NSÍ vs Koper preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar Thu, 23 Jul - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
NSÍNSÍ
0 2
KoperKOP
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 6:45 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Brown Irabor - 82', 85'
Emil Joensen 36' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

NSÍ hosted Koper in the first leg of a two-legged tie and finished with a 0-2 defeat. The sides were level at 0-0 after a goalless first half. NSÍ held 42 percent possession while Koper controlled 58 percent. A red card was issued to the home side in the second half. Koper scored both goals after the interval. The result leaves Koper ahead on aggregate entering the return fixture. Pre-match indicators had pointed to a significant deviation of 59.8 percent favoring the away side. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns. No xG values were recorded for either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Pre-match indicators showed a 59.8 percent significant deviation favoring Koper.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with observed patterns throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: No xG values were recorded so alignment with the outcome could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data remained unavailable for both teams.
  • Event impact: Koper scored both goals after the interval to secure the 0-2 win.
  • Red card distortion: A red card to NSÍ in the second half altered the match structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Boșca
I. Boșca
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
V. Roșca
V. Roșca
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Sajin
A. Sajin
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Orlic
I. Orlic
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
NSÍ S. Eyjolfsson
S. Eyjolfsson
VS
Koper Z. Željkovič
Z. Željkovič
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Hamrun Spartans Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NSÍ
32.69%
Draw
27.09%
Away Koper
40.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
NSÍ
+32.04%
Draw
+25.18%
Koper
-57.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.67
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NSÍ
Koper
Power Score
36.67
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
NSÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Koper — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NSÍ Koper

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

NSÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Koper

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

NSÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Koper
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.93
35.26
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.26
28.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
NSÍ -0.61 Efficiency Index
vs
Koper +0.61 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
NSÍ
Koper
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NSÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Koper
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NSÍ Koper
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NSÍ Koper
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
NSÍ
Koper
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
NSÍ
vs
Koper
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
NSÍ Koper
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
NSÍ 0.10
Koper 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
NSÍ Koper
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
NSÍ 0.02
Koper 0.00
NSÍ
Koper
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KOP had peak pressure around 46'.
  • NSÍ started the game with stronger pressure.
NSÍ Pressure KOP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KOP reached the top pressure at 46' (51.18).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Igor Boșca
Vadim Roșca
Alexandru Sajin
Ion Orlic

Statistics

Possession
NSÍ
41%
KOP
59%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
4 Shots 9
83 Dangerous attacks 89
42 Possession 58
4 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

75 Ball Safe 121
7 Goal Attempts 13
4 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 28
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

124 Attacks 182

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Igor Boșca

Starting XI ▼

13
Tom Amos
Tom Amos Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Viljormur Davidsen
Viljormur Davidsen Defender
6.05
4
Daniel Obbekjær
Daniel Obbekjær Defender
6.04
12
Filip Drinic
Filip Drinic Defender
6.05
5
Alex Freyr Elísson
Alex Freyr Elísson
Defender86'
17
Jann Benjaminsen
Jann Benjaminsen Defender
6.05
6
Beinir Nolsøe
Beinir Nolsøe Midfielder
6.27
11
Marius Lindh
Marius Lindh Midfielder
6.27
28
Markus Danielsen
Markus Danielsen
Attacker90'
16
Petur Knudsen
Petur Knudsen (C) Midfielder
6.27
10
Klaemint Olsen
Klaemint Olsen
Attacker90'
29
Emil Joensen
Emil Joensen Midfielder
5.29
33
Michal Przybylski
Michal Przybylski Midfielder
6.27
2
Sammy Skytte
Sammy Skytte
Midfielder86'
9
Tobias Hestad
Tobias Hestad Attacker
6.5
45
Meinhard Olsen
Meinhard Olsen
Midfielder70'
6.27
Referee : Igor Boșca

Starting XI ▼

1
Luka Bas
Luka Bas Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Johannes Hoff Thorup
Johannes Hoff Thorup (C) Defender
6.5
5
Filip Backulja
Filip Backulja Defender
6.5
33
Filip Damjanovic
Filip Damjanovic Defender
6.49
47
Álvaro Roncal
Álvaro Roncal Defender
6.5
6
Fran Tomek
Fran Tomek Midfielder
6.45
80
Jean-Pierre Longonda
Jean-Pierre Longonda
Midfielder46'
6.5
8
Bassirou N'Diaye
Bassirou N'Diaye Midfielder
6.5
99
Kamil Manseri
Kamil Manseri
Midfielder46'
6.5
10
Leo Rimac
Leo Rimac Midfielder
6.5
26
Benjamin Adrović
Benjamin Adrović
Midfielder77'
6.99
25
Bangaly Diawara
Bangaly Diawara Midfielder
6.5
86
Stefano Surdanovic
Stefano Surdanovic
Midfielder90+2'
45
Isaac Matondo
Isaac Matondo Midfielder
6.5
27
Andraz Ruedl
Andraz Ruedl
Midfielder70'
6.5
9
Brown Irabor
Brown Irabor Attacker
2
7.14

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Stefano Surdanovic → Bangaly Diawara
10th Substitution
Event
Markus Danielsen → Marius Lindh
8th Substitution
90'
Event
Klaemint Olsen  → Petur Knudsen
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Alex Freyr Elísson → Filip Drinic
6th Substitution
86'
Event
Sammy Skytte → Michal Przybylski
7th Substitution
86'
85'
Event
Brown Irabor
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
82'
Event
Brown Irabor
Field Goal / 1st Goal
77'
Event
Benjamin Adrović → Leo Rimac
5th Substitution
Event
Meinhard Olsen → Tobias Hestad
3rd Substitution
70'
70'
Event
Andraz Ruedl → Isaac Matondo
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Jean-Pierre Longonda → Fran Tomek
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Kamil Manseri → Bassirou N'Diaye
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Filip Damjanovic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Emil Joensen
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
36'
28'
Event
Fran Tomek
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Daniel Obbekjær
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
26'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Stefano Surdanovic comes on for Diawara Bangaly.
90
Update Update
Markus Danielsen is on, and Marius Lindh is off.
90
Update Update
Klaemint Olsen comes on for Petur Knudsen.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Sammy Skytte comes on for Michal Przybylski.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Freyr Elisson comes on for Filip Drinic.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Brown Irabor scores to make it 0-2, assisted by Benjamin Adrovic.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Brown Irabor scores, making it 0-1.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Benjamin Adrovic comes on for Leo Rimac.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
Andraz Ruedl comes on for Isaac Matondo.
70
Update Update
Meinhard Olsen replaces Tobias Hestad.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Kamil Manseri is on, and Bassirou Ndiaye is off.
46
Update Update
Jean-Pierre Longonda comes on for Fran Tomek.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Red Card Red Card Important
Emil Joensen receives a red card.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Fran Tomek.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Daniel Obbekjaer.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Koper secured a 0-2 away victory in leg one against NSÍ. The match remained scoreless at halftime before the home side received a red card. Koper then converted their numerical advantage into two second-half goals. Possession favored the visitors at 58 percent compared with 42 percent for NSÍ. The outcome leaves Koper with a two-goal aggregate lead ahead of the return leg. Structural and efficiency measures aligned with the observed result despite the absence of xG figures. The red card introduced a clear distortion that shaped the second-half flow and final margin.