Pafos FC vs Hajduk Split preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Alphamega Stadium Thu, 30 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa League
Pafos FC PAF
4 0
Hajduk Split HAJ
Full Time: After Extra Time Thu, 30 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 2
Guga - 40'
David Goldar  - 90+1'
Biel - 93'
João Correia - 117'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Pafos FC 4–0 Hajduk Split. The result saw Pafos FC take the points. Pafos FC showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 56%–44%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Pafos FC exhibited minimal structural deviation of 5.7 percent as the designated stronger team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for the home side throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was recorded preventing any alignment evaluation with the 4-0 result.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with market indicators for Pafos FC.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to the complete absence of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The 4-0 second leg victory carried decisive impact on progression in the aggregate tie.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards for both sides produced no distortion to overall match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Raczkowski
P. Raczkowski
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Boniek
M. Boniek
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Heinig
B. Heinig
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Gryckiewicz
P. Gryckiewicz
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Pafos FC R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto
R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hajduk Split Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pafos FC Rank: W
Žilina Rank: 71 L
Žilina Rank: 72 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pafos FC
94.3%
Draw
5.06%
Away Hajduk Split
0.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
29.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pafos FC
Hajduk Split
Power Score
50
29.28
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pafos FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pafos FC Hajduk Split

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Pafos FC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hajduk Split

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Pafos FC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
56.52
24.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.09
56.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Pafos FC +1.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Hajduk Split -1.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Pafos FC
Hajduk Split
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Pafos FC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Pafos FC Hajduk Split
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Pafos FC Hajduk Split
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Pafos FC
Hajduk Split
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Pafos FC
vs
Hajduk Split
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Pafos FC Hajduk Split
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Pafos FC 0.29
Hajduk Split 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Pafos FC Hajduk Split
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Pafos FC 0.00
Hajduk Split 0.04
Pafos FC
Hajduk Split
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PAF had peak pressure around 46'.
  • HAJ started the game with stronger pressure.
PAF Pressure HAJ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PAF reached the top pressure at 46' (71.94).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pafos FC PAF Home
1 matches
Hajduk Split HAJ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:03:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Majecki
Poland
99 R. Majecki
B. Souza da Silva
Brazil
7 B. Souza da Silva
D. Goldar Gómez
Spain
5 D. Goldar Gómez
D. Moreira Marinho
Brazil
4 D. Moreira Marinho
N. Ioannou
Cyprus
14 N. Ioannou
D. Quina
Substitution
Portugal
8 D. Quina
I. Šunjić
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
26 I. Šunjić
G. Gonçalves Pereira Rodrigues
Substitution
Portugal
6 G. Gonçalves Pereira Rodrigues
G. Teixeira Aragão
Substitution
Brazil
20 G. Teixeira Aragão
L. da Silva Genesio
Brazil
18 L. da Silva Genesio
Jajá
Substitution
Brazil
11 Jajá
T. Silić
Croatia
33 T. Silić
?. Hrgović
Substitution
Croatia
32 ?. Hrgović
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Belgium
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
D. Maresic
Substitution
Austria
15 D. Maresic
M. Acapandié
Substitution
France
22 M. Acapandié
A. Pajaziti
Substitution
Albania
4 A. Pajaziti
R. Pukstas
United States
21 R. Pukstas
D. Melnjak
Croatia
17 D. Melnjak
D. de Almeida Leite
Substitution
Brazil
9 D. de Almeida Leite
A. Guram
Substitution
Ukraine
26 A. Guram
M. Šego
Croatia
11 M. Šego

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 2
Stadium
Alphamega Stadium
Capacity
10900
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Paweł Raczkowski
Marcin Boniek
Bartosz Heinig
Patryk Gryckiewicz

Statistics

Possession
PAF
60%
HAJ
40%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
13 Shots 3
93 Dangerous attacks 52
56 Possession 44
9 Corners 2
25 Free kicks 27
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

6 Substitutions 6
34 Throwins 17

Attacking

142 Attacks 111

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
16 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

