Olympiacos F.C. vs NEC Nijmegen preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Tue, 4 Aug - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Olympiacos F.C.OLY
0 – 0
NEC NijmegenNEC
Full Time Tue, 4 Aug 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Olympiacos F.C. hosted NEC Nijmegen in the first leg of their two-legged tie and played out a goalless draw. The home side held 54 percent possession yet managed only 0.6 expected goals while the visitors created 1.28 expected goals with 46 percent possession. Both teams reached halftime level at 0-0 and the scoreline remained unchanged at full time. No red cards were shown to either side. Olympiacos entered as the stronger side on paper but failed to convert territorial advantage into clear scoring opportunities. NEC Nijmegen posed a consistent threat on the counter and limited the hosts to low-quality chances. The match produced a significant performance deviation for the home team relative to pre-match indicators. The outcome left the aggregate score level ahead of the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Olympiacos recorded a significant deviation from expected performance levels in this fixture.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall team performances observed.
  • xG alignment: The 0-0 outcome was not consistent with the expected goals differential of minus 0.68.
  • Market alignment: The final result did not align with pre-match expectations for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Olympiacos generated 0.6 xG while NEC Nijmegen produced 1.28 xG across the match.
  • Event impact: No decisive events occurred that altered the scoreline in the 0-0 draw.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued resulting in no distortion to game dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Sánchez Martínez
J. Sánchez Martínez
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Cabañero Martínez
R. Cabañero Martínez
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. López Mir
J. López Mir
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. García Verdura
V. García Verdura
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Olympiacos F.C. J. Mendilibar Etxebarria
J. Mendilibar Etxebarria
VS
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 91 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 91 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympiacos F.C.
59.98%
Draw
22.33%
Away NEC Nijmegen
17.68%

Movement

Changes since opening
Olympiacos F.C.
+52.93%
Draw
-65.8%
NEC Nijmegen
+12.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.62
77.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympiacos F.C.
NEC Nijmegen
Power Score
83.62
77.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
53
129

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympiacos F.C. — Opponent-weighted form score
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympiacos F.C. NEC Nijmegen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Olympiacos F.C.

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

NEC Nijmegen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Olympiacos F.C. ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NEC Nijmegen
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.98
33.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.59
28.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Olympiacos F.C. -0.39 Efficiency Index
vs
NEC Nijmegen +0.39 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Olympiacos F.C.
NEC Nijmegen
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Olympiacos F.C.
vs
NEC Nijmegen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Olympiacos F.C. NEC Nijmegen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
19%
22%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.11 vs -0.28
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Olympiacos F.C. NEC Nijmegen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
22%
19%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.28 vs -0.11
Olympiacos F.C.
NEC Nijmegen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Olympiacos F.C.
vs
NEC Nijmegen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Olympiacos F.C. NEC Nijmegen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Olympiacos F.C. 0.16
NEC Nijmegen 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Olympiacos F.C. NEC Nijmegen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Olympiacos F.C. 0.00
NEC Nijmegen 0.00
Olympiacos F.C.
NEC Nijmegen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NEC had peak pressure around 64'.
  • OLY started the game with stronger pressure.
OLY Pressure NEC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NEC reached the top pressure at 64' (100.00).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
Capacity
33296
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
José María Sánchez Martínez
Raúl Cabañero Martínez
Juan José López Mir
Víctor García Verdura

Statistics

Possession
OLY
53%
NEC
47%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 5
73 Dangerous attacks 49
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 2
16 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 5
33 Throwins 26
0 Hit Woodwork 1
16 Dribble Attempts 20
7 Successful Dribbles 12
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

Attacking

136 Attacks 91
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

104 Long Passes 69
397 Passes 348
265 Successful Passes 255
67 Successful Passes Percentage 73
11 Key Passes 9
36 Successful Long Passes 23
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

4 Saves 5
20 Tackles 22
6 Interceptions 7
67 Duels Won 84

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 8
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 6
11 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Starting XI ▼

31
Balsa Popovic
Balsa Popovic Goalkeeper
7.42
2
Manolis Saliakas
Manolis Saliakas Defender
6.74
25
Pablo Maffeo
Pablo Maffeo
Defender57'
6.48
6
David Carmo
David Carmo Defender
6.51
5
Lorenzo Pirola
Lorenzo Pirola
Defender56'
7
45
Panagiotis Retsos
Panagiotis Retsos (C) Defender
6.78
4
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović
Defender64'
6.6
70
Bruno Onyemaechi
Bruno Onyemaechi Defender
7.06
14
Dani García
Dani García Midfielder
6.75
22
Chiquinho
Chiquinho Midfielder
6.43
20
Jota Silva
Jota Silva
Attacker56'
6.88
23
Rodinei
Rodinei Midfielder
7.14
73
Joel Roca
Joel Roca Midfielder
6.38
10
Gelson Martins
Gelson Martins
Midfielder46'
6.75
96
Christos Mouzakitis
Christos Mouzakitis Midfielder
7.41
9
Ayoub El Kaabi
Ayoub El Kaabi Attacker
6.95
Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Starting XI ▼

