Orlando City vs Cincinnati preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Inter&Co Stadium Sat, 15 Aug - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
Orlando CityORL
CincinnatiCIN
KICKOFF : Sat, 15 Aug - 11:30 PM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Major League Soccer regular season Orlando City welcome Cincinnati to Inter&Co Stadium for a standard league fixture. Cincinnati enter as the stronger side according to power ratings and sit higher in the domestic standings. Orlando City occupy eleventh place while their opponents are sixth. Form scores are nearly identical which points to a balanced contest on paper. The home side will look to leverage venue familiarity while Cincinnati aim to exploit their marginal overall edge. Analytical focus falls on how each team manages key phases of play and whether squad resources can tilt the outcome. Both sides face questions around consistency in a season where small margins often decide results.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Orlando City are eleventh in the domestic standings while Cincinnati sit sixth.
  • Form: Form scores are close with Cincinnati at 29.61 and Orlando City at 28.67.
  • Squad: Cincinnati hold the stronger power rating of 69.6 compared with Orlando City's 66.45.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams ahead of the match.
  • Transition: Transition phase data is not provided for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece evaluation uses proxy data with low confidence for both sides.
  • xVariable: Cincinnati carry a power advantage of 3.1 points into the contest.
  • Market: Baseline split: Orlando City 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Cincinnati 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Orlando City M. Perelman
M. Perelman
VS
Cincinnati P. Noonan
P. Noonan
1.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
New York RB Rank: 63 L
Nashville SC Rank: 73 W
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 66 W
Cincinnati Rank: 70 L
Atlanta United Rank: 56 D
Philadelphia Union Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 67 W
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 73 W
Orlando City Rank: 66 W
San Diego Rank: 68 D
Inter Miami Rank: 78 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.45
69.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Orlando City
Cincinnati
Power Score
66.45
69.6
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
392
301

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Orlando City — Opponent-weighted form score
Cincinnati — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Orlando City Cincinnati

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Orlando City ORL Home
5 matches
Cincinnati CIN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
7
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:19:44+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Inter&Co Stadium
Capacity
25500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

71
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau Goalkeeper
6.83
87
Marco Pašalić
Marco Pašalić Centre Forward
6.57
6
Robin Jansson
Robin Jansson Left Back
6.58
57
Iago Teodoro
Iago Teodoro Right Back
6.7
16
Wilder Cartagena
Wilder Cartagena Defensive Midfield
6.38
77
Iván Angulo
Iván Angulo Right Wing
6.77
14
Tyrese Spicer
Tyrese Spicer Left Wing
6.99
19
Zakaria Taifi
Zakaria Taifi Right Back
6.7
7
Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann Attacking Midfield
7.66
44
Bernardo Goncalves
Bernardo Goncalves Left Back
6.79
5
Luis Otávio
Luis Otávio Defensive Midfield
6.61

Starting XI ▼

18
Roman Celentano
Roman Celentano Goalkeeper
6.81
20
Pavel Bucha
Pavel Bucha Midfielder
7
66
Ender Echenique
Ender Echenique Midfielder
6.84
29
Bryan Ramírez
Bryan Ramírez Attacker
7.03
9
Kévin Denkey
Kévin Denkey Attacker
7.23
5
Obinna Nwobodo
Obinna Nwobodo Central Midfield
6.72
24
Kyle Smith
Kyle Smith Right Back
6.36
11
Samuel Gidi
Samuel Gidi Central Midfield
6.74
21
Matt Miazga
Matt Miazga Left Back
6.44
12
Miles Robinson
Miles Robinson Centre Back
6.65
10
Evander
Evander Attacking Midfield
8.01

CONCLUSION

Cincinnati arrive with a modest structural and power edge that could shape proceedings at Inter&Co Stadium. Orlando City will rely on home support and positional discipline to stay competitive. With form levels almost even the contest may hinge on how each side executes in open play and manages limited set piece information. Squad depth and the ability to adapt during transitions stand out as potential differentiators. The higher league position of the visitors suggests they may control more territory yet Orlando City remain capable of creating problems through organized defense. Overall the match offers a measured test of two sides with similar recent outputs but differing league contexts.