Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland preview

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Right to Dream Park
Superliga
NordsjællandFCN
FC MidtjyllandFCM
KICKOFF :
Round 9 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Nordsjælland host FC Midtjylland in Superliga (Championship Round) at Right to Dream Park. Domestically, Nordsjælland sit 6th in the table while FC Midtjylland are 2th. Power ranking favours FC Midtjylland by 12.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Midtjylland possess a 12.6-point power advantage over Nordsjælland with scores of 79.48 to 66.88.
  • Form: Recent form favors FC Midtjylland at 36.11 compared to Nordsjælland's 26.28.
  • Squad: League standings show Nordsjælland in 6th and FC Midtjylland in 2nd.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies without xG for Nordsjælland and FC Midtjylland.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Nordsjælland 31.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.1% (Δ+0%) | FC Midtjylland 43.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
VS
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
1.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brøndby IF Rank: 65 D
Viborg FF Rank: 63 L
AGF Rank: 70 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
AGF Rank: 71 D
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viborg FF Rank: 64 D
AGF Rank: 70 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 60 W
AGF Rank: 70 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 D
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 18 - 32
32
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nordsjælland
31.41%
Draw
25.1%
Away FC Midtjylland
43.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.88
79.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nordsjælland
FC Midtjylland
Power Score
66.88
79.48
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
272
64

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nordsjælland FC Midtjylland

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 68 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nordsjælland FCN Home
68 matches
FC Midtjylland FCM Away
Match Record
18
Wins
32
18
Draws
18
32
Losses
18
Goals
84
Goals Scored
126
126
Goals Conceded
84
-42
Goal Difference
+42
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:06:37+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
E. Olafsson
16 E. Olafsson
O. Diao
4 O. Diao
H. Lee
3 H. Lee
M. Bech Sørensen
22 M. Bech Sørensen
V. Jensen
55 V. Jensen
P. Bravo Landazuri
19 P. Bravo Landazuri
P. Billing
8 P. Billing
K. Mbabu
43 K. Mbabu
D. Castillo
21 D. Castillo
J. dos Santos Júnior
74 J. dos Santos Júnior
D. Simsir
58 D. Simsir

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 9 · Championship Round
Stadium
Right to Dream Park
Capacity
9200
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Esad Deronjic
Andreas Bøgebjerg
Svend Funder
Jacob Karlsen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.08
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
6.69
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
6.77
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Centre Forward
6.89
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel Attacker
6.69
37
Mamadou Sadio
Mamadou Sadio Attacker
6.85
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Right Back
7.01
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist Centre Back
6.79
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink Central Midfield
6.74
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen Central Midfield
6.99
36
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Left Back
7.11
Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

16
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
7.02
43
Kevin Mbabu
Kevin Mbabu Midfielder
6.61
55
Victor Bak
Victor Bak Midfielder
6.79
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Attacker
6.95
74
Júnior Brumado
Júnior Brumado Centre Forward
6.93
58
Aral Şimşir
Aral Şimşir Attacker
7.38
4
Ousmane Diao
Ousmane Diao Left Back
6.97
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Central Midfield
7.19
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Central Midfield
6.74
3
Han-beom Lee
Han-beom Lee Centre Back
6.83
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Right Back
6.97

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward FC Midtjylland holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give FC Midtjylland a 12.6-point edge. External projection is Nordsjælland 31.6%, draw 25.2%, and FC Midtjylland 43.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.