99
Radoslaw Majecki
Radoslaw Majecki Goalkeeper
6.5
4
David Luiz
David Luiz Defender
6.5
5
David Goldar
David Goldar Defender
6.66
7
Bruno
Bruno Defender
6.5
14
Nikolas Ioannou
Nikolas Ioannou Defender
6.5
6
Guga
Guga Midfielder
6.65
88
Pêpê
Pêpê
Midfielder71'
6.61
8
Domingos Quina
Domingos Quina Midfielder
6.5
77
João Correia
João Correia
Midfielder71'
6.69
11
Jajá
Jajá Midfielder
6.5
30
Vlad Dragomir
Vlad Dragomir
Midfielder45+3'
6.61
26
Ivan Šunjić
Ivan Šunjić Midfielder
6.45
47
Murad Mammadov
Murad Mammadov
Attacker83'
6.5
18
Lelê
Lelê Attacker
6.5
20
Biel
Biel Attacker
6.86
50
Alexandre Brito
Alexandre Brito
Midfielder104'
6.5
Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
5.38
5
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Defender
5.7
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
5.88
36
Marino Skelin
Marino Skelin
Defender106'
6.26
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Defender
5.7
22
Mathieu Acapandié
Mathieu Acapandié Defender
6.26
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur
Defender63'
5.88
32
Simun Hrgovic
Simun Hrgovic Defender
6.26
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja
Attacker63'
6.38
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
6.33
20
Alberto del Moral
Alberto del Moral
Midfielder85'
6.18
9
Dalisson de Almeida
Dalisson de Almeida Midfielder
6.18
16
Andjelo Sutalo
Andjelo Sutalo
Midfielder98'
6.37
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
6.04
26
Adam Guram
Adam Guram Midfielder
6.37
7
Abdoulie Sanyang
Abdoulie Sanyang
Midfielder53'
6.18
11
Michele Sego
Michele Sego Attacker
6.35

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
João Correia
Field Goal / 4th Goal
117'
106'
Event
Marino Skelin → Dario Maresic
11th Substitution
105'
Event
12th Substitution
Event
Alexandre Brito → Biel
10th Substitution
104'
98'
Event
Andjelo Sutalo → Dalisson de Almeida
9th Substitution
96'
Event
Rokas Pukstas
Tripping / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Biel
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
93'
Event
David Goldar 
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
90+1'
85'
Event
Alberto del Moral → Adrion Pajaziti
8th Substitution
Event
Murad Mammadov → Ivan Šunjić
7th Substitution
83'
Event
João Correia → Domingos Quina
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Pêpê → Guga
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Ivan Šunjić
Holding / 4th Yellowcard
68'
63'
Event
Marko Livaja → Simun Hrgovic
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Niko Sigur → Mathieu Acapandié
4th Substitution
53'
Event
Abdoulie Sanyang → Adam Guram
2nd Substitution
50'
Event
Adrion Pajaziti
Roughing / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Guga
Elbowing / 2nd Yellowcard
45+5'
Event
Vlad Dragomir → Jajá
1st Substitution
45+3'
Event
Guga
Field Goal / 1st Goal
40'
Event
David Goldar 
Tripping / 1st Yellowcard
12'

Match Commentary

117
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Joao Correia scores to make it 4-0, assisted by Pedro Filipe Figueiredo Rodrigues Pepe.
106
Update Update
Marino Skelin comes on for Dario Maresic.
105
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
104
Update Update
Alexandre Brito is on, and Gabriel Teixeira Aragao is off.
98
Update Update
Andjelo Sutalo comes on for Dalisson de Almeida.
96
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rokas Pukstas receives a yellow card.
93
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gabriel Teixeira Aragao scores, making it 3-0.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! David Goldar scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Vlad Dragomir.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Alberto del Moral comes on for Adrion Pajaziti.
84
Update Update
Ken Sema replaces Nicholas Ioannou.
84
Update Update
Murad Mammadov replaces Ivan Sunjic.
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Pedro Filipe Figueiredo Rodrigues replaces Goncalo Rodrigues.
71
Update Update
Joao Correia comes on for Domingos Quina.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ivan Sunjic.
64
Update Update
Niko Sigur is on, and Mathieu Acapandie is off.
64
Update Update
Marko Livaja comes on for Simun Hrgovic.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Update Update
Abdoulie Sanyang is on, and Adam Huram is off.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Adrion Pajaziti.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Adrion Pajaziti.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Goncalo Rodrigues receives a yellow card.
45
Update Update
On Vlad Dragomir, off Jair Diego Alves de Brito, Jaja.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
David Goldar receives a yellow card.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Pawel Raczkowski.

CONCLUSION

Pafos FC produced a dominant display to overcome the first leg deficit and secure advancement with a 4-0 home victory. Their early halftime lead of 1-0 provided a platform for three further goals after the break. Possession dominance at 56 percent allowed sustained pressure that Hajduk Split could not repel. The absence of any red cards ensured the contest stayed focused on tactical execution rather than numerical disadvantages. This performance illustrated effective second half adjustments by the stronger team in a high pressure knockout environment. The result stands as clear evidence of Pafos FC capability when required to deliver at home. Overall the clean scoreline reflects thorough control from start to finish in leg two.