New York RB vs Chicago Fire preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Major League Soccer
New York RBNYR
1 – 1
Chicago FireCHI
Full Time
Regular Season
Cameron Harper - 85'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. New York RB 1–1 Chicago Fire. The match ended in a draw. Chicago Fire showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished New York RB 0.7 – 1 Chicago Fire. Possession was 48%–52%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: New York RB 1-1 Chicago Fire. Chicago Fire showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Demianchuk
S. Demianchuk
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
New York RB M. Bradley
M. Bradley
VS
Chicago Fire G. Berhalter
G. Berhalter
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.84
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nashville SC Rank: 72 L
Atlanta United Rank: 54 L
Orlando City Rank: 69 W
Charlotte Rank: 65 L
Philadelphia Union Rank: 65 L
Sporting KC Rank: 51 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Orlando City Rank: 65 W
Portland Timbers Rank: 63 W
Charlotte Rank: 67 W
New York City Rank: 66 L
Inter Miami Rank: 75 L
Toronto Rank: 59 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.06
66.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
New York RB
Chicago Fire
Power Score
59.06
66.56
League Position
8
3
Global Rank
577
342

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
New York RB — Opponent-weighted form score
Chicago Fire — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) New York RB Chicago Fire

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

New York RB

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Chicago Fire

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

New York RB ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Chicago Fire
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
6.74
15.19
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.19
6.74
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
New York RB -0.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Chicago Fire +0.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
New York RB
Chicago Fire
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

New York RB
vs
Chicago Fire
Created Set-piece attacking threat
New York RB Chicago Fire
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
14%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.10 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
New York RB Chicago Fire
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
14%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.10
New York RB
Chicago Fire
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
New York RB
vs
Chicago Fire
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
New York RB Chicago Fire
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
New York RB 0.09
Chicago Fire 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
New York RB Chicago Fire
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
New York RB 0.04
Chicago Fire 0.00
New York RB
Chicago Fire
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NYR had peak pressure around 97'.
  • CHI started the game with stronger pressure.
NYR Pressure CHI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NYR reached the top pressure at 97' (79.28).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

New York RB NYR Home
5 matches
Chicago Fire CHI Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
6
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T00:55:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Horvath
United States
34 E. Horvath
D. Nealis
Substitution
United States
12 D. Nealis
J. Che
United States
2 J. Che
J. Bazán Medina
Colombia
14 J. Bazán Medina
M. Dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
56 M. Dos Santos
R. Donkor
Mali
48 R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
Albania
15 A. Mehmeti
E. Forsberg
Substitution
Sweden
10 (C) E. Forsberg
C. Cowell
Substitution
United States
7 C. Cowell
M. Jiménez Murillo
Substitution
91 M. Jiménez Murillo
J. Hall
Substitution
United States
16 J. Hall

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sergii Demianchuk

Statistics

Possession
NYR
50%
CHI
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 3
58 Dangerous attacks 38
48 Possession 52
3 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 5
9 Substitutions 6
14 Throwins 20
1 Successful Headers 1
18 Dribble Attempts 9
9 Successful Dribbles 2
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 22

Attacking

109 Attacks 71
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

16 Long Passes 39
500 Passes 535
443 Successful Passes 477
89 Successful Passes Percentage 89
7 Key Passes 10
10 Successful Long Passes 26
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 67

Defensive

4 Saves 5
21 Tackles 18
13 Interceptions 14
44 Duels Won 32

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 11
3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Sergii Demianchuk

Starting XI ▼

34
Ethan Horvath
Ethan Horvath Goalkeeper
6.56
2
Justin Che
Justin Che Defender
6.63
12
Dylan Nealis
Dylan Nealis Defender
6.79
5
Omar Valencia
Omar Valencia
Defender56'
14
Julián Bazán
Julián Bazán Defender
6.71
56
Matthew Dos Santos
Matthew Dos Santos Defender
6.48
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
Defender46'
10
Emil Forsberg
Emil Forsberg (C) Midfielder
6.4
13
Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting
Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting
Attacker57'
15
Adri Mehmeti
Adri Mehmeti Midfielder
6.6
48
Ronald Donkor
Ronald Donkor Midfielder
6.68
7
Cade Cowell
Cade Cowell Attacker
6.6
37
Mohammed Sofo
Mohammed Sofo
Attacker46'
16
Julian Hall
Julian Hall Attacker
6.61
17
Cameron Harper
Cameron Harper
Attacker85'
91
Mijahir Jiménez
Mijahir Jiménez Attacker
6.56
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba
Jorge Ruvalcaba
Attacker46'
Referee : Sergii Demianchuk

