Nordsjælland vs Randers FC preview

Denmark flag 2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark
Right to Dream Park Sun, 2 Aug - 12:00 PM
Superliga
NordsjællandFCN
1 0
Randers FCRDF
Full Time Sun, 2 Aug 12:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
Runar Norheim - 90+5'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Nordsjælland defeated Randers FC by a score of 1-0 at home. The sides were level at 0-0 after the opening period. Nordsjælland dominated possession at 67 percent and created an expected goals total of 2.71 against Randers 0.61. The stronger side maintained control throughout and converted enough of their opportunities to claim the points. The outcome proved consistent with the underlying performance indicators despite the narrow margin. Randers struggled to create meaningful chances and finished with limited possession at 33 percent. The match highlighted Nordsjælland's ability to dictate tempo and territory over the full ninety minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Nordsjælland 1-0 Randers FC. Nordsjælland showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Nordsjælland posted 2.71 expected goals while Randers posted 0.61.
  • Event impact: The lone goal decided the contest in favor of the home team.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match experienced no related distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Hansen
J. Hansen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Yurdakul
D. Yurdakul
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Hansen
C. Hansen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Klarlund
F. Klarlund
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
VS
Randers FC R. Bertelsen
R. Bertelsen
1.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Horsens Rank: 50 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 65 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 D
Brøndby IF Rank: 70 D
Viborg FF Rank: 67 L
AGF Rank: 76 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Silkeborg IF Rank: 61 D
FC København Rank: 75 L
Odense BK Rank: 61 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 53 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 62 L
Fredericia Rank: 55 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.99
61.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nordsjælland
Randers FC
Power Score
71.99
61.67
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
249
559

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nordsjælland Randers FC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Randers FC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nordsjælland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Randers FC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.10
38.48
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.48
34.10
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nordsjælland -0.49 Efficiency Index
vs
Randers FC +0.49 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nordsjælland
Randers FC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nordsjælland
vs
Randers FC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nordsjælland Randers FC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
30%
5%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.82 vs -0.03
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nordsjælland Randers FC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
5%
30%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.03 vs -0.82
Nordsjælland
Randers FC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nordsjælland
vs
Randers FC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nordsjælland Randers FC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nordsjælland 0.19
Randers FC 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nordsjælland Randers FC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nordsjælland 0.00
Randers FC 0.01
Nordsjælland
Randers FC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCN had peak pressure around 98'.
  • FCN started the game with stronger pressure.
FCN Pressure RDF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCN reached the top pressure at 98' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nordsjælland FCN Home
6 matches
Randers FC RDF Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
9
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-03T00:01:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 02, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Right to Dream Park
Capacity
9200
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jonas Hansen
Deniz Yurdakul
Christian Ginderskov Hansen
Frida Mia Klarlund

Statistics

Possession
FCN
62%
RDF
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
8 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 5
97 Dangerous attacks 34
67 Possession 33
11 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

79 Ball Safe 76
7 Goal Kicks 13
13 Goal Attempts 9
3 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 9
1 Hit Woodwork 2
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 2
35 Dribble Attempts 15
13 Successful Dribbles 8
37 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

Attacking

161 Attacks 70
7 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

34 Long Passes 52
713 Passes 363
632 Successful Passes 296
89 Successful Passes Percentage 82
16 Key Passes 8
20 Successful Long Passes 23
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

4 Saves 4
17 Tackles 31
5 Interceptions 21
41 Duels Won 56

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 9
4 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Jonas Hansen

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.68
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist (C) Defender
7.83
15
Stephen Acquah
Stephen Acquah Defender
7.26
36
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Defender
7.5
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink Midfielder
7.49
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen
Midfielder77'
6.97
8
Nicklas Røjkjær
Nicklas Røjkjær Midfielder
7.17
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
7.33
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
6.7
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
6.95
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel Attacker
6.25
29
Villum Berthelsen
Villum Berthelsen
Midfielder63'
6.62
37
Lamine Sadio
Lamine Sadio Attacker
6.78
40
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Midfielder62'
6.13
Referee : Jonas Hansen

