Pafos FC vs Dinamo City preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Alphamega Stadium
Europa Conference League
Pafos FCPAF
4 2
Dinamo CityDIN
Full Time: After Extra Time
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 3
Ken Sema - 13'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Pafos FC 4–2 Dinamo City. The result saw Pafos FC take the points. Pafos FC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Pafos FC 2 – 0.6 Dinamo City. Possession was 50%–50%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Pafos FC 4-2 Dinamo City. Pafos FC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Matoša
M. Matoša
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Kasapović
A. Kasapović
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Mežnar
M. Mežnar
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Tozan
M. Tozan
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Pafos FC R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto
R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto
VS
Dinamo City I. Daja
I. Daja
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo City Rank: 45 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pafos FC Rank: D
Auda Rank: W
Auda Rank: L
Aluminij Rank: 53 W
Aluminij Rank: 53 D
Astana Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pafos FC
74.84%
Draw
16.81%
Away Dinamo City
8.35%

Movement

Changes since opening
Pafos FC
+69.95%
Draw
-74.26%
Dinamo City
+4.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.7
32.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pafos FC
Dinamo City
Power Score
23.7
32.7
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pafos FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pafos FC Dinamo City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Pafos FC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dinamo City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Pafos FC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
51.10
17.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.70
51.10
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Pafos FC +2.59 Efficiency Index
vs
Dinamo City -2.59 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Pafos FC
Dinamo City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Pafos FC
vs
Dinamo City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Pafos FC Dinamo City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
12%
45%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.24 vs -0.26
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Pafos FC Dinamo City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
45%
12%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.26 vs -0.24
Pafos FC
Dinamo City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Pafos FC
vs
Dinamo City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Pafos FC Dinamo City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Pafos FC 0.23
Dinamo City 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Pafos FC Dinamo City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Pafos FC 0.05
Dinamo City 0.04
Pafos FC
Dinamo City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PAF had peak pressure around 85'.
  • DIN started the game with stronger pressure.
PAF Pressure DIN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PAF reached the top pressure at 85' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pafos FC PAF Home
1 matches
Dinamo City DIN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-28T00:03:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 3
Stadium
Alphamega Stadium
Capacity
10900
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Martin Matoša
Aleksandar Kasapović
Matic Mežnar
Mateo Tozan

Statistics

Possession
PAF
52%
DIN
48%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 2
6 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 5
91 Dangerous attacks 37
50 Possession 50
5 Corners 2
22 Free kicks 29
6 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 11
5 Substitutions 6
37 Throwins 15
24 Dribble Attempts 10
14 Successful Dribbles 4
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

115 Attacks 116
5 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

51 Long Passes 60
457 Passes 497
378 Successful Passes 404
83 Successful Passes Percentage 81
18 Key Passes 7
24 Successful Long Passes 25
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

0 Saves 4
18 Tackles 19
11 Interceptions 10

Build-up

36 Total Crosses 8
12 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

5 Offsides 1
29 Fouls 22

Lineup

Referee : Martin Matoša

Starting XI ▼

99
Radoslaw Majecki
Radoslaw Majecki Goalkeeper
6.2
4
David Luiz
David Luiz (C) Defender
6.8
5
David Goldar
David Goldar Defender
6.61
7
Bruno
Bruno Defender
7.94
14
Nikolas Ioannou
Nikolas Ioannou Defender
7.49
26
Ivan Šunjić
Ivan Šunjić Midfielder
5.96
6
Guga
Guga
Midfielder64'
6.78
30
Vlad Dragomir
Vlad Dragomir Midfielder
6.81
3
Samy Mmaee
Samy Mmaee
Defender85'
6.37
88
Pêpê
Pêpê Midfielder
7.32
12
Ken Sema
Ken Sema Attacker
7.6
8
Domingos Quina
Domingos Quina
Midfielder84'
6.33
18
Lelê
Lelê Attacker
6.36
33
Anderson Silva
Anderson Silva
Attacker85'
6.73
77
João Correia
João Correia Attacker
6.62
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu
Attacker73'
8.36
Referee : Martin Matoša

Starting XI ▼

77
Aldo Teqja
Aldo Teqja Goalkeeper
5.83
2
Ysni Ismaili
Ysni Ismaili Defender
6.11
24
Florenc Farruku
Florenc Farruku
Attacker104'
6.38
13
Fabjan Perndreca
Fabjan Perndreca Defender
6.45
5
Erion Hoxhallari
Erion Hoxhallari
Defender62'
6.17
22
Bruno Dita
Bruno Dita (C) Defender
7.04
27
Naser Aliji
Naser Aliji Defender
7.47
8
Eridon Qardaku
Eridon Qardaku Midfielder
6.51
6
Adamu Alhassan
Adamu Alhassan
Midfielder70'
6.44
10
Lorenco Vila
Lorenco Vila Midfielder
5.74
20
Malomo Ayodeji
Malomo Ayodeji Midfielder
6.98
7
Almir Ajzeraj
Almir Ajzeraj
Attacker83'
6.51
21
Klevi Qefalija
Klevi Qefalija Midfielder
6.63
88
Flamur Ruci
Flamur Ruci
Midfielder83'
6.65
11
Ruben Silva-Richards
Ruben Silva-Richards Attacker
7.85
33
David Fadairo
David Fadairo Attacker
6.98
29
Hekuran Berisha
Hekuran Berisha
Attacker70'
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Anderson Silva
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
120'
Event
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
116'
Event
Samy Mmaee
Argument / 10th Yellowcard
113'
113'
Event
Lorenco Vila
Argument / 11th Yellowcard
Event
Bruno
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
112'
Event
David Luiz
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
106'
Event
Pêpê
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
104'
104'
Event
Florenc Farruku → Ysni Ismaili
11th Substitution
101'
Event
Ysni Ismaili
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
101'
Event
Ilir Daja
12th Yellowcard
Event
Domingos Quina
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
87'
Event
Ruben Silva-Richards
Header / 4th Goal
Event
Samy Mmaee → Vlad Dragomir
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Anderson Silva → Lelê
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Domingos Quina → Ken Sema
8th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Almir Ajzeraj  → Malomo Ayodeji
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Flamur Ruci → Klevi Qefalija
7th Substitution
Event
Lelê
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
82'
Event
Nikolas Ioannou
Header / 3rd Goal
78'
Event
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu → João Correia
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Guga
Goal disallowed
72'
70'
Event
Adamu Alhassan → Eridon Qardaku
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Hekuran Berisha → David Fadairo
4th Substitution
Event
Guga → Ivan Šunjić
2nd Substitution
64'
62'
Event
Erion Hoxhallari → Fabjan Perndreca
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Eridon Qardaku
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
56'
Event
Klevi Qefalija
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
26'
Event
Fabjan Perndreca
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ricardo Sá Pinto
Argument / 14th Yellowcard
14'
Event
Ken Sema
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
13'
10'
Event
Ilir Daja
Argument / 13th Yellowcard
8'
Event
David Fadairo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Anderson Silva scores, making it 4-2.
120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Anderson Silva scores with a left-footed shot.
120
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Silva takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
116
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
116
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Domingos Quina scores to make it 3-2, assisted by David Luiz Moreira Marinho.
116
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
115
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Silva takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
114
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Samy Mmaee.
114
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Lorenco Vila.
113
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Bruno Felipe Souza Da Silva.
107
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for David Luiz Moreira Marinho.
104
Update Update
Florenc Ferruku is on, and Ysni Ismaili is off.
104
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Pedro Filipe Figueiredo Rodrigues of Pepe.
102
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Silva takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
101
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Usni Ismaili.
100
Attempt Attempt
Nicholas Ioannou takes a left-footed shot but misses.
98
Attempt Attempt
Domingos Quina takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Domingos Quina receives a yellow card.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Ruben Richards Head Shot Goal
87
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Dita attempts a header but misses the shot.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ruben Richards scores to make it 2-2, assisted by Bruno Dita.
85
Update Update
On comes Lele Lele, replacing Anderson Silva.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Samy Mmaee comes on for Vlad Dragomir.
84
Update Update
Domingos Quina replaces Ken Sema.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Lele.
83
Update Update
Almir Ajzeraj comes on for Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji.
83
Update Update
Flamur Ruci comes on for Klevi Qefalija.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nicholas Ioannou takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nicholas Ioannou scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu.
76
Attempt Attempt
David Luiz Moreira Marinho attempts a header but misses the shot.
76
Attempt Attempt
Lele Lele takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Attempt Attempt
Hekuran Berisha takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Rodrigues takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
73
Update Update
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu is on, and Joao Correia is off.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in a cancelled goal by Goncalo Rodrigues.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Adamu Alhassan comes on for Eridon Qardaku.
70
Update Update
Hekuran Berisha comes on for David Fadairo.
69
Update Update
Offside.
64
Update Update
Goncalo Rodrigues replaces Ivan Sunjic.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Attempt Attempt
David Goldar takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
62
Update Update
Erion Hoxhallari comes on for Fabjan Perndreca.
60
Update Update
Offside.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lele Lele Head Shot Saved
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Klevi Qefalija receives a yellow card.
57
Update Update
Offside.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Eridon Qardaku.
51
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Felipe Souza Da Silva takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Fabjan Perndreca takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Nicholas Ioannou takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Lele Lele takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Fabjan Perndreca.
22
Attempt Attempt
Joao Correia takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Lele Lele takes a shot, but it is saved.
19
Update Update
Offside.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ricardo Sá Pinto.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Ken Sema with his left foot results in a goal.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ken Sema scores, bringing the score to 1-1.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
David Fadairo scores with a right-footed shot.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! David Fadairo scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Ruben Richards.
7
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Filipe Figueiredo Rodrigues takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
7
Update Update
Offside.
5
Attempt Attempt
Lele Lele takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Fabjan Perndreca takes a header shot but misses.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Martin Matosa.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Pafos FC 4-2 Dinamo City. Structural assessment: Pafos FC exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.