Örgryte vs Häcken preview
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Örgryte hosted Häcken in a match that defied expectations as the home side claimed a 4-3 win. Trailing 1-2 at halftime, Örgryte mounted a comeback in the second half to secure the victory. Häcken, the stronger team on paper, held 58 percent possession and generated an xG of 1.42, slightly higher than Örgryte's 1.35. However, the final score did not align with these underlying metrics. The significant deviation by Örgryte led to their unexpected triumph. With no red cards issued, the game remained at full strength throughout. This result highlights how efficiency can overcome statistical disadvantages in football.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Örgryte 4-3 Häcken. Örgryte showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the final result for both teams.
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xG alignment: The outcome was not consistent with the xG values as Örgryte won despite lower xG.
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Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations despite the deviation.
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xG expectations: Häcken was expected to perform better based on xG of 1.42 compared to 1.35.
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Event impact: No major events like red cards influenced the match outcome.
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Red card distortion: The absence of red cards meant no distortion in the match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Örgryte
Häcken
Team Power Ranking
i
36.79
60.74
Örgryte
Häcken
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Örgryte
Häcken
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Örgryte
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Örgryte
Örgryte
Häcken
Örgryte
Häcken
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Örgryte
Örgryte
Häcken
Örgryte
Häcken
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HAC had peak pressure around 95'.
- Örgryte started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:57:40+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Örgryte
vs
Djurgården
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Mon, 20 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Gamla Ullevi
Häcken
vs
Halmstad
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Jul - 2:30 PM
Venue: Björkevi IP
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary