Olympique Lyonnais vs Fenerbahçe preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Groupama Stadium
Champions League
Olympique LyonnaisLYO
1 2
FenerbahçeFEN
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 3
Goal
|
Goal
Vedat Muriqi - 24'
Archie Brown - 28'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 Fenerbahçe. The result saw Fenerbahçe take the points. Fenerbahçe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Olympique Lyonnais 1.5 – 2.5 Fenerbahçe. Possession was 59%–41%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fenerbahce recorded a significant deviation of 73.7 percent from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with established performance benchmarks.
  • xG alignment: Final result aligned with the xG differential favoring the away side.
  • Market alignment: Outcome did not align with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Lyon posted 1.51 xG against Fenerbahce's 2.52 xG.
  • Event impact: Fenerbahce secured advancement with a 2-1 win in leg two of the tie.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to influence match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Mariani
M. Mariani
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Bindoni
D. Bindoni
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Tegoni
A. Tegoni
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Zufferli
L. Zufferli
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
VS
Fenerbahçe İ. Kartal
İ. Kartal
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.2
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fenerbahçe Rank: 86 D
Sparta Praha Rank: 74 W
Sparta Praha Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 83 D
Sturm Graz Rank: 75 W
Sturm Graz Rank: 76 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 70 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 70 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympique Lyonnais
47.2%
Draw
26.49%
Away Fenerbahçe
26.31%

Movement

Changes since opening
Olympique Lyonnais
+45.8%
Draw
+14.76%
Fenerbahçe
-60.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.36
85.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympique Lyonnais
Fenerbahçe
Power Score
82.36
85.8
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
53
34

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympique Lyonnais Fenerbahçe

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Olympique Lyonnais

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fenerbahçe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Olympique Lyonnais ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fenerbahçe
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.39
44.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
44.76
33.39
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Olympique Lyonnais -0.45 Efficiency Index
vs
Fenerbahçe +0.45 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Olympique Lyonnais
Fenerbahçe
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Olympique Lyonnais
vs
Fenerbahçe
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Olympique Lyonnais Fenerbahçe
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
8%
45%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.12 vs -1.15
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Olympique Lyonnais Fenerbahçe
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
45%
8%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-1.15 vs -0.12
Olympique Lyonnais
Fenerbahçe
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Olympique Lyonnais
vs
Fenerbahçe
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Olympique Lyonnais Fenerbahçe
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Olympique Lyonnais 0.31
Fenerbahçe 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Olympique Lyonnais Fenerbahçe
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Olympique Lyonnais 0.04
Fenerbahçe 0.02
Olympique Lyonnais
Fenerbahçe
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FEN had peak pressure around 30'.
  • FEN started the game with stronger pressure.
LYO Pressure FEN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FEN reached the top pressure at 30' (71.38).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Olympique Lyonnais LYO Home
6 matches
Fenerbahçe FEN Away
Match Record
4
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
4
Goals
12
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
12
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0.92
xG
0.64
0.64
xGA
0.92

Data last updated: 2026-08-27T00:10:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 3
Stadium
Groupama Stadium
Capacity
59186
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Maurizio Mariani
Daniele Bindoni
Alberto Tegoni
Luca Zufferli

Statistics

Possession
LYO
56%
FEN
44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 6
54 Dangerous attacks 47
59 Possession 41
5 Corners 7
17 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

79 Ball Safe 88
4 Goal Kicks 10
6 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 4
18 Throwins 16
1 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 1
13 Dribble Attempts 17
7 Successful Dribbles 8
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

110 Attacks 77
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

43 Long Passes 63
450 Passes 311
398 Successful Passes 245
88 Successful Passes Percentage 79
15 Key Passes 10
26 Successful Long Passes 27
60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

6 Saves 5
15 Tackles 14
9 Interceptions 10
48 Duels Won 51

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 16
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
7.68
16
Abner
Abner Defender
6.77
3
Nicolás Tagliafico
Nicolás Tagliafico
Defender86'
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Defender
7.11
21
Ruben Kluivert
Ruben Kluivert Defender
6.74
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Defender
6.73
13
Zachary Athekame
Zachary Athekame
Defender62'
6.49
6
Tanner Tessmann
Tanner Tessmann Midfielder
6.83
10
Pavel Sulc
Pavel Sulc
Midfielder76'
6.63
8
Corentin Tolisso
Corentin Tolisso (C) Midfielder
7.2
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Midfielder
6.94
2
Mads Bidstrup
Mads Bidstrup
Midfielder86'
7
Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah Attacker
6.77
26
Kaïl Boudache
Kaïl Boudache
Attacker62'
6.52
11
Malick Fofana
Malick Fofana Attacker
8.47
17
Loïs Openda
Loïs Openda Attacker
6.3
Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

