Orlando City vs Real Salt Lake preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Inter&Co Stadium
Major League Soccer
Orlando CityORL
2 1
Real Salt LakeRSL
Full Time
Regular Season
Antoine Griezmann - 53', 81'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Orlando City hosted Real Salt Lake and trailed 0-1 at halftime before mounting a second-half response to claim a 2-1 victory. The home side held 61 percent possession and posted expected goals of 1.52 against the visitors' 0.56, producing a differential of 0.96. Real Salt Lake struck first in the opening period, yet Orlando City adjusted after the interval to reverse the scoreline. No red cards occurred during the contest, allowing both teams to maintain full complements throughout. The stronger team according to pre-match assessment secured the points, and the final result proved consistent with the underlying expected goals distribution. Efficiency metrics registered -0.0394 for the home side and 0.0394 for the away side, confirming the outcome remained in line with observed performance levels. A significant structural deviation of 100 percent was recorded for Orlando City.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Orlando City exhibited a significant structural deviation of 100 percent in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations, showing home efficiency of -0.0394 and away of 0.0394.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome was consistent with the expected goals, with Orlando City at 1.52 and Real Salt Lake at 0.56.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with the pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Orlando City generated higher expected goals at 1.52 compared to Real Salt Lake's 0.56.
  • Event impact: Orlando City overcame a halftime deficit of 0-1 to secure a 2-1 victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion from disciplinary events.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Bazakos
F. Bazakos
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Orlando City M. Perelman
M. Perelman
VS
Real Salt Lake P. Mastroeni
P. Mastroeni
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 L
Cincinnati Rank: 69 D
New York RB Rank: 63 L
Nashville SC Rank: 73 W
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 62 W
Cincinnati Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dallas Rank: 66 L
Minnesota United Rank: 65 D
St. Louis City Rank: 66 D
Portland Timbers Rank: 63 L
Los Angeles FC Rank: 71 L
Minnesota United Rank: 64 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.21
62.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Orlando City
Real Salt Lake
Power Score
64.21
62.8
League Position
11
8
Global Rank
414
464

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Orlando City — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Salt Lake — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Orlando City Real Salt Lake

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Orlando City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Salt Lake

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Orlando City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Salt Lake
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
11.29
11.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.84
11.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Orlando City -0.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Salt Lake +0.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Orlando City
Real Salt Lake
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Orlando City
vs
Real Salt Lake
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Orlando City Real Salt Lake
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
4%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs -0.02
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Orlando City Real Salt Lake
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
4%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.02 vs +0.00
Orlando City
Real Salt Lake
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Orlando City
vs
Real Salt Lake
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Orlando City Real Salt Lake
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Orlando City 0.08
Real Salt Lake 0.40
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Orlando City Real Salt Lake
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Orlando City 0.10
Real Salt Lake 0.00
Orlando City
Real Salt Lake
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ORL had peak pressure around 61'.
  • ORL started the game with stronger pressure.
ORL Pressure RSL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ORL reached the top pressure at 61' (86.87).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Inter&Co Stadium
Capacity
25500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fotis Bazakos

Statistics

Possession
ORL
59%
RSL
41%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 4
70 Dangerous attacks 29
61 Possession 39
5 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 12
6 Substitutions 6
15 Throwins 10
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Successful Headers 0
19 Dribble Attempts 7
10 Successful Dribbles 3
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

Attacking

128 Attacks 72
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

29 Long Passes 49
576 Passes 361
516 Successful Passes 308
90 Successful Passes Percentage 85
7 Key Passes 6
14 Successful Long Passes 25
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

2 Saves 1
10 Tackles 18
2 Interceptions 9
39 Duels Won 39

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 14
6 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 7
12 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Fotis Bazakos

Starting XI ▼

71
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau Goalkeeper
6.47
4
David Brekalo
David Brekalo Defender
6.31
6
Robin Jansson
Robin Jansson (C) Defender
6.46
19
Zakaria Taifi
Zakaria Taifi Defender
6.17
14
Tyrese Spicer
Tyrese Spicer
Attacker69'
24
Griffin Dorsey
Griffin Dorsey Defender
6.55
5
Luis Otávio
Luis Otávio Midfielder
6.5
35
Joran Gerbet
Joran Gerbet
Midfielder46'
7
Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann Midfielder
2
6.58
11
Tiago
Tiago Midfielder
6.48
9
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike
Attacker46'
20
Eduard Atuesta
Eduard Atuesta Midfielder
6.35
16
Wilder Cartagena
Wilder Cartagena
Midfielder85'
77
Iván Angulo
Iván Angulo Midfielder
6.66
87
Marco Pašalić
Marco Pašalić Attacker
6.5
22
Justin Ellis
Justin Ellis
Attacker46'
Referee : Fotis Bazakos

