Orlando City vs Nashville SC preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Inter&Co Stadium Sat, 25 Jul - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
Orlando CityORL
1 0
Nashville SCNSH
Full Time Sat, 25 Jul 11:30 PM
Regular Season
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Orlando City and Nashville SC unfolded as a low-scoring affair that saw the home team emerge victorious by a 1-0 margin. Both sides entered the contest with Nashville SC regarded as the stronger side, yet the result favored Orlando City after a goalless first half. The second half brought the decisive moment when Orlando City found the net to break the deadlock. Underlying statistics revealed a close battle in expected goals, with the hosts posting 0.87 and the away side 0.76. Possession statistics hovered around parity, Nashville SC edging it slightly at 51 percent. The game proceeded without any dismissals, maintaining a full complement of players on the pitch for the duration. This narrow win highlighted Orlando City's ability to capitalize on limited chances despite the pre-game assessment. The alignment of the scoreline with the expected goals suggested a fair reflection of the proceedings on the field.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Orlando City 1-0 Nashville SC. Orlando City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The final result was consistent with the expected goals totals of 0.87 to 0.76.
  • Market alignment: The match outcome proved aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: Orlando City generated 0.87 expected goals while Nashville SC had 0.76.
  • Event impact: No major events like red cards altered the flow of the game.
  • Red card distortion: The absence of red cards meant no distortion occurred in team dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Touchan
R. Touchan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Weisbrod
E. Weisbrod
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Mullen
M. Mullen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Rodriguez
C. Rodriguez
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Orlando City M. Perelman
M. Perelman
VS
Nashville SC B. Callaghan II
B. Callaghan II
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.44
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 66 W
Cincinnati Rank: 68 L
Atlanta United Rank: 55 D
Philadelphia Union Rank: 63 W
CF Montréal Rank: 57 L
Inter Miami Rank: 77 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
CF Montréal Rank: 57 W
Atlanta United Rank: 55 W
New York City Rank: 67 W
Los Angeles FC Rank: 72 W
New England Rank: 60 W
DC United Rank: 55 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.9
72.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Orlando City
Nashville SC
Power Score
64.9
72.33
League Position
10
1
Global Rank
390
198

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Orlando City — Opponent-weighted form score
Nashville SC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Orlando City Nashville SC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Orlando City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nashville SC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Orlando City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nashville SC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
0.90
2.60
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
2.60
0.90
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Orlando City -0.12 Efficiency Index
vs
Nashville SC +0.12 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Orlando City
Nashville SC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Orlando City
vs
Nashville SC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Orlando City Nashville SC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
5%
2%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.04 vs -0.02
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Orlando City Nashville SC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
2%
5%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.02 vs -0.04
Orlando City
Nashville SC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Orlando City
vs
Nashville SC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Orlando City Nashville SC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Orlando City 0.00
Nashville SC 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Orlando City Nashville SC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Orlando City 0.00
Nashville SC 0.00
Orlando City
Nashville SC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NSH had peak pressure around 98'.
  • NSH started the game with stronger pressure.
ORL Pressure NSH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NSH reached the top pressure at 98' (77.78).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Orlando City ORL Home
5 matches
Nashville SC NSH Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
3
Goals
10
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
10
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T01:00:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-2-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Inter&Co Stadium
Capacity
25500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ramy Touchan
Eric Weisbrod
Meghan Mullen
Carlos Rodriguez

Statistics

Possession
ORL
49%
NSH
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 2
51 Dangerous attacks 50
49 Possession 51
2 Corners 7
10 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

28 Ball Safe 39
5 Goal Kicks 6
5 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 5
10 Throwins 16
2 Successful Headers 8
1 Assists 0
11 Dribble Attempts 10
6 Successful Dribbles 5
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

91 Attacks 77
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

19 Long Passes 51
447 Passes 460
399 Successful Passes 411
89 Successful Passes Percentage 89
10 Key Passes 5
10 Successful Long Passes 33
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 65

Defensive

2 Saves 3
16 Tackles 15
5 Interceptions 8
34 Duels Won 35

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 20
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
6 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Ramy Touchan

