Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Termaliki Bruk-Bet Nieciecza Sun, 10 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
NiecieczaNieciecza
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 3:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Nieciecza sit rock-bottom in 18th place in the Ekstraklasa table, hosting mid-table Legia Warszawa, who occupy 11th, at Stadion Termaliki Bruk-Bet Nieciecza in the 2025/2026 regular season. Legia arrive as clear favorites, boasting a substantial 17.8-point power advantage with a score of 65.17 compared to Nieciecza's 47.36. Both sides enter the fray with neutral form ratings of zero and no recent outings specified, leaving recent momentum unclear. Nieciecza's home venue offers a chance for an upset, but Legia's superior overall strength suggests they will control proceedings. The hosts desperately need points to climb from the relegation zone, while Legia aim to solidify their position in the upper half. With limited advanced metrics available, this clash hinges on basic execution and tactical discipline. Expect Legia to dominate possession and chances, testing Nieciecza's resolve early.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Legia Warszawa holds a 17.8-point power advantage over Nieciecza with scores of 65.17 to 47.36.
  • Form: Both teams register form scores of 0 with no last outings detailed.
  • Squad: No specific squad information provided for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data not available for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG data absent for both Nieciecza and Legia Warszawa.
  • Market: Projection split: Nieciecza 20.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+0%) | Legia Warszawa 55.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Nieciecza M. Brosz
M. Brosz
VS
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
0.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: 65 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 70 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 68 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 63 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nieciecza
20.22%
Draw
23.88%
Away Legia Warszawa
55.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.36
65.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
Power Score
47.36
65.17
League Position
18
11
Global Rank
740
326

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nieciecza — Opponent-weighted form score
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nieciecza Legia Warszawa

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
A. Chovan
1 A. Chovan
G. Isik
29 G. Isik
L. Masoero Masi
5 L. Masoero Masi
A. Kasperkiewicz
3 A. Kasperkiewicz
D. Hilbrycht
21 D. Hilbrycht
M. Ambrosiewicz
28 M. Ambrosiewicz
I. Strzałek
86 I. Strzałek
R. Boboc
27 R. Boboc
M. Faßbender
7 M. Faßbender
J. Jiménez Núñez
9 J. Jiménez Núñez
K. Zapolnik
25 K. Zapolnik

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Termaliki Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Capacity
4595
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marek Arys
Marcin Janawa
Maciej Kuropatwa
Karol Arys

Expected Lineup

Referee : Karol Arys

Starting XI ▼

1
Adrian Chovan
Adrian Chovan Goalkeeper
6.93
27
Radu Boboc
Radu Boboc Midfielder
6.67
7
Morgan Faßbender
Morgan Faßbender Midfielder
6.59
9
Jesús Jiménez
Jesús Jiménez Midfielder
6.71
21
Damian Hilbrycht
Damian Hilbrycht Midfielder
6.85
25
Kamil Zapolnik
Kamil Zapolnik Centre Forward
6.87
29
Gabriel Isik
Gabriel Isik Right Back
6.7
86
Igor Strzalek
Igor Strzalek Central Midfield
6.65
3
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz Left Back
6.78
5
Lucas Masoero
Lucas Masoero Centre Back
6.48
28
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
Maciej Ambrosiewicz Central Midfield
6.81
Referee : Karol Arys

Starting XI ▼

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
6.7
23
Patryk Kun
Patryk Kun Midfielder
6.69
19
Rúben Vinagre
Rúben Vinagre Midfielder
6.88
18
Jean-Pierre Nsame
Jean-Pierre Nsame Attacker
6.86
29
Mileta Rajović
Mileta Rajović Attacker
6.82
12
Radovan Pankov
Radovan Pankov Left Back
6.9
22
Juergen Elitim
Juergen Elitim Central Midfield
7.14
44
Damian Szymanski
Damian Szymanski Central Midfield
6.86
8
Rafal Augustyniak
Rafal Augustyniak Centre Back
6.68
67
Bartosz Kapustka
Bartosz Kapustka Central Midfield
6.98
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Right Back
6.85

CONCLUSION

Legia Warszawa's power edge and higher league standing position them to secure a comfortable victory against struggling Nieciecza. The hosts face an uphill battle at home, lacking form data or advanced stats to inspire confidence. Legia's structural superiority should translate into control and goals, while Nieciecza must rely on defensive grit and counter-attacks. Without set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on Legia's ability to exploit their 17.8-point advantage. This matchup underscores Legia's mid-table aspirations against Nieciecza's relegation fight, likely ending in away dominance.