NSÍ vs Lugano preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar Today - 5:30 PM
Europa Conference League
NSÍNSÍ
2 – 2
LuganoLUGA
Full Time Today 5:30 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 4
Marius Lindh - 61'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. NSÍ 2–2 Lugano. The match ended in a draw. Lugano showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished NSÍ 1.3 – 2.4 Lugano. Possession was 40%–60%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The second leg of the tie ended 2-2 after NSÍ trailed on aggregate entering the match.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The 2-2 scoreline was inconsistent with the xG figures of 1.34 and 2.39.
  • Market alignment: The draw result aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Lugano exceeded xG expectations relative to NSÍ but could not claim victory.
  • Event impact: Second-half goals from both sides produced the final 2-2 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to distort the match outcome or flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Hennessy
R. Hennessy
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Broughton
D. Broughton
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Dynan
E. Dynan
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. O'Dowd
A. O'Dowd
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
NSÍ S. Eyjolfsson
S. Eyjolfsson
VS
Lugano M. Croci-Torti
M. Croci-Torti
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano Rank: 72 L
Koper Rank: 72 W
Koper Rank: 72 L
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Hamrun Spartans Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
NSÍ Rank: W
Dukagjini Rank: 56 W
Dukagjini Rank: 55 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NSÍ
4.38%
Draw
90.21%
Away Lugano
5.41%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.67
36.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NSÍ
Lugano
Power Score
28.67
36.85
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
NSÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Lugano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NSÍ Lugano

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

NSÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lugano

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NSÍ
vs
Lugano
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NSÍ Lugano
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
9%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs -0.22
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NSÍ Lugano
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
9%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.22 vs +0.00
NSÍ
Lugano
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
NSÍ
vs
Lugano
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
NSÍ Lugano
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
NSÍ 0.00
Lugano 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
NSÍ Lugano
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
NSÍ 0.00
Lugano 0.00
NSÍ
Lugano
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LUGA had peak pressure around 24'.
  • NSÍ started the game with stronger pressure.
NSÍ Pressure LUGA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LUGA reached the top pressure at 24' (78.13).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NSÍ NSÍ Home
1 matches
Lugano LUGA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0.68
xG
3.05
3.05
xGA
0.68

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T17:00:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 13, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 4
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Hennessy
Dermot Broughton
Emmett Dynan
Aaron O'Dowd

Statistics

Possession
NSÍ
41%
LUGA
59%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 4
1 Shots 6
30 Dangerous attacks 62
40 Possession 60
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

54 Ball Safe 51
7 Goal Kicks 3
4 Goal Attempts 15
4 Substitutions 3
20 Throwins 18
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 2
8 Dribble Attempts 11
2 Successful Dribbles 4
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

Attacking

76 Attacks 134
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

84 Long Passes 36
394 Passes 600
314 Successful Passes 544
80 Successful Passes Percentage 91
4 Key Passes 16
37 Successful Long Passes 18
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

Defensive

8 Saves 2
11 Tackles 14
2 Interceptions 8

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 20
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Robert Hennessy

Starting XI ▼

13
Tom Amos
Tom Amos Goalkeeper
6.34
2
Sammy Skytte
Sammy Skytte Defender
6.43
3
Viljormur Davidsen
Viljormur Davidsen Defender
6.47
6
Beinir Nolsøe
Beinir Nolsøe Defender
6.5
10
Klaemint Olsen
Klaemint Olsen
Attacker79'
6.46
17
Jann Benjaminsen
Jann Benjaminsen Defender
6.35
28
Markus Danielsen
Markus Danielsen
Attacker88'
6.48
29
Emil Joensen
Emil Joensen Defender
6.16
12
Filip Drinic
Filip Drinic Midfielder
6.3
16
Petur Knudsen
Petur Knudsen (C) Midfielder
6.37
33
Michal Przybylski
Michal Przybylski Midfielder
6.45
9
Tobias Hestad
Tobias Hestad
Midfielder88'
6.47
4
Daniel Obbekjær
Daniel Obbekjær Attacker
6.24
11
Marius Lindh
Marius Lindh Attacker
6.44
5
Alex Freyr Elísson
Alex Freyr Elísson
Defender79'
6.53
Referee : Robert Hennessy

