Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
Max-Morlock-Stadion Sun, 9 Aug - 11:30 AM
2. Bundesliga
NürnbergNUR
3 0
Dynamo DresdenDRE
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 11:30 AM
Round 1 Regular Season
Mohamed Alì Zoma - 9', 45+3', 75'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Nürnberg secured a convincing 3-0 win over Dynamo Dresden in their recent encounter. The home team took control early, leading 2-0 at the halftime break. Throughout the ninety minutes, Nürnberg maintained 56 percent possession while limiting their opponents to 44 percent. The expected goals metric showed Nürnberg with 2.06 and Dynamo Dresden with 1.64, indicating a slight edge that translated into the final result. No players were sent off in the match, allowing both sides to play with full squads. As the stronger team, Nürnberg delivered a performance that matched their status. The victory came without any major disruptions from disciplinary actions or other events. This outcome highlighted the home side's ability to convert opportunities effectively against a resilient away team that struggled to create clear chances.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match showed a significant 100 percent deviation favoring Nürnberg.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: The outcome proved consistent with the expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with the pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Nürnberg generated 2.06 expected goals compared to 1.64 for Dynamo Dresden.
  • Event impact: The final score of 3-0 reflected the key events during the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Wienefeld
J. Wienefeld
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Jürgensen
L. Jürgensen
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Hildenbrand
M. Hildenbrand
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Weller
F. Weller
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Nürnberg M. Klose
M. Klose
VS
Dynamo Dresden T. Stamm
T. Stamm
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.54
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hannover 96 Rank: 77 D
Schalke 04 Rank: 77 W
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rank: 69 D
Magdeburg Rank: 71 W
DSC Arminia Bielefeld Rank: 73 D
Dynamo Dresden Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Holstein Kiel Rank: 73 W
Eintracht Braunschweig Rank: 71 L
Kaiserslautern Rank: 74 W
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rank: 72 L
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 74 W
Nürnberg Rank: 75 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.09
72.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
Power Score
75.09
72.33
League Position
2
17
Global Rank
152
214

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nürnberg — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Dresden — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nürnberg Dynamo Dresden

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nürnberg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Dresden

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nürnberg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Dresden
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.59
25.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.00
32.59
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nürnberg +0.70 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Dresden -0.70 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nürnberg
vs
Dynamo Dresden
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nürnberg Dynamo Dresden
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
59%
7%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-1.22 vs -0.11
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nürnberg Dynamo Dresden
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
7%
59%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.11 vs -1.22
Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nürnberg
vs
Dynamo Dresden
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nürnberg Dynamo Dresden
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nürnberg 0.36
Dynamo Dresden 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nürnberg Dynamo Dresden
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nürnberg 0.00
Dynamo Dresden 0.07
Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NUR had peak pressure around 66'.
  • DRE started the game with stronger pressure.
NUR Pressure DRE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NUR reached the top pressure at 66' (95.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nürnberg NUR Home
2 matches
Dynamo Dresden DRE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T07:42:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Capacity
50000
Attendance
41622
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jarno Wienefeld
Luca Jürgensen
Mario Hildenbrand
Felix Weller

Statistics

Possession
NUR
56%
DRE
44%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 6
45 Dangerous attacks 40
56 Possession 44
5 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 6
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

76 Ball Safe 62
1 Penalties 0
7 Goal Kicks 6
12 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
33 Throwins 20
1 Hit Woodwork 0
9 Successful Headers 14
1 Assists 0
1 Injuries 0
26 Dribble Attempts 11
13 Successful Dribbles 5
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

95 Attacks 73
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

60 Long Passes 43
496 Passes 377
417 Successful Passes 310
84 Successful Passes Percentage 82
9 Key Passes 6
29 Successful Long Passes 14
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

1 Saves 4
21 Tackles 19
7 Interceptions 11
54 Duels Won 44

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 15
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 5
6 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Jarno Wienefeld

Starting XI ▼

1
Jan Reichert
Jan Reichert (C) Goalkeeper
6.78
4
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
Alexios Kalogeropoulos Defender
6.88
20
Fynn Otto
Fynn Otto Defender
7.2
32
Tim Janisch
Tim Janisch Defender
6.49
21
Giannis Masouras
Giannis Masouras
Defender72'
6.56
41
Eric Porstner
Eric Porstner Defender
7.29
43
Tobias Heß
Tobias Heß
Defender66'
5.88
6
Adam Markhiev
Adam Markhiev Midfielder
7.15
8
Javier Fernández
Javier Fernández Midfielder
7.92
10
Julian Justvan
Julian Justvan Midfielder
6.53
18
Rafael Lubach
Rafael Lubach
Midfielder72'
7.2
22
Finn Becker
Finn Becker Midfielder
7.9
23
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Mohamed Alì Zoma Midfielder
3
8.84
7
Rayan Ghrieb
Rayan Ghrieb
Attacker85'
6.29
19
Piet Scobel
Piet Scobel Attacker
6.85
39
Adriano Grimaldi
Adriano Grimaldi
Attacker85'
6.35
Referee : Jarno Wienefeld

