Nordsjælland vs GAIS preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Right to Dream Park Thu, 30 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Nordsjælland FCN
6 0
GAIS GAI
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 6 - 1
Runar Norheim - 11', 59'
Oskar Ågren - 14' (Own Goal)
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen - 36'
Prince Amoako Junior - 63'
Nicklas Røjkjær  - 81'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Nordsjælland 6–0 GAIS. The result saw Nordsjælland take the points. Nordsjælland showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Nordsjælland 2.5 – 0.8 GAIS. Possession was 57%–43%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The 4.7 percent deviation level reflected minimal difference between projected and observed results.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match projections for both teams across the full match.
  • xG alignment: Home xG of 2.52 and away xG of 0.84 aligned closely with the 6-0 scoreline.
  • Market alignment: Pre-match indicators proved consistent with Nordsjælland securing the win.
  • xG expectations: Nordsjælland surpassed xG expectations by converting 2.52 into six goals.
  • Event impact: Nordsjælland added three second-half goals after a 3-0 halftime lead.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown so match dynamics experienced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Avazashvili
G. Avazashvili
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Elikashvili
G. Elikashvili
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Taruashvili
G. Taruashvili
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Kherkhadze
I. Kherkhadze
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
VS
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: 62 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: 70 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nordsjælland
95.33%
Draw
2.8%
Away GAIS
1.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.17
64.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nordsjælland
GAIS
Power Score
72.17
64.17
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
254
511

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nordsjælland GAIS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

GAIS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nordsjælland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.37
27.44
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.44
42.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nordsjælland +1.46 Efficiency Index
vs
GAIS -1.46 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nordsjælland
GAIS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nordsjælland
vs
GAIS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nordsjælland GAIS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
8%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.08 vs -0.07
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nordsjælland GAIS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
8%
3%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.07 vs -0.08
Nordsjælland
GAIS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nordsjælland
vs
GAIS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nordsjælland GAIS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nordsjælland 0.51
GAIS 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nordsjælland GAIS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nordsjælland 0.00
GAIS 0.14
Nordsjælland
GAIS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCN had peak pressure around 63'.
  • FCN started the game with stronger pressure.
FCN Pressure GAI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCN reached the top pressure at 63' (75.78).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nordsjælland FCN Home
1 matches
GAIS GAI Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0.58
xG
1.14
1.14
xGA
0.58

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:03:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Hansen
Denmark
13 A. Hansen
P. Ankersen
Denmark
2 P. Ankersen
T. Salquist
Substitution
Denmark
3 (C) T. Salquist
C. Yirenkyi
Ghana
36 C. Yirenkyi
R. Norheim
Substitution
Norway
23 R. Norheim
J. Meltofte Janssen
Substitution
18 J. Meltofte Janssen
N. Røjkjær
Denmark
8 N. Røjkjær
J. Lähteenmäki
Finland
25 J. Lähteenmäki
H. Boe Kling Rasmussen
40 H. Boe Kling Rasmussen
P. Berthelsen
Substitution
Denmark
29 P. Berthelsen
P. Amoako Junior
Substitution
10 P. Amoako Junior
M. Krasniqi
Sweden
1 M. Krasniqi
M. de Brienne
Substitution
Canada
2 M. de Brienne
O. Ågren
Sweden
4 O. Ågren
A. Cardaklija
Sweden
22 A. Cardaklija
A. Wängberg
Sweden
6 (C) A. Wängberg
R. Þorkelsson
Substitution
Iceland
17 R. Þorkelsson
J. Åberg
Sweden
7 J. Åberg
W. Milovanovic
Sweden
8 W. Milovanovic
O. Pettersson
Substitution
Sweden
32 O. Pettersson
S. Salter
Substitution
Canada
20 S. Salter
M. Andersson
Substitution
Sweden
16 M. Andersson

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 6 - 1
Stadium
Right to Dream Park
Capacity
9200
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Giorgi Avazashvili
Giorgi Elikashvili
Gocha Taruashvili
Irakli Kherkhadze

Statistics

Possession
FCN
57%
GAI
43%

Top Statistics

6 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 3
43 Dangerous attacks 36
57 Possession 43
2 Corners 1
14 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 9
11 Substitutions 7
18 Throwins 10
3 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Assists 0
11 Dribble Attempts 5
8 Successful Dribbles 1
73 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20

Attacking

78 Attacks 88
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

38 Long Passes 44
588 Passes 440
531 Successful Passes 382
90 Successful Passes Percentage 87
15 Key Passes 4
23 Successful Long Passes 21
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

Defensive

2 Saves 5
11 Tackles 15
3 Interceptions 13

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 8
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 4
17 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Giorgi Avazashvili

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
6.91
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Defender
7.01
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist (C) Defender
6.87
15
Stephen Acquah
Stephen Acquah
Defender64'
6.45
36
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Defender
6.95
8
Nicklas Røjkjær
Nicklas Røjkjær Midfielder
8.66
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen Midfielder
7.76
47
Malte Heyde
Malte Heyde
Midfielder65'
6.68
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
2
8.93
32
Victor Gustafsen
Victor Gustafsen
Defender65'
6.46
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
6.48
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
7.72
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel
Attacker65'
7.34
29
Villum Berthelsen
Villum Berthelsen Attacker
7.63
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink
Midfielder77'
6.65
40
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen Attacker
7.51
Referee : Giorgi Avazashvili

