Nürnberg vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
Max-Morlock-Stadion
2. Bundesliga
NürnbergNUR
4 1
DSC Arminia BielefeldBIE
Full Time
Round 3 Regular Season
Tim Janisch - 22'
Adam Markhiev - 38', 67'
Goal
|
Goal
Marius Wörl - 76'

CONTEXT

Nürnberg secured a 4-1 victory over DSC Arminia Bielefeld after establishing a commanding 3-0 lead by halftime. The home side controlled 53 percent of possession and created opportunities that translated into goals despite modest expected goals totals of 1.28 for Nürnberg and 1.19 for the visitors. The match featured no red cards and unfolded with the stronger team prevailing in line with pre-game assessments. A significant structural deviation of 100 percent was recorded for Nürnberg as the outcome exceeded typical patterns. Efficiency remained in line with underlying metrics throughout both halves. The final score reflected consistent performance from the hosts who added one more goal after the break while maintaining defensive stability. This result confirmed the winner without any major disruptions from disciplinary events or late adjustments.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Nürnberg recorded a significant 100 percent deviation in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: Nürnberg posted 1.28 xG against 1.19 xG for DSC Arminia Bielefeld.
  • Event impact: A 3-0 halftime lead shaped the eventual 4-1 final score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Schwengers
P. Schwengers
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Weickenmeier
J. Weickenmeier
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Roppelt
A. Roppelt
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
W. Haslberger
W. Haslberger
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Nürnberg M. Klose
M. Klose
VS
DSC Arminia Bielefeld O. Kirch
O. Kirch
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rank: 69 W
Dynamo Dresden Rank: 73 W
Hannover 96 Rank: 76 D
Schalke 04 Rank: 77 W
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rank: 68 D
Magdeburg Rank: 72 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Energie Cottbus Rank: 72 W
Karlsruher SC Rank: 71 L
Hertha BSC Rank: 76 W
Kaiserslautern Rank: 73 L
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 73 D
Preußen Münster Rank: 67 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.79
72.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nürnberg
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Power Score
75.79
72.02
League Position
1
8
Global Rank
133
209

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nürnberg — Opponent-weighted form score
DSC Arminia Bielefeld — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nürnberg DSC Arminia Bielefeld

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nürnberg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

DSC Arminia Bielefeld

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nürnberg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.66
47.02
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
47.02
25.66
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nürnberg -1.86 Efficiency Index
vs
DSC Arminia Bielefeld +1.86 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nürnberg
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nürnberg
vs
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nürnberg DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
4%
43%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.05 vs -0.51
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nürnberg DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
43%
4%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.51 vs -0.05
Nürnberg
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nürnberg
vs
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nürnberg DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nürnberg 1.08
DSC Arminia Bielefeld 0.95
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nürnberg DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nürnberg 0.05
DSC Arminia Bielefeld 0.33
Nürnberg
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NUR had peak pressure around 33'.
  • NUR started the game with stronger pressure.
NUR Pressure BIE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NUR reached the top pressure at 33' (80.38).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nürnberg NUR Home
2 matches
DSC Arminia Bielefeld BIE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-30T00:29:07+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Capacity
50000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Patrick Schwengers
Jonas Weickenmeier
Alexander Roppelt
Wolfgang Haslberger

Statistics

Possession
NUR
52%
BIE
48%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
2 Shots 9
12 Dangerous attacks 22
53 Possession 47
3 Corners 8
11 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

83 Ball Safe 63
8 Goal Kicks 4
8 Goal Attempts 11
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 21
1 Injuries 0
17 Dribble Attempts 10
10 Successful Dribbles 5
59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

26 Attacks 52
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

49 Long Passes 48
455 Passes 371
391 Successful Passes 297
86 Successful Passes Percentage 80
10 Key Passes 11
23 Successful Long Passes 24
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

Defensive

4 Saves 2
10 Tackles 17
4 Interceptions 9
45 Duels Won 44

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 39
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Patrick Schwengers

Starting XI ▼

1
Jan Reichert
Jan Reichert (C) Goalkeeper
7.56
4
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
Alexios Kalogeropoulos Defender
7.35
32
Tim Janisch
Tim Janisch Defender
7.81
21
Giannis Masouras
Giannis Masouras
Defender70'
5.82
36
Kristian Mandic
Kristian Mandic Defender
6.88
41
Eric Porstner
Eric Porstner Defender
6.91
6
Adam Markhiev
Adam Markhiev Midfielder
2
9.25
8
Javier Fernández
Javier Fernández Midfielder
6.47
10
Julian Justvan
Julian Justvan Midfielder
6.45
18
Rafael Lubach
Rafael Lubach
Midfielder63'
6.55
22
Finn Becker
Finn Becker Midfielder
7.59
16
Marko Soldic
Marko Soldic
Midfielder83'
6.51
23
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Mohamed Alì Zoma Midfielder
7.89
7
Rayan Ghrieb
Rayan Ghrieb
Attacker83'
6.46
19
Piet Scobel
Piet Scobel Attacker
6.54
9
Sigurd Haugen
Sigurd Haugen
Attacker70'
6.58
Referee : Patrick Schwengers

Starting XI ▼

1
Jonas Kersken
Jonas Kersken Goalkeeper
6.08
5
Maximilian Bauer
Maximilian Bauer (C) Defender
6.58
7
Henri Koudossou
Henri Koudossou Defender
6.43
19
Maximilian Großer
Maximilian Großer Defender
6.61
29
Tim Handwerker
Tim Handwerker Defender
6.21
8
Sam Schreck
Sam Schreck Midfielder
6.8
38
Marius Wörl
Marius Wörl
Midfielder46'
7.41
10
Jannik Rochelt
Jannik Rochelt Midfielder
6.07
28
Roberts Uldrikis
Roberts Uldrikis
Attacker71'
6.59
14
Monju Momuluh
Monju Momuluh Midfielder
6.85
30
Isaiah Young
Isaiah Young
Attacker83'
6.54
21
Stefano Russo
Stefano Russo Midfielder
6.66
6
Marvin Mehlem
Marvin Mehlem Attacker
6.74
42
Till Wegener
Till Wegener
Midfielder71'
6.5
11
Joel Grodowski
Joel Grodowski Attacker
6.8
27
Benjamin Boakye
Benjamin Boakye
Attacker57'
6.73

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rayan Ghrieb  → Mohamed Alì Zoma
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Marko Soldic → Finn Becker
9th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Isaiah Young → Monju Momuluh
10th Substitution
76'
Event
Marius Wörl
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
71'
Event
Roberts Uldrikis → Jannik Rochelt
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Till Wegener → Marvin Mehlem
7th Substitution
Event
Sigurd Haugen → Piet Scobel
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Giannis Masouras → Tim Janisch
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Adam Markhiev
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
67'
Event
Rafael Lubach → Julian Justvan
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
60'
57'
Event
Benjamin Boakye → Joel Grodowski
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Marius Wörl → Sam Schreck
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Kristian Mandic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Adam Markhiev
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
38'
Event
Tim Janisch
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
22'
Event
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
11'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Benjamin Boakye with his right foot, but it misses the target.
90
Attempt Attempt
Marius Worl takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sigurd Haugen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Update Update
Rayan Ghrieb comes on for Mohamed Ali Zoma.
83
Substitution Substitution
Marko Soldic is substituted for Finn Ole Becker.
83
Substitution Substitution
Isaiah Young is substituted on for Monju Momuluh.
82
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Boakye takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Till Wegener's left-footed shot is blocked.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Mohamed Ali Zoma with his right foot is blocked.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Marius Worl scores with a left-footed shot.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Marius Worl scores, making it 4-1.
74
Attempt Attempt
Stefano Russo takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
71
Update Update
Roberts Uldrikis is on, and Jannik Rochelt is off.
71
Update Update
On Till Wegener, off Marvin Mehlem.
70
Update Update
Sigurd Haugen replaces Piet Scobel.
70
Update Update
Giannis Masouras comes on for Tim Janisch.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Adam Markhiev takes a right-footed shot.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Adam Markhiev scores, making it 4-0.
63
Update Update
Rafael Lubach is on, and Julian Justvan is off.
62
Attempt Attempt
Finn Ole Becker takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Mohamed Ali Zoma.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Benjamin Boakye comes on for Joel Grodowski.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Javier Fernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Finn Ole Becker takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Piet Scobel takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Maximilian Bauer attempts a header but misses the shot.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Monju Momuluh takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Monju Momuluh takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
46
Update Update
Marius Worl is on, and Sam Schreck is off.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Kristian Mandic.
45
Attempt Attempt
Henri Koudossou takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Henri Koudossou took a right-footed shot but missed.
44
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Mehlem takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Attempt Attempt
Henri Koudossou takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Attempt Attempt
Sam Schreck takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Joel Grodowski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Adam Markhiev scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Eric Porstner.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Adam Markhiev takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
31
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mohamed Ali Zoma Head Shot Missed
30
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Ali Zoma takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Piet Scobel takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Mehlem takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Tim Janisch takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tim Janisch scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Finn Ole Becker.
14
Attempt Attempt
Sam Schreck takes a right-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Monju Momuluh takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Maximilian Bauer takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Joel Grodowski takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Mohamed Ali Zoma with his right foot results in a goal.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mohamed Ali Zoma scores to make it 1-0.
9
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Mehlem takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Attempt Attempt
Sam Schreck takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Patrick Schwengers.

CONCLUSION

Nürnberg delivered a controlled performance that converted an early advantage into a clear win. The 4-1 scoreline highlighted effective finishing after a dominant opening period while the visitors struggled to respond. Close expected goals figures underscored that the result followed logical patterns rather than random variance. Possession balance and absence of cards allowed the game to proceed without external distortions. Overall the stronger side capitalized on its opportunities to secure three points in a straightforward manner. This outcome reinforces Nürnberg as the more consistent side in the fixture and sets a positive tone for upcoming fixtures.