NSÍ vs Lugano preview
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
NSÍ host Lugano in Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Við Djúpumýrar. Power ranking favours Lugano by 8.2 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Lugano hold a +8.2 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
-
Form: Lugano sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
-
Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
-
Efficiency: NSÍ show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
-
Transition: Lugano have a moderate edge in transition threat.
-
Set pieces: Lugano carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
-
xVariable: Lugano hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
-
Market: Projection split: NSÍ 12.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.8% (Δ+0%) | Lugano 70.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
S. Eyjolfsson
VS
M. Croci-Torti
1.4
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
3
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano
Rank: 72
L
Koper
Rank: 72
W
Koper
Rank: 72
L
Hamrun Spartans
Rank:
W
Hamrun Spartans
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
NSÍ
Rank:
W
Dukagjini
Rank: 56
W
Dukagjini
Rank: 55
W
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
NSÍ
12.05%
Draw
17.79%
Lugano
70.16%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.67
36.85
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
NSÍ
Lugano
Power Score
28.67
36.85
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
NSÍ
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Lugano
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
NSÍ Lugano
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
NSÍ
NSÍ
Home
1
matches
Lugano
LUGA
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0.68
xG
3.05
3.05
xGA
0.68
Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:05:03+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Aug 13, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 2
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Hennessy
Dermot Broughton
Emmett Dynan
Aaron O'Dowd
Next Match
Lugano
vs
St. Gallen
League: Super League
Kickoff: Sun, 23 Aug - 2:30 PM
Venue: Stadio di Cornaredo
Squad
Referee :
Robert Hennessy
Manager ▼
S. Eyjolfsson
Coach
Squad ▼

Kristian Joensen
Goalkeeper

Tom Amos
Goalkeeper

Dánial Danielsen
Goalkeeper

Viljormur Davidsen
Defender

Bárður Jógvansson-Hansen
Defender

Jann Julian Benjaminsen
Defender

Alex Freyr Elísson
Defender

Daniel Obbekjær
Defender

Filip Drinic
Defender

Jóel Tróndargjógv
Defender

Sammy Skytte
Midfielder

Meinhard Olsen
Midfielder

Aron Knudsen
Midfielder

Emil Weihe Joensen
Midfielder

Beinir Nolsøe
Midfielder

Klæmint Andrasson Olsen
Attacker

Michal Przybylski
Attacker

Petur Knudsen
Attacker

Tobias Hestad
Attacker

Marius Kryger Lindh
Attacker

Markus Danielsen
Attacker
Referee :
Robert Hennessy
Manager ▼
M. Croci-Torti
Coach
Squad ▼

David von Ballmoos
Goalkeeper

Fotis Pseftis
Goalkeeper

Diego Mina
Goalkeeper

Hannes Delcroix
Defender

Ezdzhan Alioski
Defender

Lars Lukas Mai
Defender

Antonios Papadopoulos
Defender

Joel Bichsel
Defender

Mattia Zanotti
Defender

Martim Alexandre Costa Marques
Defender

João Victor Schlickmann Carbone
Defender

Damian Kelvin
Defender

Behruz Karimov
Defender

Anto Grgic
Midfielder

Uran Bislimi
Midfielder

Ahmed Kendouci
Midfielder

Yanis Cimignani
Midfielder

Daniel dos Santos Correia
Midfielder

Claudio Cassano
Midfielder

Jason Parente
Midfielder

Gjan Ajdin
Midfielder

Kevin Behrens
Attacker

Renato Steffen
Attacker

Beckham David Castro Espinosa
Attacker

Dereck Moncada
Attacker

Erik Elias Pihlström
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lugano holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lugano a 8.2-point edge. External projection is NSÍ 12.1%, draw 17.8%, and Lugano 70.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.