Starting XI ▼

71
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau Goalkeeper
6.65
4
David Brekalo
David Brekalo Defender
6.46
57
Iago Teodoro
Iago Teodoro
Defender70'
6
Robin Jansson
Robin Jansson (C) Defender
6.63
24
Griffin Dorsey
Griffin Dorsey Defender
6.37
44
Bernardo Goncalves
Bernardo Goncalves Defender
6.5
3
Adrián Marín
Adrián Marín
Defender70'
5
Luis Otávio
Luis Otávio Midfielder
6.46
16
Wilder Cartagena
Wilder Cartagena
Midfielder86'
7
Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann Midfielder
6.54
8
Braian Ojeda
Braian Ojeda Midfielder
6.54
11
Tiago
Tiago Midfielder
6.6
14
Tyrese Spicer
Tyrese Spicer
Attacker53'
77
Iván Angulo
Iván Angulo Midfielder
6.6
22
Justin Ellis
Justin Ellis Attacker
6.46
23
Harvey Sarajian
Harvey Sarajian
Attacker86'
Referee : Ramy Touchan

Starting XI ▼

99
Brian Schwake
Brian Schwake Goalkeeper
6.63
3
Maxwell Woledzi
Maxwell Woledzi Defender
6.44
5
Jack Maher
Jack Maher Defender
6.45
22
Josh Bauer
Josh Bauer Defender
6.41
31
Andy Nájar
Andy Nájar Defender
6.48
2
Daniel Lovitz
Daniel Lovitz
Defender76'
6
Bryan Acosta
Bryan Acosta Midfielder
6.48
20
Edvard Tagseth
Edvard Tagseth
Midfielder65'
14
Shak Mohammed
Shak Mohammed Midfielder
6.49
16
Matthew Corcoran
Matthew Corcoran Midfielder
6.51
19
Alex Muyl
Alex Muyl Midfielder
6.43
37
Ahmed Qasem
Ahmed Qasem
Attacker46'
9
Sam Surridge
Sam Surridge Attacker
6.56
10
Hany Mukhtar
Hany Mukhtar (C) Attacker
6.58

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Wilder Cartagena  → Luis Otávio
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Harvey Sarajian → Justin Ellis
9th Substitution
86'
76'
Event
Daniel Lovitz → Andy Nájar
7th Substitution
Event
Tyrese Spicer
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
72'
Event
Iago Teodoro → David Brekalo
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Adrián Marín → Bernardo Goncalves
6th Substitution
70'
65'
Event
Jordan Knight → Shak Mohammed
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Edvard Tagseth → Bryan Acosta
4th Substitution
Event
Tyrese Spicer → Tiago
2nd Substitution
53'
46'
Event
Ahmed Qasem → Alex Muyl
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Tiago
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
20'

Match Commentary

89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Josh Bauer Head Shot Missed
88
Corner Corner
Corner
80
Corner Corner
Corner
79
Corner Corner
Corner
76
Update Update
On Daniel Lovitz，Off Andy Najar
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Tyrese Spicer Left Footed Shot Goal
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
70
Update Update
On Iago，Off David Brekalo
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ahmed Qasem Left Footed Shot Blocked
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ahmed Qasem Left Footed Shot Blocked
65
Corner Corner
Corner
65
Update Update
On Edvard Tagseth，Off Jack Maher
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Shak Mohammed Right Footed Shot Saved
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luis Otavio Right Footed Shot Missed
59
Corner Corner
Corner
53
Update Update
On Tyrese Spicer，Off Tiago
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Justin Ellis Right Footed Shot Blocked
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Justin Ellis Left Footed Shot Missed
46
Update Update
On Ahmed Qasem，Off Alex Muyl
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Justin Ellis Left Footed Shot Saved
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Justin Ellis Left Footed Shot Saved
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alex Muyl Right Footed Shot Saved
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Braian Oscar Ojeda Rodriguez Right Footed Shot Blocked
40
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Antoine Griezmann Left Footed Shot Blocked
37
Corner Corner
Corner
36
Update Update
Offside
35
Update Update
Offside
32
Update Update
Offside
30
Corner Corner
Corner
28
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Antoine Griezmann Left Footed Shot Missed
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Justin Ellis Right Footed Shot Missed
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Justin Ellis Head Shot Saved
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Andy Najar Right Footed Shot Missed
14
Corner Corner
Corner
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Hany Mukhtar Right Footed Shot Blocked
9
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Ramy Touchan

CONCLUSION

In the end, Orlando City's triumph over Nashville SC by 1-0 underscored the unpredictable nature of soccer where results can defy initial perceptions. The home side's efficiency in front of goal proved pivotal in a match where chances were at a premium. With expected goals nearly even, the narrow margin of victory came as no surprise based on the data. Nashville SC, despite their stronger designation, could not convert their slight possession advantage into tangible rewards. The lack of disciplinary issues allowed for an uninterrupted contest that showcased tactical discipline from both teams. Ultimately, this outcome serves as a reminder that in soccer, execution on the day often outweighs pre-match hierarchies, leaving fans with a sense of the game's inherent drama and the fine margins that decide such encounters.