Nordsjælland vs Valur preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Right to Dream Park
Europa Conference League
NordsjællandFCN
5 0
ValurVAL
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 7 - 0
Lamine Sadio - 71'
Levy Nene - 74'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Nordsjælland 5–0 Valur. The result saw Nordsjælland take the points. Nordsjælland showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Nordsjælland 4.7 – 0.6 Valur. Possession was 66%–34%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The 3.5 percent deviation reflected minimal variance between projected and actual match outcomes.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency levels stayed in line with pre-match projections for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The 5-0 result proved consistent with the expected goals differential of 4.15.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome aligned with market expectations for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Nordsjælland posted 4.7 expected goals while Valur recorded 0.55.
  • Event impact: The second leg extended the aggregate from 7-0 to 12-0 in Nordsjælland's favor.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion to match dynamics or structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Maļcevs
E. Maļcevs
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Svipsts
M. Svipsts
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Ševčenko
D. Ševčenko
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Anufrijevs
A. Anufrijevs
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
VS
Valur C. Brazell
C. Brazell
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Valur Rank: W
GAIS Rank: 63 W
GAIS Rank: 62 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: 72 L
Zrinjski Rank: 59 D
Zrinjski Rank: 59 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nordsjælland
96.46%
Draw
2.35%
Away Valur
1.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.78
27.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nordsjælland
Valur
Power Score
34.78
27.78
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
Valur — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nordsjælland Valur

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Valur

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nordsjælland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Valur
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
58.64
23.97
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.97
58.64
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nordsjælland +2.69 Efficiency Index
vs
Valur -2.69 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nordsjælland
Valur
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nordsjælland
vs
Valur
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nordsjælland Valur
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
5%
10%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.25 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nordsjælland Valur
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
10%
5%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs -0.25
Nordsjælland
Valur
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nordsjælland
vs
Valur
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nordsjælland Valur
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nordsjælland 0.36
Valur 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nordsjælland Valur
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nordsjælland 0.00
Valur 0.05
Nordsjælland
Valur
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCN had peak pressure around 13'.
  • FCN started the game with stronger pressure.
FCN Pressure VAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCN reached the top pressure at 13' (90.23).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nordsjælland FCN Home
1 matches
Valur VAL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
3.06
xG
0.78
0.78
xGA
3.06

Data last updated: 2026-08-14T00:01:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 7 - 0
Stadium
Right to Dream Park
Capacity
9200
Attendance
3289
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Edgars Maļcevs
Mārtiņš Svipsts
Deniss Ševčenko
Aleksandrs Anufrijevs

Statistics

Possession
FCN
65%
VAL
35%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 0
7 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 4
94 Dangerous attacks 23
66 Possession 34
10 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 19
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

64 Ball Safe 78
6 Goal Kicks 11
19 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 13
0 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Assists 0
1 Injuries 2
14 Dribble Attempts 11
7 Successful Dribbles 5
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

139 Attacks 38
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

24 Long Passes 47
667 Passes 336
623 Successful Passes 277
93 Successful Passes Percentage 82
28 Key Passes 7
15 Successful Long Passes 23
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

2 Saves 9
14 Tackles 10
8 Interceptions 2

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 10
10 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
19 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Edgars Maļcevs

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.13
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Defender
6.76
42
Matej Tuka
Matej Tuka
Defender46'
6.66
4
Noah Markmann
Noah Markmann Defender
7.29
15
Stephen Acquah
Stephen Acquah Defender
7.22
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink Midfielder
7.73
8
Nicklas Røjkjær
Nicklas Røjkjær (C) Midfielder
7.4
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen
Midfielder60'
7.14
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
7.66
28
Markus Walker
Markus Walker
Defender46'
7.46
32
Victor Gustafsen
Victor Gustafsen Midfielder
7.45
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
8.04
17
Levy Nene
Levy Nene
Attacker71'
7.31
29
Villum Berthelsen
Villum Berthelsen Attacker
8.57
40
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen Attacker
7.86
37
Lamine Sadio
Lamine Sadio
Midfielder60'
7.88
Referee : Edgars Maļcevs