Starting XI ▼

16
David von Ballmoos
David von Ballmoos Goalkeeper
6.87
6
Antonios Papadopoulos
Antonios Papadopoulos Defender
7
17
Lukas Mai
Lukas Mai Defender
6.84
18
Joel Bichsel
Joel Bichsel Defender
6.65
8
Anto Grgic
Anto Grgic Midfielder
7.09
21
Yanis Cimignani
Yanis Cimignani Midfielder
7.33
24
Elias Pihlström
Elias Pihlström Midfielder
6.97
30
Dereck Moncada
Dereck Moncada
Attacker88'
6.77
25
Uran Bislimi
Uran Bislimi Midfielder
7.66
11
Renato Steffen
Renato Steffen (C) Attacker
7.91
14
Ahmed Kendouci
Ahmed Kendouci
Midfielder88'
7.01
27
Daniel Dos Santos
Daniel Dos Santos Attacker
7.22
46
Mattia Zanotti
Mattia Zanotti
Defender63'
7.29
91
Kevin Behrens
Kevin Behrens Attacker
7.87

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Markus Danielsen → Jann Benjaminsen
4th Substitution
88'
Event
Tobias Hestad → Michal Przybylski
5th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
Ahmed Kendouci → Renato Steffen
6th Substitution
88'
Event
Dereck Moncada → Elias Pihlström
7th Substitution
Event
Emil Joensen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
82'
Event
Alex Freyr Elísson → Marius Lindh
2nd Substitution
79'
Event
Klaemint Olsen  → Beinir Nolsøe
3rd Substitution
79'
79'
Event
Kevin Behrens
Header / 4th Goal
66'
Event
Yanis Cimignani
Header / 3rd Goal
63'
Event
Mattia Zanotti → Daniel Dos Santos 
1st Substitution
Event
Marius Lindh
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
61'
1ST-HALF
Event
Petur Knudsen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
29'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
Ahmed Kendouci replaces Renato Steffen.
88
Update Update
Dereck Moncada comes on for Elias Pihlstrom.
88
Update Update
Markus Danielsen is on, and Jann Benjaminsen is off.
88
Update Update
Tobias Hestad comes on for Michal Przybylski.
82
Attempt Attempt
Elias Pihlstrom takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kevin Behrens scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
79
Update Update
On Klaemint Olsen, off Beinir Nolsoe.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Freyr Elisson comes on for Marius Lindh.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kevin Behrens scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
70
Attempt Attempt
Elias Pihlstrom takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Yanis Cimignani Head Shot Goal
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Yanis Cimignani scores, making it 2-1.
63
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Behrens attempts a header but misses the shot.
63
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Behrens attempts a header but misses the shot.
63
Update Update
Mattia Zanotti comes on for Daniel dos Santos Barros.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Marius Lindh takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Renato Steffen takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Attempt Attempt
Yanis Cimignani takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Attempt Attempt
Marius Lindh takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
37
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Behrens takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
37
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Behrens takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Petur Knudsen with his left foot results in a goal.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Petur Knudsen scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Sammy Skytte.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
26
Attempt Attempt
Uran Bislimi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Anto Grgic takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kevin Behrens Head Shot Missed
22
Attempt Attempt
Daniel dos Santos Barros takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Daniel dos Santos Barros takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Elias Pihlstrom takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Behrens takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Uran Bislimi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Michal Przybylski with his right foot is saved.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Robert Hennessy.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw leaves Lugano ahead on aggregate after the two legs. NSÍ showed resilience by overcoming a halftime lead and an xG deficit to secure the point. Possession favored the visitors throughout yet the home side matched them on the scoreboard. The result reflects a competitive encounter where neither team dominated completely. Both sides will review their finishing efficiency ahead of future fixtures. The tie structure highlighted the importance of the first-leg result in determining overall progress.