New Zealand vs Egypt preview
World Cup
Egypt
EGY
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
New Zealand hosted Egypt in a match that finished 1-3 to the visitors after a 1-0 halftime lead for the home side. Egypt controlled 56 percent possession against New Zealand's 44 percent and created superior chances throughout the contest. Expected goals stood at 0.91 for New Zealand and 1.95 for Egypt, producing a differential of minus 1.04 that aligned with the final outcome. The stronger team prevailed after overturning the early deficit with three second-half goals. A significant deviation of 42.3 percent was recorded for Egypt relative to initial projections. No red cards occurred and the result remained consistent with underlying performance metrics. The match illustrated clear second-half adjustments by the away side that shifted momentum decisively.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: New Zealand 1-3 Egypt. Egypt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both teams.
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xG alignment: The outcome proved consistent with the xG differential of minus 1.04.
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Market alignment: The final result aligned with market projections for the stronger side.
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xG expectations: Egypt surpassed xG expectations while New Zealand fell short at 0.91.
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Event impact: Egypt's three second-half goals produced the decisive event impact on the scoreline.
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Red card distortion: Absence of red cards created no distortion to overall match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
New Zealand
Egypt
Movement
Changes since opening
New Zealand
Egypt
Team Power Ranking
i
16.67
20
New Zealand
Egypt
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
New Zealand
Egypt
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
New Zealand
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
New Zealand
New Zealand
Egypt
New Zealand
Egypt
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
New Zealand
New Zealand
Egypt
New Zealand
Egypt
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- EGY had peak pressure around 64'.
- NZL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-23T00:00:19+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
New Zealand
vs
Belgium
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 3:00 AM
Venue: Vancouver Stadium
Egypt
vs
Iran
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 3:00 AM
Venue: Seattle Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary