NSÍ vs Lugano preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar Today - 5:30 PM
Europa Conference League
KICKOFF : Today - 5:30 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 2

CONTEXT

NSÍ host Lugano in Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Við Djúpumýrar. Power ranking favours Lugano by 8.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lugano hold a +8.2 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Lugano sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: NSÍ show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Lugano have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Lugano carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Lugano hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Projection split: NSÍ 12.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.8% (Δ+0%) | Lugano 70.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
NSÍ S. Eyjolfsson
S. Eyjolfsson
VS
Lugano M. Croci-Torti
M. Croci-Torti
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano Rank: 72 L
Koper Rank: 72 W
Koper Rank: 72 L
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Hamrun Spartans Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
NSÍ Rank: W
Dukagjini Rank: 56 W
Dukagjini Rank: 55 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NSÍ
12.05%
Draw
17.79%
Away Lugano
70.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.67
36.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NSÍ
Lugano
Power Score
28.67
36.85
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
NSÍ Opponent-weighted form score
Lugano Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NSÍ Lugano

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NSÍ NSÍ Home
1 matches
Lugano LUGA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0.68
xG
3.05
3.05
xGA
0.68

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:05:03+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 13, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 2
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Hennessy
Dermot Broughton
Emmett Dynan
Aaron O'Dowd

Squad

Referee : Robert Hennessy

Squad

1
Kristian Joensen
Kristian Joensen Goalkeeper
13
Tom Amos
Tom Amos Goalkeeper
30
Dánial Danielsen
Dánial Danielsen Goalkeeper
3
Viljormur Davidsen
Bárður Jógvansson-Hansen
Bárður Jógvansson-Hansen Defender
5
Alex Freyr Elísson
4
Daniel Obbekjær
Daniel Obbekjær Defender
12
Filip Drinic
Filip Drinic Defender
Jóel Tróndargjógv
2
Sammy Skytte
Sammy Skytte Midfielder
Meinhard Olsen
Meinhard Olsen Midfielder
7
Aron Knudsen
Aron Knudsen Midfielder
29
Emil Weihe Joensen
Emil Weihe Joensen Midfielder
6
Beinir Nolsøe
Beinir Nolsøe Midfielder
33
Michal Przybylski
16
Petur Knudsen
Petur Knudsen Attacker
9
Tobias Hestad
Tobias Hestad Attacker
11
Marius Kryger Lindh
28
Markus Danielsen
Markus Danielsen Attacker
Referee : Robert Hennessy

Squad

16
David von Ballmoos
David von Ballmoos Goalkeeper
Fotis Pseftis
Fotis Pseftis Goalkeeper
99
Diego Mina
Diego Mina Goalkeeper
3
Hannes Delcroix
Hannes Delcroix Defender
7
Ezdzhan Alioski
Ezdzhan Alioski Defender
17
Lars Lukas Mai
Lars Lukas Mai Defender
18
Joel Bichsel
Joel Bichsel Defender
46
Mattia Zanotti
Mattia Zanotti Defender
4
Damian Kelvin
Damian Kelvin Defender
Behruz Karimov
Behruz Karimov Defender
8
Anto Grgic
Anto Grgic Midfielder
25
Uran Bislimi
Uran Bislimi Midfielder
14
Ahmed Kendouci
Ahmed Kendouci Midfielder
21
Yanis Cimignani
Yanis Cimignani Midfielder
19
Claudio Cassano
Claudio Cassano Midfielder
31
Jason Parente
Jason Parente Midfielder
23
Gjan Ajdin
Gjan Ajdin Midfielder
91
Kevin Behrens
Kevin Behrens Attacker
11
Renato Steffen
Renato Steffen Attacker
30
Dereck Moncada
Dereck Moncada Attacker
24
Erik Elias Pihlström

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lugano holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lugano a 8.2-point edge. External projection is NSÍ 12.1%, draw 17.8%, and Lugano 70.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.