Starting XI ▼

31
Mason Stajduhar
Mason Stajduhar Goalkeeper
6.61
3
Kobi Henry
Kobi Henry Defender
6.52
21
Juan Jose Arias
Juan Jose Arias Defender
6.69
29
Sam Junqua
Sam Junqua Defender
7.12
7
Pablo Ruiz
Pablo Ruiz Midfielder
6.87
11
Dominik Marczuk
Dominik Marczuk Midfielder
7.26
12
Saba Lobjanidze
Saba Lobjanidze
Midfielder61'
34
Luca Moisa
Luca Moisa Midfielder
6.82
92
Noel Caliskan
Noel Caliskan
Midfielder66'
39
Aiden Hezarkhani
Aiden Hezarkhani Midfielder
6.53
10
Diego Luna
Diego Luna
Midfielder61'
98
Alexandros Katranis
Alexandros Katranis (C) Midfielder
6.54
8
Juan Manuel Sanabria
Juan Manuel Sanabria
Midfielder77'
17
Victor Olatunji
Victor Olatunji Attacker
6.67
9
Morgan Guilavogui
Morgan Guilavogui
Attacker62'
70
Lineker Rodrigues dos Santos
Lineker Rodrigues dos Santos Attacker
6.44

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Wilder Cartagena  → Eduard Atuesta
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Eduard Atuesta
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
82'
Event
Antoine Griezmann
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
81'
77'
Event
Juan Manuel Sanabria → Alexandros Katranis
9th Substitution
71'
Event
Kobi Henry
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Tyrese Spicer → Zakaria Taifi
8th Substitution
69'
66'
Event
Noel Caliskan → Luca Moisa
7th Substitution
62'
Event
Morgan Guilavogui → Victor Olatunji
6th Substitution
61'
Event
Saba Lobjanidze → Dominik Marczuk
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Diego Luna → Aiden Hezarkhani
5th Substitution
Event
Antoine Griezmann
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
53'
Event
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike → Tiago
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Justin Ellis → Marco Pašalić
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Joran Gerbet  → Luis Otávio
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Alexandros Katranis
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
Event
Lineker Rodrigues dos Santos
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
36'
Event
Dominik Marczuk
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Sam Junqua takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Offside.
85
Update Update
On for Wilder Jose Cartagena Mendoza, off is Eduard Andres Atuesta Velasco.
85
Attempt Attempt
Tyrese Spicer takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Eduard Andres Atuesta Velasco.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Antoine Griezmann takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
77
Update Update
Juan Manuel Sanabria comes on for Alexandros Katranis.
76
Attempt Attempt
Alexandros Katranis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Attempt Attempt
Diego Luna takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Guilavogui takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Attempt Attempt
Justin Ellis takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kobi Joseph Henry receives a yellow card.
69
Update Update
Tyrese Spicer comes on for Zakaria Taifi.
66
Substitution Substitution
Noel Caliskan is substituted off for Luca Moisa.
62
Attempt Attempt
Justin Ellis takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Update Update
Morgan Guilavogui replaces Victor Olatunji.
61
Update Update
Saba Lobjanidze is on, and Dominik Marczuk is off.
61
Update Update
Diego Luna comes on for Aiden Hezarkhani.
58
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria Taifi takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
55
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Griezmann takes a left-footed shot but misses.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Antoine Griezmann takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
53
Attempt Attempt
Daryl Dike takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
52
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Griezmann takes a left-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria Taifi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Marczuk takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Griezmann takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
On comes Joran Gerbet, and off goes Luis Otavio.
46
Update Update
Justin Ellis is on, and Marco Pasalic is off.
46
Update Update
Daryl Dike comes on for Tiago.
45
Update Update
First half ends with the score at 0-1.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Alexandros Katranis.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Lineker Rodrigues dos Santos.
42
Update Update
Offside.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Dominik Marczuk takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dominik Marczuk scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Sam Junqua.
33
Update Update
Offside.
23
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ruiz Barrero takes a left-footed shot but misses.
22
Update Update
Offside.
18
Update Update
Offside.
18
Update Update
Offside.
14
Update Update
Offside.
6
Update Update
Offside.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Fotis Bazakos.

CONCLUSION

The 2-1 result reflected Orlando City's ability to convert second-half adjustments into goals after falling behind early. Possession dominance and the expected goals edge supported their recovery, while Real Salt Lake's lower output limited sustained pressure. Absence of red cards preserved tactical continuity for both sides and avoided any artificial shifts in game state. The alignment between final score and underlying metrics indicates the winner emerged through sustained territorial and chance-creation advantages rather than isolated moments. Efficiency readings remained balanced around zero, underscoring that neither side overperformed relative to their shot profiles. Overall the contest demonstrated how halftime deficits can be reversed when expected goals favor the trailing team and no disciplinary events intervene.