Starting XI ▼

1
Mergim Krasniqi
Mergim Krasniqi Goalkeeper
5.98
2
Matteo de Brienne
Matteo de Brienne Defender
5.77
5
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Defender73'
6.37
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren Defender
5.99
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg (C) Defender
5.36
22
Anes Cardaklija
Anes Cardaklija Defender
6.01
7
Joackim Fagerjord
Joackim Fagerjord Midfielder
6.84
8
William Milovanovic
William Milovanovic Midfielder
6.1
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Midfielder
6.38
10
Henry Sletsjøe
Henry Sletsjøe
Midfielder73'
6.4
16
Max Andersson
Max Andersson Attacker
6.53
14
Simon Jørgensen
Simon Jørgensen
Attacker46'
6.32
20
Samuel Salter
Samuel Salter Attacker
6.48
21
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic
Attacker64'
6.48
32
Oscar Pettersson
Oscar Pettersson Attacker
6.65
11
Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic
Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic
Attacker64'
6.38

Events

2ND-HALF
83'
Event
William Milovanovic
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Stephen Acquah
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
82'
Event
Nicklas Røjkjær 
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
81'
Event
Mark Brink → Villum Berthelsen
10th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
August Wängberg 
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Henry Sletsjøe → Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
8th Substitution
73'
Event
Robin Wendin Thomasson → Matteo de Brienne
9th Substitution
Event
Peter Ankersen
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
Event
Ibrahim Adel → Prince Amoako Junior
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Victor Gustafsen → Runar Norheim
6th Substitution
65'
Event
Malte Heyde → Justin Janssen
7th Substitution
65'
Event
Stephen Acquah → Tobias Salquist
2nd Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic → Oscar Pettersson
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Nikola Vasic → Samuel Salter
4th Substitution
Event
Prince Amoako Junior
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
63'
Event
Runar Norheim
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
59'
46'
Event
Simon Jørgensen → Max Andersson
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Header / 2nd Goal
36'
Event
Oskar Ågren
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
14'
Event
Runar Norheim
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
11'
Event
Caleb Yirenkyi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
9'
4'
Event
Oskar Ågren
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
84
Attempt Attempt
Malte Heyde takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to William Milovanovic.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Stephen Acquah.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nicklas Rojkjaer takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
81
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 6-0.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Substitution Substitution
Mark Brink is substituted for Villum Berthelsen.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to August Wangberg.
73
Update Update
On comes Henry Sletsjoe, off goes Robert Frosti Thorkelsson.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
70
Attempt Attempt
Simon Jorgensen takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Peter Ankersen receives a yellow card.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
65
Update Update
Malte Heyde comes on for Justin Janssen.
65
Substitution Substitution
Victor Gustafsen is substituted off for Runar Norheim.
64
Update Update
Ibrahim Adel is on, and Prince Amoako Junior is off.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Stephen Acquah comes on for Tobias Salquist.
64
Update Update
On Rasmus Johansson, off Oscar Pettersson.
63
Update Update
Nikola Vasic replaces Samuel Salter.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Prince Amoako Junior with his right foot results in a goal.
63
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Prince Amoako Junior scores, making it 5-0.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Runar Norheim scores with a right-footed shot.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Runar Norheim scores, making it 4-0.
52
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a shot, but it's saved.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Simon Jorgensen is on, and Max Andersson is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Villum Berthelsen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Robert Frosti Thorkelsson with his left foot misses the target.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Hjalte Rasmussen Head Shot Goal
36
Attempt Attempt
Villum Berthelsen takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Hjalte Rasmussen scores, making it 3-0.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Prince Amoako Junior with his right foot is blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Pettersson takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Matteo de Brienne takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Pettersson takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Pettersson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Prince Amoako Junior with his right foot is saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Hjalte Rasmussen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Villum Berthelsen takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Villum Berthelsen with his right foot results in a goal.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Villum Berthelsen scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Hjalte Rasmussen.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Runar Norheim takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Runar Norheim scores, making it 1-0.
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Oscar Pettersson with his right foot, but it misses the target.
10
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
9
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Caleb Yirenkyi receives a yellow card.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Caleb Yirenkyi receives a yellow card.
5
Attempt Attempt
Nicklas Rojkjaer takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Oskar Agren.
2
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Nordsjælland completed a comprehensive turnaround with a 6-0 second-leg win that eliminated any doubt from the first-leg result. Their structured approach and clinical finishing produced clear separation on the night while the xG figures supported the scale of the victory. GAIS struggled to create meaningful chances and could not alter the flow once the deficit grew. The absence of disciplinary interruptions allowed both sides to play their natural styles without forced adjustments. Overall the performance reinforced Nordsjælland status as the stronger side and delivered the required aggregate margin. The result highlighted effective use of possession and timely second-half additions that sealed progression.