Starting XI ▼

1
Tim Schreiber
Tim Schreiber Goalkeeper
7.05
19
Alexander Rossipal
Alexander Rossipal Defender
6.4
32
Jonas Sterner
Jonas Sterner Defender
5.93
44
Simon Straudi
Simon Straudi
Defender46'
6.58
39
Thomas Keller
Thomas Keller Defender
6.16
42
Friedrich Müller
Friedrich Müller Defender
5.99
6
Nicolai Rapp
Nicolai Rapp Midfielder
6.63
8
Luca Herrmann
Luca Herrmann
Midfielder78'
6.41
10
Jakob Lemmer
Jakob Lemmer Midfielder
6.42
11
Kaan İnanoğlu
Kaan İnanoğlu
Attacker61'
6.56
18
Robert Wagner
Robert Wagner Midfielder
6.36
20
Ben Bobzien
Ben Bobzien Midfielder
6.34
16
Nils Fröling
Nils Fröling
Attacker78'
6.6
27
Niklas Hauptmann
Niklas Hauptmann (C) Midfielder
6.41
9
Vincent Vermeij
Vincent Vermeij Attacker
6.77
33
Christoph Daferner
Christoph Daferner
Attacker61'
6.39

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rayan Ghrieb  → Mohamed Alì Zoma
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Adriano Grimaldi → Piet Scobel
10th Substitution
85'
78'
Event
Nils Fröling → Ben Bobzien
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Luca Herrmann → Nicolai Rapp
8th Substitution
Event
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
75'
Event
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Goalkeeper save
75'
74'
Event
Simon Straudi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
73'
Event
Thomas Keller
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Rafael Lubach → Julian Justvan
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Giannis Masouras → Tim Janisch
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Tobias Heß → Eric Porstner
4th Substitution
66'
61'
Event
Christoph Daferner → Vincent Vermeij
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Kaan İnanoğlu → Jakob Lemmer
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Simon Straudi → Jonas Sterner
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Goal awarded
45+6'
Event
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+3'
Event
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
9'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Rayan Ghrieb is on, and Mohamed Ali Zoma is off.
85
Update Update
Adriano Grimaldi is on, and Piet Scobel is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Giannis Masouras takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Update Update
Luca Herrmann comes on for Nicolai Rapp.
78
Update Update
Nils Froling is on, and Ben Bobzien is off.
75
Update Update
Luca Herrmann comes on for Nicolai Rapp.
75
Update Update
Nils Froling comes on for Ben Bobzien.
75
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Mohamed Ali Zoma's attempt is unsuccessful.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Keller receives a yellow card.
72
Substitution Substitution
Rafael Lubach is substituted for Julian Justvan.
72
Update Update
Giannis Masouras comes on for Tim Janisch.
69
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Hess takes a left-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Hess takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
On Tobias Hess, off Eric Porstner.
61
Update Update
Christoph Daferner is on, and Vincent Vermeij is off.
61
Update Update
Kaan Inanoglu replaces Jakob Lemmer.
59
Attempt Attempt
Javier Fernandez takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Update Update
Kaan Inanoglu comes on for Jakob Lemmer.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Vermeij attempts a header but misses the shot.
46
Attempt Attempt
Adam Markhiev takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
On comes Simon Straudi, and off goes Jonas Sterner.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision confirms the goal for Mohamed Ali Zoma.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Lemmer takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Mohamed Ali Zoma with his left foot results in a goal.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Tim Janisch takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Julian Justvan takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Ali Zoma with his right foot misses the target.
40
Attempt Attempt
Piet Scobel takes a shot with his head but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Piet Scobel attempts a header but misses the shot.
33
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Vermeij attempts a header but misses the shot.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Julian Justvan takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Javier Fernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Vermeij takes a left-footed shot but misses.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Lemmer takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Lemmer takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is J. Wienefeld.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the match between Nürnberg and Dynamo Dresden showcased the home team's superiority as they claimed a 3-0 triumph. With expected goals closely mirroring the actual scoreline, the result felt deserved based on the underlying metrics. Possession stats further supported Nürnberg's control of the game. The absence of red cards ensured a fair contest without any artificial advantages or disadvantages. This performance reinforces Nürnberg's position as the stronger side in this fixture. Fans can take positives from the clean sheet and the clinical finishing displayed. Moving forward, both teams will look to build on this experience in their upcoming fixtures. The game provided valuable insights into their current form and tactical setups.