Starting XI ▼

32
Jannich Storch
Jannich Storch Goalkeeper
7.2
2
Lucas Lissens
Lucas Lissens Defender
6.97
24
Sabil Hansen
Sabil Hansen
Midfielder53'
6.23
3
Daniel Høegh
Daniel Høegh Defender
7.54
4
Wessel Dammers
Wessel Dammers (C) Defender
7.18
15
M. Sjølstad
M. Sjølstad Defender
6.92
44
Nikolas Dyhr
Nikolas Dyhr
Defender66'
6.27
6
John Björkengren
John Björkengren Midfielder
6.36
7
Mike Themsen
Mike Themsen Midfielder
7.31
8
Laurits Pedersen
Laurits Pedersen Midfielder
7.61
11
Elies Mahmoud
Elies Mahmoud Midfielder
7.76
23
Benjamin Orn
Benjamin Orn
Defender82'
6.01
17
Mathias Greve
Mathias Greve Midfielder
6.72
14
Frederik Lauenborg
Frederik Lauenborg
Midfielder66'
6.67
30
Mohamed Sankoh
Mohamed Sankoh Attacker
6.56
77
Kasper Junker
Kasper Junker
Attacker82'
6.41

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Runar Norheim
Header / 1st Goal
90+5'
90+4'
Event
Benjamin Orn
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Mike Themsen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Juho Lähteenmäki
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
85'
82'
Event
Kasper Junker → Mohamed Sankoh
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Benjamin Orn → Elies Mahmoud
8th Substitution
Event
Justin Janssen → Mark Brink
6th Substitution
77'
66'
Event
Nikolas Dyhr → M. Sjølstad
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Frederik Lauenborg → Mathias Greve
5th Substitution
Event
Villum Berthelsen → Ibrahim Adel
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen → Lamine Sadio
2nd Substitution
62'
53'
Event
Sabil Hansen → Lucas Lissens
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ibrahim Adel
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard
45'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Runar Norheim takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Runar Norheim scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Tobias Salquist.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Benjamin Orn.
90
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Lauenborg takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mike Themsen receives a yellow card.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juho Lahteenmaki receives a yellow card.
85
Attempt Attempt
Mike Themsen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
84
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Update Update
On comes Benjamin Orn, off goes Elies Mahmoud.
82
Update Update
Kasper Junker comes on for Mohamed Sankoh.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Sankoh takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen's right-footed shot is blocked.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Justin Janssen comes on for Mark Brink.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Hoegh attempts a header but misses the shot.
76
Attempt Attempt
Mike Themsen takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
70
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Juho Lahteenmaki takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Substitution Substitution
Nikolas Dyhr is substituted for Martin Andre Sjolstad.
66
Update Update
Frederik Lauenborg comes on for Mathias Greve.
66
Attempt Attempt
Elies Mahmoud takes a left-footed shot but misses.
64
Update Update
Offside.
64
Update Update
Offside.
63
Update Update
Hjalte Rasmussen is on, and Lamine Sadio is off.
62
Update Update
On Villum Berthelsen, off Ibrahim Adel.
61
Update Update
On Villum Berthelsen, off Ibrahim Adel.
61
Update Update
Offside.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Update Update
On Sabil Hansen, off Lucas Lissens.
53
Update Update
On for Sabil Hansen, off goes Lucas Lissens.
52
Attempt Attempt
Nicklas Rojkjaer takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ibrahim Adel receives a yellow card.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Elies Mahmoud takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Mark Brink takes a left-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Nicklas Rojkjaer takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Mike Themsen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Elies Mahmoud takes a left-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Lissens takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Mike Themsen takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Update Update
Offside.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jonas Hansen.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Nordsjælland 1-0 Randers FC. Structural assessment: Nordsjælland exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.