
Henri Anier
Henri Anier Attacker
19
Siim Luts
Siim Luts Attacker
20
Kristofer Piht
Kristofer Piht Attacker
11
Modou Sohna
Modou Sohna Attacker
77
Daniel Luts
Daniel Luts Attacker
30
Abdourahman Badamosi
Abdourahman Badamosi Attacker
17
Pa Cham
Pa Cham Attacker
14
Momodou Jobarteh
Momodou Jobarteh Attacker
Referee : Stojanche Trpchevski

Squad ▼

1
Lukas Paukštė
Lukas Paukštė Goalkeeper
31
Rokas Bagdonavičius
Rokas Bagdonavičius Goalkeeper
80
Lukas Kolendo
Lukas Kolendo Goalkeeper
18
Rimvydas Sadauskas
Rimvydas Sadauskas Defender
7
Carlos Duke
Carlos Duke Defender
37
Vedad Radonja
Vedad Radonja Defender
26
Domas Slendzoka
Domas Slendzoka Defender
30
Isaac Barry Ojumah
Isaac Barry Ojumah Defender
5
Ángel Puerto Pineda
Ángel Puerto Pineda Defender
9
Donatas Kazlauskas
Donatas Kazlauskas Midfielder
8
Vilius Armanavičius
Vilius Armanavičius Midfielder
45
Artem Shchedry
Artem Shchedry Midfielder
10
Samuel Yves Oum Gwet
Samuel Yves Oum Gwet Midfielder
16
Matijus Remeikis
Matijus Remeikis Midfielder
77
Wesley Gabriel Freire Arcanjo
Wesley Gabriel Freire Arcanjo Midfielder
19
Dominykas Pašilys
Dominykas Pašilys Midfielder
6
Abdoul Samad Harouna
Abdoul Samad Harouna Midfielder
67
Andrius Kaulinis
Andrius Kaulinis Attacker
21
Esmilis Kaušinis
Esmilis Kaušinis Attacker
22
Darrell Kamdem Tibell
Darrell Kamdem Tibell Attacker
20
Lukas Jonaitis
Lukas Jonaitis Attacker
11
Njoya Abdel Kader
Njoya Abdel Kader Attacker

CONCLUSION

The second leg arrives with everything still to play for after the 1-1 first leg result. Paide will look to use home conditions at Pärnu Rannastaadion to tilt the balance while Hegelmann Litauen seek to protect their aggregate standing. Equal power and form scores suggest a tight tactical battle where small margins could decide progression. Absence of detailed efficiency and set piece figures leaves room for on-field adjustments. Both sides must manage the occasion carefully given the early stage of the competition. The outcome will hinge on execution rather than pre-match differentials as the tie heads toward a conclusion.