NSÍ vs Hamrun Spartans preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar Thu, 9 Jul - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
Full Time Thu, 9 Jul 6:45 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

NSÍ welcomed Hamrun Spartans for the opening leg of their two-legged knockout encounter, resulting in a 1-1 draw after ninety minutes of play. The hosts established a 1-0 advantage by halftime through effective attacking play. Hamrun Spartans responded positively in the second period to level the score and keep the tie balanced. With possession split almost evenly at 51 percent for NSÍ and 49 percent for the away side, neither team dominated territorially. The absence of any dismissals ensured a full complement of players for both squads until the final whistle. NSÍ, identified as the stronger side beforehand, faced challenges in converting their slight edge into a victory. This outcome leaves the aggregate score level heading into the decisive second leg, promising further drama and tactical adjustments from both managers.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A moderate structural deviation of 8.8 percent was recorded for NSÍ.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations across the match.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated due to unavailable metrics.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw result confirmed market alignment with the outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained unassessable without underlying data.
  • Event impact: The first-half goal created event impact before the second-half equalizer.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role with zero dismissals issued.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. O'Sullivan
K. O'Sullivan
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Keegan
D. Keegan
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Harte
E. Harte
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Keating
L. Keating
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
NSÍ S. Eyjolfsson
S. Eyjolfsson
VS
Hamrun Spartans G. Modica
G. Modica
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NSÍ
4.39%
Draw
91.23%
Away Hamrun Spartans
4.39%

Movement

Changes since opening
NSÍ
-1.65%
Draw
+3.31%
Hamrun Spartans
-1.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
38.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NSÍ
Hamrun Spartans
Power Score
50
38.89
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
NSÍ Opponent-weighted form score
Hamrun Spartans Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NSÍ Hamrun Spartans

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

NSÍ

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Hamrun Spartans

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

NSÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hamrun Spartans
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.00
19.80
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.80
25.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
NSÍ +0.50 Efficiency Index
vs
Hamrun Spartans -0.50 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
NSÍ
Hamrun Spartans
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NSÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hamrun Spartans
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NSÍ Hamrun Spartans
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NSÍ Hamrun Spartans
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
NSÍ
Hamrun Spartans
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

NSÍ
vs
Hamrun Spartans
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
NSÍ Hamrun Spartans
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
NSÍ Hamrun Spartans
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
NSÍ
Hamrun Spartans
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NSÍ had peak pressure around 48'.
  • Hamrun Spartans started the game with stronger pressure.
NSÍ Pressure Hamrun Spartans Pressure
Pressure Index: NSÍ reached the top pressure at 48' (62.35).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 09, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kevin O'Sullivan
Darragh Keegan
Eoin Harte
Lucas Keating

Statistics

Possession
NSÍ
55%
Hamrun Spartans
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
6 Shots 4
95 Dangerous attacks 54
51 Possession 49
5 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

117 Ball Safe 117
6 Goal Attempts 5
3 Substitutions 2
16 Throwins 14
1 Assists 1
2 Injuries 2

Attacking

180 Attacks 139

Discipline

5 Offsides 7
7 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Kevin O'Sullivan

Starting XI

13
T. Amos
T. Amos Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Viljormur Davidsen
6.25
4
Daniel Obbekjær
Daniel Obbekjær Defender
6.26
5
Alex Freyr Elísson
6.5
12
Filip Drinic
Filip Drinic
Defender15'
17
Jann Benjaminsen
Jann Benjaminsen Defender
6.25
6
Beinir Nolsøe
Beinir Nolsøe Midfielder
6.37
11
Marius Lindh
Marius Lindh Midfielder
6.37
2
Sammy Skytte
Sammy Skytte
Midfielder83'
16
Petur Knudsen
Petur Knudsen (C) Midfielder
6.52
29
Emil Joensen
Emil Joensen Midfielder
6.37
33
Michal Przybylski
Michal Przybylski Midfielder
6.37
9
Tobias Hestad
Tobias Hestad Attacker
6.46
7
Aron Knudsen
Aron Knudsen
Midfielder61'
Referee : Kevin O'Sullivan

Starting XI

98
Célio Goalkeeper
2
Rafael Compri
Rafael Compri Defender
6.26
3
Tobias Björnstad
6.25
13
Vincenzo Polito
Vincenzo Polito Defender
6.26
20
Messie Biatoumoussoka
6.25
6
Matthew Guillaumier
Matthew Guillaumier Midfielder
6.37
8
Jake Grech
Jake Grech Midfielder
6.37
18
Jack Ipalibo
Jack Ipalibo Midfielder
6.37
91
Emerson
Emerson (C) Midfielder
6.37
15
Kean Scicluna
Kean Scicluna
Defender79'
9
Damir Céter
Damir Céter Attacker
6.46
99
Emmanuel Ernest
Emmanuel Ernest
Attacker79'
10
Lucas Villela
Lucas Villela Attacker
6.46
88
Ante Ćorić
Ante Ćorić
Midfielder65'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sammy Skytte Marius Lindh
6th Substitution
83'
79'
Event
Emmanuel Ernest Damir Céter
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Kean Scicluna Emerson
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Ante Ćorić Lucas Villela
3rd Substitution
Event
Aron Knudsen Tobias Hestad
2nd Substitution
61'
56'
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
25'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
18'
Event
Filip Drinic Alex Freyr Elísson
1st Substitution
15'

Match Commentary

86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Sammy Skytte comes on for Marius Lindh.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Kean Scicluna is on, and Marcelina Emerson is off.
65
Update Update
Ante Coric replaces Lucas Villela.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
On A. Petur Knudsen, off Tobias Hestad.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tobias Bjornstad scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Lucas Villela.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Petur Knudsen.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Petur Knudsen scores to make it 1-0.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
15
Update Update
Filip Drinic comes on for Alex Freyr Elisson.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw in leg one leaves the knockout tie finely balanced for the return fixture. NSÍ will seek to build on their first-half control when hosting again while Hamrun Spartans intend to repeat their resilient second-half display. Even possession underlined the competitive nature of the contest from start to finish. Absence of red cards allowed continuous tactical battles without numerical changes. As the stronger side NSÍ may reflect on missed chances to extend their lead yet retain a strong platform. Hamrun Spartans gained valuable momentum from their away equalizer and will approach the next match with belief. Both sides must refine set pieces and transitions to secure progression in the decider.