Starting XI ▼

18
Frederik Schram
Frederik Schram Goalkeeper
7.71
3
Hördur Ingi Gunnarsson
Hördur Ingi Gunnarsson Defender
6.21
19
Dagur Orri Gardarson
Dagur Orri Gardarson
Attacker60'
6.6
4
Markus Nakkim
Markus Nakkim Defender
6.25
9
Patrick Pedersen
Patrick Pedersen
Attacker60'
6.39
15
Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson
Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson (C) Defender
6.34
21
Jakob Pálsson
Jakob Pálsson Defender
5.74
29
Shkelzen Veseli
Shkelzen Veseli
Midfielder60'
6.5
22
Birkir Heimisson
Birkir Heimisson Midfielder
6.37
11
Ingimar Torbjörnsson Stöle
Ingimar Torbjörnsson Stöle
Defender60'
6.08
24
Myles Veldman
Myles Veldman Midfielder
6.57
28
Samúel Fridjónsson
Samúel Fridjónsson Midfielder
6.44
8
Jónatan Ingi Jónsson
Jónatan Ingi Jónsson Attacker
6.78
6
Bjarni Mark Antonsson Duffield
Bjarni Mark Antonsson Duffield
Midfielder69'
6.3
12
Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson
Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson Attacker
6.9
17
Lúkas Logi Heimisson
Lúkas Logi Heimisson Attacker
6.57

Events

2ND-HALF
79'
Event
Shkelzen Veseli
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Levy Nene
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
74'
Event
Lamine Sadio
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
71'
Event
Levy Nene → Prince Amoako Junior
10th Substitution
71'
69'
Event
Bjarni Mark Antonsson Duffield → Jónatan Ingi Jónsson
9th Substitution
Event
Markus Walker
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
62'
Event
Justin Janssen → Nicklas Røjkjær 
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Lamine Sadio → Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
6th Substitution
60'
60'
Event
Dagur Orri Gardarson → Hördur Ingi Gunnarsson
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Patrick Pedersen → Markus Nakkim
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Ingimar Torbjörnsson Stöle → Birkir Heimisson
7th Substitution
60'
Event
Shkelzen Veseli → Jakob Pálsson
8th Substitution
59'
Event
Markus Nakkim
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Matej Tuka → Peter Ankersen
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Markus Walker → Juho Lähteenmäki
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Villum Berthelsen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+3'
45+2'
Event
Hördur Ingi Gunnarsson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
41'
Event
Samúel Fridjónsson
Penalty cancelled
Event
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
5'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Holmar Orn Eyjolffson attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Levy Nene takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Logi Heimisson takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
81
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Justin Janssen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Shkelzen Veseli.
76
Attempt Attempt
Dagur Gardarson takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Logi Heimisson takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Levy Nene scores with a right-footed shot.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Levy Nene scores, making it 5-0.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lamine Sadio scores to make it 4-0, assisted by Villum Berthelsen.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Lamine Sadio scores with a left-footed shot.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lamine Sadio scores to make it 4-0, assisted by Villum Berthelsen.
69
Substitution Substitution
Levy Nene is substituted for Prince Amoako Junior.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lamine Sadio scores, making it 4-0.
69
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a shot with his right foot, but it's blocked.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio takes a right-footed shot but misses.
64
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Ingi Jonsson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
64
Attempt Attempt
Villum Berthelsen takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
64
Attempt Attempt
Mark Brink takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Markus Walker takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
62
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio's left-footed shot is saved.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Markus Walker scores, making it 3-0.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
60
Update Update
Lamine Sadio comes on for Hjalte Rasmussen.
60
Update Update
Justin Janssen comes on for Nicklas Rojkjaer.
60
Update Update
Shkelzen Veseli is on, and Jakob Franz Palsson is off.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Patrick Pedersen comes on for Markus Nakkim.
60
Update Update
On Ingimar Torbjornsson, off Birkir Heimisson.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Markus Nakkim receives a yellow card.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Prince Amoako Junior with his right foot, but it's saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Matej Tuka comes on for Peter Ankersen.
46
Update Update
Markus Walker is on, and Juho Lahteenmaki is off.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Villum Berthelsen with his right foot results in a goal.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Villum Berthelsen takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yellow card shown to Hordur Ingi Gunnarsson.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
41
Update Update
VAR decision confirms that no penalty is awarded for Samuel Kari Fridjonsson.
28
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Logi Heimisson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Juho Lahteenmaki takes a shot with his head but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Nicklas Rojkjaer takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Attempt Attempt
Stephen Acquah's header is saved.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson with his left foot, but it misses the target.
20
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen's left-footed shot is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Victor Gustafsen takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen's left-footed shot is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
11
Attempt Attempt
Villum Berthelsen takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
Mark Brink takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
8
Attempt Attempt
Noah Markmann's right-footed shot is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Mark Brink takes a right-footed shot but misses.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Hjalte Rasmussen scores with a left-footed shot.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Hjalte Rasmussen scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Prince Amoako Junior.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Hjalte Rasmussen scores to make it 1-0.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Edgars Malcevs.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Nordsjælland 5-0 Valur. Structural assessment: Nordsjælland exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.