Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Pärnu Rannastaadion Today - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Nõmme Kalju KAL
Shelbourne SHE
KICKOFF : Today - 4:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 5

CONTEXT

Nõmme Kalju welcome Shelbourne to Pärnu Rannastaadion for the second leg of their Europa Conference League second qualifying round tie. The Estonian hosts trail 2-5 on aggregate after a 5-2 defeat in the opening fixture seven days earlier. Shelbourne carry a clear 19.6-point power advantage into the return match and have posted the higher form score of 50 against 22.22. Both sides operate without recent domestic league positioning data because the tie sits outside their regular competitions. Set-piece metrics rely on proxy estimates that carry low confidence ratings for attack and defence. Nõmme Kalju must produce an improved performance across open play and structured phases to overturn the deficit. Shelbourne arrive as the stronger unit and will look to manage the game while protecting their aggregate lead.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Shelbourne holds a 19.6-point power advantage over Nõmme Kalju.
  • Form: Shelbourne posts a form score of 50 while Nõmme Kalju sits at 22.22.
  • Squad: Detailed squad composition data is unavailable for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency figures are not supplied for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics remain absent from the provided analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece evaluations use proxies and carry low confidence for both teams.
  • xVariable: Shelbourne is identified as the stronger side by the xVariable assessment.
  • Market: Projection split: Nõmme Kalju 30.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Shelbourne 43.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Nõmme Kalju N. Andreev
N. Andreev
VS
Shelbourne J. Russell
J. Russell
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shelbourne Rank: L
Linfield Rank: 47 D
Linfield Rank: 48 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nõmme Kalju Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nõmme Kalju
30.88%
Draw
25.59%
Away Shelbourne
43.52%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.78
47.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nõmme Kalju
Shelbourne
Power Score
27.78
47.41
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nõmme Kalju — Opponent-weighted form score
Shelbourne — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nõmme Kalju Shelbourne

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nõmme Kalju KAL Home
1 matches
Shelbourne SHE Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-28T00:06:26+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 5
Stadium
Pärnu Rannastaadion
Capacity
1500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jóhan Hendrik Ellefsen
Dan Højgaard
Jørleif Djurhuus
Høgni Madsen

Squad

Referee : Jóhan Hendrik Ellefsen

Squad ▼

1
Henri Perk
Henri Perk Goalkeeper
69
Maksim Pavlov
Maksim Pavlov Goalkeeper
96
Joonas Kindel
Joonas Kindel Goalkeeper
50
Maksim Podholjuzin
Maksim Podholjuzin Defender
5
Uku Kõrre
Uku Kõrre Defender
88
Daniil Sõtšugov
Daniil Sõtšugov Defender
78
Danyl Mashchenko
Danyl Mashchenko Defender
22
Aleksandr Nikolajev
Aleksandr Nikolajev Defender
4
Alex Boronilštšikov
Alex Boronilštšikov Defender
20
Moudou Tambedou
Moudou Tambedou Defender
14
Jens Kaspar Pihkva
Jens Kaspar Pihkva Defender
46
Roko Vukušić
Roko Vukušić Defender
74
Fjodor Jekimov
Fjodor Jekimov Defender
2
Johannes Lillemets
Johannes Lillemets Defender
59
Bogdan Vaštšuk
Bogdan Vaštšuk Midfielder
6
Kristjan Kask
Kristjan Kask Midfielder
24
Aleksander Iljin
Aleksander Iljin Midfielder
10
Nikita Ivanov
Nikita Ivanov Midfielder
26
Rommi Siht
Rommi Siht Midfielder
8
Oleksandr Musolitin
Oleksandr Musolitin Midfielder
21
Tiago Azevedo Baptista
Tiago Azevedo Baptista Midfielder
27
Mattias Männilaan
Mattias Männilaan Attacker
11
Mihhail Orlov
Mihhail Orlov Attacker
7
Daniil Tarassenkov
Daniil Tarassenkov Attacker
52
Idalécio Bedamone Monteiro Dias
Idalécio Bedamone Monteiro Dias Attacker
9
Godwin Chinemeren
Godwin Chinemeren Attacker
17
Enrique Esono Lottar Eyang
Enrique Esono Lottar Eyang Attacker
30
Ibrahim Jabir
Ibrahim Jabir Attacker
Referee : Jóhan Hendrik Ellefsen

Squad ▼

—
Eddie Beach
Eddie Beach Goalkeeper
1
Wessel Speel
Wessel Speel Goalkeeper
31
Conor Walsh
Conor Walsh Goalkeeper
—
Murray Johnson
Murray Johnson Goalkeeper
50
Ali Topcu
Ali Topcu Goalkeeper
—
Cillian Campion-Wigglesworth
Cillian Campion-Wigglesworth Goalkeeper
—
Finn Moylan
Finn Moylan Goalkeeper
2
Sean Gannon
Sean Gannon Defender
29
Patrick Barrett
Patrick Barrett Defender
15
Sam Bone
Sam Bone Defender
4
Kameron Malcolm Ledwidge
Kameron Malcolm Ledwidge Defender
16
Odhran Casey
Odhran Casey Defender
18
James Norris
James Norris Defender
25
Milan Bernhard Mbeng
Milan Bernhard Mbeng Defender
55
James Roche
James Roche Defender
6
Jonathan Lunney
Jonathan Lunney Midfielder
14
Alistair Coote
Alistair Coote Midfielder
23
Kerr Mcinroy
Kerr Mcinroy Midfielder
27
Evan Caffrey
Evan Caffrey Midfielder
21
Jack Henry-Francis
Jack Henry-Francis Midfielder
52
Alex Flynn
Alex Flynn Midfielder
60
Cillian Ryan
Cillian Ryan Midfielder
9
Sean Boyd
Sean Boyd Attacker
10
John Martin
John Martin Attacker
17
Daniel Kelly
Daniel Kelly Attacker
11
Ademipo Odubeko
Ademipo Odubeko Attacker
36
William Jarvis
William Jarvis Attacker
22
Sean Moore
Sean Moore Attacker
20
Rodrigo Costa Freitas
Rodrigo Costa Freitas Attacker
44
Daniel Ring
Daniel Ring Attacker
56
Joey Ikala Wuna
Joey Ikala Wuna Attacker

CONCLUSION

Shelbourne hold the commanding position after the first leg and will aim to control proceedings at Pärnu Rannastaadion. Nõmme Kalju need to generate early momentum and create clear openings if they are to reduce the three-goal deficit. The visitors possess greater overall power and a stronger recent form profile, which should help them dictate tempo. Both teams lack detailed efficiency and transition statistics, leaving open-play patterns difficult to forecast precisely. Set-piece contributions are expected to remain modest given the low-confidence proxy data. Shelbourne can advance by maintaining defensive shape and exploiting any spaces left by an attacking home side. Nõmme Kalju face a steep challenge but may benefit from home support in their efforts to force a turnaround.