Olympiacos F.C. vs NEC Nijmegen preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Today - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Olympiacos F.C. OLY
NEC Nijmegen NEC
KICKOFF : Today - 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Olympiacos F.C. welcomes NEC Nijmegen to Stadio Georgios Karaiskakis for the opening leg of their Champions League third qualifying round tie in the 2026/2027 campaign. The Greek hosts carry a clear power edge measured at 83.81 against the visitors 77.45, creating a 6.4-point advantage that underscores their status as the stronger side. Both clubs arrive without recent domestic form indicators, leaving the emphasis on underlying metrics and squad depth. The venue atmosphere typically favors the home team in European ties, while the Dutch side will look to exploit any transitional openings. Limited historical data on efficiency and set-piece execution adds uncertainty to preparations. Overall the fixture pits established European pedigree against emerging ambition from the Eredivisie representatives.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Olympiacos holds a 6.4-point power advantage over NEC Nijmegen entering the first leg.
  • Form: Both sides register zero form scores with no recent outing data available.
  • Squad: Olympiacos F.C. is identified as the stronger team on overall power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for either side ahead of kickoff.
  • Transition: Transition phase details lack quantified support in pre-match records.
  • Set pieces: Set piece indicators show low confidence and rely on proxy data only.
  • xVariable: Home power superiority stands out as the primary differentiator in this matchup.
  • Market: Olympiacos F.C. 61% (Δ+0.5%) | Draw 22.5% (Δ-0.1%) | NEC Nijmegen 16.5% (Δ-0.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Olympiacos F.C. J. Mendilibar Etxebarria
J. Mendilibar Etxebarria
VS
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 91 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 91 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympiacos F.C.
60.97%
Draw
22.53%
Away NEC Nijmegen
16.5%

Movement

Changes since opening
Olympiacos F.C.
+0.47%
Draw
-0.05%
NEC Nijmegen
-0.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.81
77.45
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympiacos F.C.
NEC Nijmegen
Power Score
83.81
77.45
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
53
131

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympiacos F.C. — Opponent-weighted form score
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympiacos F.C. NEC Nijmegen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Olympiacos F.C. OLY Home
0 matches
NEC Nijmegen NEC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-04T00:03:08+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
Capacity
33296
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
José María Sánchez Martínez
Raúl Cabañero Martínez
Juan José López Mir
Víctor García Verdura

Squad

Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Squad ▼

—
Balša Popović
Balša Popović Goalkeeper
88
Konstantinos Tzolakis
Konstantinos Tzolakis Goalkeeper
—
Dimitrios Stournaras
Dimitrios Stournaras Goalkeeper
—
Pablo Maffeo Becerra
Pablo Maffeo Becerra Defender
45
Panagiotis Retsos
Panagiotis Retsos Defender
23
Rodinei Marcelo de Almeida
Rodinei Marcelo de Almeida Defender
3
Francisco Gabriel Ortega
Francisco Gabriel Ortega Defender
—
David Mota Veiga Teixeira Carmo
David Mota Veiga Teixeira Carmo Defender
5
Lorenzo Pirola
Lorenzo Pirola Defender
70
Sopuruchukwu Bruno Onyemaechi
Sopuruchukwu Bruno Onyemaechi Defender
—
Zinedin Smajlovic
Zinedin Smajlovic Defender
—
Rémy Cabella
Rémy Cabella Midfielder
7
Konstantinos Fortounis
Konstantinos Fortounis Midfielder
22
Francisco Leonel Lima Silva Machado
Francisco Leonel Lima Silva Machado Midfielder
14
Daniel García Carrillo
Daniel García Carrillo Midfielder
97
Yusuf Yazıcı
Yusuf Yazıcı Midfielder
32
Santiago Hezze
Santiago Hezze Midfielder
16
Lorenzo Scipioni
Lorenzo Scipioni Midfielder
96
Christos Mouzakitis
Christos Mouzakitis Midfielder
—
Antonis Papakanellos
Antonis Papakanellos Midfielder
—
Theofanis Bakoulas
Theofanis Bakoulas Midfielder
—
Giorgos Masouras
Giorgos Masouras Attacker
—
Gabriel Tadeu Strefezza Rebelato
Gabriel Tadeu Strefezza Rebelato Attacker
10
Gelson Dany Batalha Martins
Gelson Dany Batalha Martins Attacker
—
Jefté Betancor Sánchez
Jefté Betancor Sánchez Attacker
—
Roman Yaremchuk
Roman Yaremchuk Attacker
99
Mehdi Taremi
Mehdi Taremi Attacker
—
João Pedro Ferreira Silva
João Pedro Ferreira Silva Attacker
9
Ayoub El Kaabi
Ayoub El Kaabi Attacker
19
Clayton Fernandes Silva
Clayton Fernandes Silva Attacker
17
André Luiz Inácio da Silva
André Luiz Inácio da Silva Attacker
—
Joel Roca Casals
Joel Roca Casals Attacker
Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Squad ▼

1
Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz
Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz Goalkeeper
17
Bram Nuytinck
Bram Nuytinck Defender
3
Philippe Sandler
Philippe Sandler Defender
5
Thomas Ouwejan
Thomas Ouwejan Defender
—
Perr Schuurs
Perr Schuurs Defender
2
Brayann Pereira
Brayann Pereira Defender
14
Tobias Storm
Tobias Storm Defender
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Defender
33
Yousri Sbai
Yousri Sbai Defender
—
Merijn van de Wiel
Merijn van de Wiel Defender
—
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery Midfielder
35
Jamiro Gregory Monteiro Alvarenga
Jamiro Gregory Monteiro Alvarenga Midfielder
32
Vito van Crooij
Vito van Crooij Midfielder
6
Darko Nejašmić
Darko Nejašmić Midfielder
8
Isak Hansen-Aaröen
Isak Hansen-Aaröen Midfielder
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton Midfielder
23
Kodai Sano
Kodai Sano Midfielder
25
Sami Ouaissa
Sami Ouaissa Midfielder
11
Adam Tahaui
Adam Tahaui Midfielder
—
Sam de Laat
Sam de Laat Midfielder
10
Dušan Tadić
Dušan Tadić Attacker
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Attacker
9
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis Attacker
—
Emre Mor
Emre Mor Attacker
18
Koki Ogawa
Koki Ogawa Attacker
34
Kevin Kers
Kevin Kers Attacker
—
Clement Bischoff
Clement Bischoff Attacker

CONCLUSION

Olympiacos will aim to leverage home support and superior power metrics to establish an advantage in the first leg. NEC Nijmegen faces a demanding task yet possesses the potential to create problems through organized defensive structures and opportunistic breaks. With both teams lacking recent form markers the contest may hinge on individual quality and tactical discipline rather than momentum. The Greek side benefits from familiar surroundings that often amplify performance levels in continental fixtures. Visitors must remain compact and clinical to avoid early setbacks. Success for either side will likely require sharp execution in key moments and adaptability across the ninety minutes. The return leg promises further intrigue once initial patterns emerge from this opener.