31
Ederson
Ederson Goalkeeper
7.17
3
Archie Brown
Archie Brown Defender
7.96
15
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké Defender
6.73
27
Nélson Semedo
Nélson Semedo Defender
6.39
37
Milan Škriniar
Milan Škriniar (C) Defender
6.67
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
Mattéo Guendouzi Midfielder
7.29
11
Mason Greenwood
Mason Greenwood Midfielder
7.04
17
İrfan Can Kahveci
İrfan Can Kahveci
Midfielder80'
6.55
70
Oğuz Aydın
Oğuz Aydın Midfielder
7.39
45
Dorgeles Nene
Dorgeles Nene
Attacker76'
6.55
91
N'Golo Kanté
N'Golo Kanté Midfielder
7.04
94
Talisca
Talisca Midfielder
6.6
5
İsmail Yüksek
İsmail Yüksek
Midfielder67'
6.59
19
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
7.74
9
Romelu Lukaku
Romelu Lukaku
Attacker80'
6.66

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Dorgeles Nene 
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Mattéo Guendouzi
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mads Bidstrup  → Tyler Morton
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Nicolás Tagliafico → Abner
9th Substitution
86'
80'
Event
İrfan Can Kahveci → Mason Greenwood
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Romelu Lukaku → Vedat Muriqi
7th Substitution
Event
Pavel Sulc → Tanner Tessmann
5th Substitution
76'
76'
Event
Dorgeles Nene  → Oğuz Aydın
4th Substitution
Event
Kaïl Boudache
Goal disallowed
71'
67'
Event
İsmail Yüksek → Talisca
3rd Substitution
Event
Loïs Openda
Goal disallowed
65'
Event
Zachary Athekame → Ainsley Maitland-Niles
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Kaïl Boudache → Ernest Nuamah
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Malick Fofana
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
61'
Event
Loïs Openda
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
51'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Milan Škriniar 
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
28'
Event
Archie Brown
Header / 2nd Goal
24'
Event
Vedat Muriqi
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Nene Dorgeles takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Nene Dorgeles.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matteo Guendouzi receives a yellow card.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Zachary Athekame takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Nene Dorgeles takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kail Boudache takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Update Update
Mads Bidstrup replaces Tyler Morton.
86
Update Update
Nicolas Tagliafico is on, and Abner Vinicius Da Silva Santos is off.
82
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Guendouzi takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
80
Update Update
Irfan Can Kahveci comes on for Mason Greenwood.
80
Update Update
Romelu Lukaku is on, and Vedat Muriqi is off.
80
Update Update
Offside.
76
Update Update
Pavel Sulc is on, and Tanner Tessmann is off.
76
Update Update
Nene Dorgeles is on, and Oguz Aydin is off.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Kail Boudache.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Kail Boudache takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
71
Attempt Attempt
Malick Fofana attempts a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Lois Openda takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kail Boudache scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
67
Update Update
Ismail Yuksek comes on for Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Update Update
Offside.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Lois Openda due to offside.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lois Openda scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
62
Update Update
Kail Boudache is on, and Ernest Nuamah is off.
62
Update Update
Zachary Athekame comes on for Ainsley Maitland-Niles.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Malick Fofana scores with a left-footed shot.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Malick Fofana scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Ainsley Maitland-Niles.
60
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Nuamah takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Lois Openda takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Guendouzi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Attempt Attempt
Oguz Aydin attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Tanner Tessmann takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Mason Greenwood takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lois Openda receives a yellow card.
50
Attempt Attempt
Lois Openda attempts a header but misses the shot.
47
Attempt Attempt
Vedat Muriqi takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Corentin Tolisso takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lois Openda takes a header shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Tyler Morton takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a left-footed shot but misses.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Update Update
Offside.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Milan Skriniar receives a yellow card.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Archie Brown Head Shot Goal
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Archie Brown scores to make it 0-2, assisted by Mason Greenwood.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Malick Fofana takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Vedat Muriqi with his right foot results in a goal.
24
Attempt Attempt
Vedat Muriqi takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vedat Muriqi scores to make it 1-0.
23
Update Update
Offside.
20
Attempt Attempt
Mason Greenwood takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Oguz Aydin takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Archie Brown takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Abner Vinicius Da Silva Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
14
Update Update
Offside.
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Oguz Aydin with his right foot, but it's saved.
12
Attempt Attempt
Tanner Tessmann takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Corentin Tolisso attempts a header but misses the shot.
9
Attempt Attempt
Corentin Tolisso attempts a header but misses the shot.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Attempt Attempt
Malick Fofana takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Maurizio Mariani.

CONCLUSION

Fenerbahce completed a controlled performance to overcome Lyon 2-1 on the night and progress in the tie. The visitors established a two-goal halftime advantage that Lyon could not fully overturn despite late pressure. Expected goals data accurately reflected the away side's superiority and the absence of red cards ensured the result remained undistorted. Lyon held more possession yet failed to convert opportunities at the required rate. Fenerbahce's clinical finishing and defensive organization proved decisive across both halves. The victory highlighted their status as the stronger team and delivered a result consistent with underlying metrics despite earlier market misalignment.