Norway vs Senegal preview
World Cup
Senegal
SEN
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Norway defeated Senegal by a final score of 3-2 after leading 1-0 at halftime. Senegal controlled 58 percent of possession and posted an expected goals total of 2.19 against Norway's 1.84. Despite these underlying metrics favoring the visitors, Norway claimed the three points as the designated stronger side. The result reflected a significant deviation from pre-match projections centered on the home team. No red cards were issued to players from either side during the contest. Norway demonstrated notable second-half resilience to overcome the statistical edge held by Senegal. The victory underscores the home side's ability to convert limited opportunities into a match-winning performance.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Norway 3-2 Senegal. Norway showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with measured performance indicators.
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xG alignment: The final result proved inconsistent with the underlying expected goals totals.
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Market alignment: The outcome stayed aligned with pre-match market projections.
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xG expectations: xG expectations had pointed toward Senegal holding the statistical advantage.
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Event impact: Second-half adjustments enabled Norway to overcome an early deficit in metrics.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to create any distortion in match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Norway
Senegal
Movement
Changes since opening
Norway
Senegal
Team Power Ranking
i
66.67
38.89
Norway
Senegal
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Norway
Senegal
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Norway
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Norway
Norway
Senegal
Norway
Senegal
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Norway
Norway
Senegal
Norway
Senegal
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SEN had peak pressure around 58'.
- NOR started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-24T00:00:24+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Norway
vs
France
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 26 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Boston Stadium
Senegal
vs
Iraq
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 26 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Toronto Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary