New Zealand vs Belgium preview

2026 World Cup, World
Vancouver Stadium Today - 3:00 AM
World Cup
New Zealand NZL
Belgium BEL
KICKOFF : Today - 3:00 AM
Round 3 Group Stage

CONTEXT

New Zealand prepare to face Belgium in a World Cup group stage encounter at Vancouver Stadium during the 2026 season. Belgium arrive with a clear power advantage of 13 points and hold the stronger overall rating at 25.18 against New Zealand's 12.22. The visitors also lead in recent form metrics with a score of 16.67 compared to the hosts' 5.5. League positions show New Zealand in fourth place and Belgium third among domestic rankings. Set piece evaluations depend on proxy information given the absence of detailed xG figures. Both sides will look to exploit transitions and efficiency areas where data remains limited. This fixture highlights contrasting squad strengths and structural profiles ahead of the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Belgium hold a 13-point power advantage and are designated the stronger team with a rating of 25.18 to New Zealand's 12.22.
  • Form: Belgium lead in form with a score of 16.67 while New Zealand register 5.5 ahead of the group stage match.
  • Squad: New Zealand occupy fourth position and Belgium sit third according to domestic league standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided for either side entering the match.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis uses proxy data with low confidence as xG details remain unavailable.
  • xVariable: Belgium are the stronger side by power metrics in this World Cup group stage meeting.
  • Market: New Zealand 7.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 13% (Δ+0%) | Belgium 79.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
New Zealand D. Bazeley
D. Bazeley
VS
Belgium R. Garcia
R. Garcia
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Egypt Rank: L
Iran Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Iran Rank: D
Egypt Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home New Zealand
7.2%
Draw
12.95%
Away Belgium
79.85%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
12.22
25.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
New Zealand
Belgium
Power Score
12.22
25.18
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
85
9

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
New Zealand Opponent-weighted form score
Belgium Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) New Zealand Belgium

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

New Zealand NZL Home
0 matches
Belgium BEL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-26T00:01:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Crocombe
New Zealand
1 M. Crocombe
T. Payne
New Zealand
2 T. Payne
F. Surman
New Zealand
16 F. Surman
M. Boxall
New Zealand
5 M. Boxall
L. Cacace
New Zealand
13 L. Cacace
J. Bell
New Zealand
6 J. Bell
M. Stamenic
New Zealand
8 M. Stamenic
C. McCowatt
New Zealand
20 C. McCowatt
S. Singh
New Zealand
10 S. Singh
E. Just
New Zealand
11 E. Just
C. Wood
New Zealand
9 C. Wood
T. Courtois
Belgium
1 T. Courtois
M. De Cuyper
Belgium
5 M. De Cuyper
B. Mechele
Belgium
4 B. Mechele
K. De Winter
Belgium
16 K. De Winter
T. Meunier
Belgium
15 T. Meunier
Y. Tielemans
Belgium
8 Y. Tielemans
N. Raskin
Belgium
23 N. Raskin
L. Trossard
Belgium
10 L. Trossard
K. De Bruyne
Belgium
7 K. De Bruyne
A. Saelemaekers
Belgium
22 A. Saelemaekers
R. Lukaku Menama
Belgium
9 R. Lukaku Menama

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 27, 2026, 03:00 AM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium
Vancouver Stadium
Capacity
54500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adham Mohammad Tumah Makhadmeh
Mohammad Mustafa Hassan Al Kalaf
Ahmad Moannes Nadi Al Roalle
Kevin Ortega

Lineup

Referee : Adham Mohammad Tumah Makhadmeh

Starting XI

1
Max Crocombe
Max Crocombe Goalkeeper
6.45
2
Tim Payne
Tim Payne Defender
6.59
5
Michael Boxall
Michael Boxall Defender
6.39
13
Liberato Cacace
Liberato Cacace Defender
6.58
16
Finn Surman
Finn Surman Defender
7.44
6
Joe Bell
Joe Bell Midfielder
6.78
8
Marko Stamenić
Marko Stamenić Midfielder
6.88
10
Sarpreet Singh
Sarpreet Singh Midfielder
6.48
9
Chris Wood
Chris Wood Attacker
7.2
11
Elijah Just
Elijah Just Attacker
7.4
20
Callum McCowatt
Callum McCowatt Attacker
6.71
Referee : Adham Mohammad Tumah Makhadmeh

Starting XI

1
Thibaut Courtois
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper
6.92
4
Brandon Mechele
Brandon Mechele Defender
7.25
5
Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper Defender
7.17
15
Thomas Meunier
Thomas Meunier Defender
6.69
16
Koni De Winter
Koni De Winter Defender
6.93
7
Kevin De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne Midfielder
7.35
8
Youri Tielemans
Youri Tielemans Midfielder
7.67
23
Nicolas Raskin
Nicolas Raskin Midfielder
6.83
9
Romelu Lukaku
Romelu Lukaku Attacker
6.23
10
Leandro Trossard
Leandro Trossard Attacker
7.28
22
Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers Attacker
6.52

CONCLUSION

Belgium are expected to control proceedings given their superior power rating and form edge over New Zealand. The visitors will aim to capitalise on structural strengths while the hosts seek to remain compact and limit opportunities. Squad depth and league positioning suggest Belgium hold the initiative in most phases. Areas such as efficiency and transitions lack detailed insight yet could influence outcomes if patterns emerge during play. Set piece situations warrant attention despite reliance on proxy assessments. Overall the contest presents a test of organisation against technical quality at Vancouver Stadium. Both teams enter with distinct profiles that promise a competitive group stage opener.