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
7.74
3
Philippe Sandler
Philippe Sandler Defender
7.58
8
Isak Hansen-Aarøen
Isak Hansen-Aarøen
Midfielder74'
6.4
21
T. Storm
T. Storm Defender
6.59
2
Brayann Pereira
Brayann Pereira
Defender70'
6.57
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Defender
6.95
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Midfielder
7.69
25
Sami Ouaissa
Sami Ouaissa Midfielder
7.28
7
Emre Mor
Emre Mor
Attacker70'
6.75
35
Jamiro Monteiro
Jamiro Monteiro Midfielder
7.22
11
Willum Thór Willumsson
Willum Thór Willumsson
Midfielder90'
6.52
99
Clement Bischoff
Clement Bischoff Midfielder
6.77
9
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery (C) Attacker
6.96
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton Attacker
6.86
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Attacker
6.78
10
Dušan Tadić
Dušan Tadić
Attacker74'
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Willum Thór Willumsson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90'
Event
Willum Thór Willumsson → Jamiro Monteiro
10th Substitution
74'
Event
Isak Hansen-Aarøen → Philippe Sandler
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Dušan Tadić → Bryan Linssen
9th Substitution
70'
Event
Emre Mor → Sami Ouaissa
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Brayann Pereira → T. Storm
7th Substitution
Event
Dani García
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
67'
Event
Zinedin Smajlović → Panagiotis Retsos
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Pablo Maffeo → Manolis Saliakas
4th Substitution
57'
Event
Lorenzo Pirola → David Carmo
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Jota Silva → Chiquinho
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Gelson Martins → Joel Roca
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
David Carmo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
11'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Willum Thor Willumsson.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Deveron Fonville receives a yellow card.
83
Attempt Attempt
Gelson Martins takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Attempt Attempt
Sopuruchukwu Bruno Onyemaechi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
Offside.
74
Update Update
Offside.
74
Update Update
Dusan Tadic is on, and Bryan Linssen is off.
71
Attempt Attempt
Ayoub El Kaabi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Ayoub El Kaabi takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Update Update
Emre Mor comes on for Sami Ouaissa.
70
Update Update
Brayann Pereira comes on for Tobias Storm.
68
Update Update
Emre Mor comes on for Sami Ouaissa.
68
Update Update
Brayann Pereira is on, and Tobias Storm is off.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Daniel García Carrillo.
64
Update Update
Zinedin Smajlovic comes on for Panagiotis Retsos.
61
Attempt Attempt
Noe Lebreton's right-footed shot is blocked.
61
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Daniel García Carrillo.
57
Update Update
Pablo Maffeo comes on for Manolis Saliakas.
56
Update Update
Jota is on, and Chiquinho is off.
56
Update Update
Pablo Maffeo comes on for Manolis Saliakas.
54
Update Update
Jota is on, and Chiquinho is off.
53
Update Update
Lorenzo Pirola comes on for David Carmo.
52
Attempt Attempt
Jamiro Monteiro takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Noe Lebreton's right-footed shot is saved.
51
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Gelson Martins comes on for Joel Roca Casals.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Noe Lebreton Head Shot Missed
45
Attempt Attempt
Jamiro Monteiro takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Sami Ouaissa takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Joel Roca Casals takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Ayoub El Kaabi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Attempt Attempt
Christos Mouzakitis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Christos Mouzakitis takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Christos Mouzakitis takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Update Update
Offside.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Update Update
Offside.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Clement Bischoff takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Update Update
Offside.
13
Attempt Attempt
Panagiotis Retsos attempts a header but misses the shot.
13
Attempt Attempt
David Carmo takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
David Carmo receives a yellow card.
6
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 result leaves both sides with work to do in the return leg. Olympiacos will need to improve their chance creation after a low-output display at home. NEC Nijmegen can take encouragement from their higher xG and will look to maintain defensive structure on home soil. With the aggregate tied the second match carries added importance for progression. Both teams showed limited clinical finishing which kept the contest level throughout. The absence of red cards ensured a full complement of players for the remainder of the tie. Observers will monitor whether Olympiacos can translate possession into goals when they travel next week.