Starting XI ▼

1
Chris Brady
Chris Brady Goalkeeper
6.87
2
Leonardo Barroso
Leonardo Barroso Defender
6.62
5
Sam Rogers
Sam Rogers Defender
6.81
14
Viktor Radojević
Viktor Radojević Defender
7.19
24
Jonathan Dean
Jonathan Dean
Defender77'
16
Joel Waterman
Joel Waterman Defender
6.71
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
Maren Haile-Selassie Midfielder
7.79
22
Mauricio Pineda
Mauricio Pineda Midfielder
6.76
42
Djé D'Avilla
Djé D'Avilla
Midfielder86'
47
Sam Williams
Sam Williams Midfielder
6.62
6
Anton Salétros
Anton Salétros
Midfielder65'
11
Philip Zinckernagel
Philip Zinckernagel (C) Attacker
6.73
9
Robert Lewandowski
Robert Lewandowski
Attacker65'
17
Robin Lod
Robin Lod Attacker
6.86
3
Jack Elliott
Jack Elliott
Defender87'
19
Jonathan Bamba
Jonathan Bamba Attacker
6.64
12
Puso Dithejane
Puso Dithejane
Attacker87'

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Puso Dithejane → Jonathan Bamba
11th Substitution
87'
Event
Jack Elliott  → Robin Lod
12th Substitution
86'
Event
Djé D'Avilla → Mauricio Pineda
10th Substitution
Event
Cameron Harper
Header / 2nd Goal
85'
Event
Cameron Harper → Julian Hall
9th Substitution
85'
77'
Event
Jonathan Dean → Viktor Radojević
8th Substitution
Event
Mohammed Sofo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
66'
65'
Event
Robert Lewandowski → Philip Zinckernagel
6th Substitution
65'
Event
Anton Salétros → Sam Williams
7th Substitution
64'
Event
Joel Waterman
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting  → Emil Forsberg 
5th Substitution
57'
Event
Omar Valencia → Dylan Nealis
4th Substitution
56'
Event
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty → Matthew Dos Santos
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Jorge Ruvalcaba → Mijahir Jiménez
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Mohammed Sofo → Cade Cowell
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Maren Haile-Selassie
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
17'
Event
Leonardo Barroso
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Sofo with his left foot is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Sofo with his right foot is saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Adri Mehmeti takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Cameron Harper Head Shot Goal
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Cameron Harper scores, bringing the score to 1-1.
85
Update Update
Cameron Harper is on, and Julian Hall is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
77
Attempt Attempt
Maren Haile-Selassie takes a right-footed shot but misses.
77
Substitution Substitution
Jonathan Dean is substituted for Viktor Radojevic.
73
Attempt Attempt
Omar Valencia takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Bamba takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Update Update
Offside.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Mohammed Sofo.
65
Update Update
Robert Lewandowski comes on for Philip Zinckernagel.
65
Substitution Substitution
Anton Saletros is substituted for Samuel Williams.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Attempt Attempt
Adri Mehmeti attempts a header but misses the shot.
57
Update Update
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting comes on for Emil Forsberg.
56
Update Update
Omar Valencia comes on for Dylan Nealis.
56
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Ruvalcaba takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Bamba's left-footed shot is saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Philip Zinckernagel takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
50
Update Update
Offside.
47
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty comes on for Matthew Dos Santos.
46
Update Update
On Jorge Ruvalcaba, off Mijahir Jiménez.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mohammed Sofo replaces Cade Cowell.
42
Attempt Attempt
Ronald Donkor takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Maren Haile-Selassie scores with a right-footed shot.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
38
Attempt Attempt
Julian Hall takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Update Update
Mauricio Pineda's header is blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Robin Lod takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
28
Update Update
Offside.
21
Attempt Attempt
Maren Haile-Selassie takes a shot with her head, but it's saved.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leonardo Barroso.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Bamba takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Bamba's right-footed shot is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Williams takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is S. Demianchuk.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: New York RB 1-1 Chicago Fire. Structural assessment: Chicago Fire exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.