New York RB vs Charlotte preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Sports Illustrated Stadium Sat, 25 Jul - 10:30 PM
Major League Soccer
New York RBNYR
0 2
CharlotteCHL
Full Time Sat, 25 Jul 10:30 PM
Regular Season
|
Goal
Pep Biel - 7'
Adri Mehmeti 90+3' Second yellow card
|

CONTEXT

New York RB hosted Charlotte in a match that concluded with a final score of 0-2. The visitors took a commanding lead by halftime, already ahead 0-2 at the break. Despite New York RB controlling 65 percent of possession and generating an xG of 2.67 against Charlotte's 0.62, the home side failed to find the net. A red card issued to New York RB further complicated their efforts on the pitch. Charlotte, identified as the stronger team beforehand, capitalized on the numerical advantage to secure the win. The outcome highlighted a notable mismatch between expected metrics and actual results, with the away side prevailing through clinical finishing and defensive resilience despite lower overall chance creation.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: New York RB 0-2 Charlotte. Charlotte showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was inconsistent with xG as New York RB held higher expected goals.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with pre-match expectations for the winner.
  • xG expectations: New York RB posted 2.67 xG compared to Charlotte's 0.62 xG.
  • Event impact: The red card to New York RB altered the match dynamics after halftime.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion shaped second half adjustments for both teams.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Mendoza
R. Mendoza
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Wattam
C. Wattam
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Nickerson
M. Nickerson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Carvajal
E. Carvajal
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
New York RB M. Bradley
M. Bradley
VS
Charlotte D. Smith
D. Smith
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Philadelphia Union Rank: 61 L
Sporting KC Rank: 52 W
New York City Rank: 67 D
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 W
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 W
Dallas Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlanta United Rank: 55 D
New England Rank: 60 W
Toronto Rank: 58 W
New York City Rank: 67 L
Cincinnati Rank: 68 D
New England Rank: 60 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.55
63.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
New York RB
Charlotte
Power Score
60.55
63.84
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
525
423

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
New York RB — Opponent-weighted form score
Charlotte — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) New York RB Charlotte

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

New York RB

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Charlotte

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

New York RB ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Charlotte
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.66
10.53
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.53
27.66
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
New York RB +1.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Charlotte -1.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
New York RB
Charlotte
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

New York RB
vs
Charlotte
Created Set-piece attacking threat
New York RB Charlotte
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
9%
56%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.23 vs -0.35
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
New York RB Charlotte
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
56%
9%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.35 vs -0.23
New York RB
Charlotte
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
New York RB
vs
Charlotte
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
New York RB Charlotte
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
New York RB 0.35
Charlotte 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
New York RB Charlotte
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
New York RB 0.10
Charlotte 0.00
New York RB
Charlotte
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NYR had peak pressure around 39'.
  • CHL started the game with stronger pressure.
NYR Pressure CHL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NYR reached the top pressure at 39' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

New York RB NYR Home
5 matches
Charlotte CHL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:04:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Horvath
United States
34 E. Horvath
D. Nealis
Substitution
United States
12 D. Nealis
J. Che
United States
2 J. Che
J. Bazán Medina
Colombia
14 J. Bazán Medina
M. Dos Santos
Substitution
56 M. Dos Santos
R. Donkor
Mali
48 R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
15 A. Mehmeti
E. Forsberg
Substitution
Sweden
10 (C) E. Forsberg
C. Cowell
Substitution
United States
7 C. Cowell
J. Hall
United States
16 J. Hall
J. Ruvalcaba
Substitution
Mexico
11 J. Ruvalcaba

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 10:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rosendo Mendoza
Chris Wattam
Michael Nickerson
Edson Carvajal

Statistics

Possession
NYR
62%
CHL
38%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 1
11 Shots 1
79 Dangerous attacks 27
65 Possession 35
6 Corners 1
5 Free kicks 14
5 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

60 Ball Safe 71
1 Goal Kicks 16
11 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 17
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Successful Headers 9
0 Assists 2
1 Injuries 1
14 Dribble Attempts 22
7 Successful Dribbles 7
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 32

Attacking

144 Attacks 52
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

39 Long Passes 67
644 Passes 351
575 Successful Passes 271
89 Successful Passes Percentage 77
17 Key Passes 3
21 Successful Long Passes 31
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

1 Saves 6
18 Tackles 15
11 Interceptions 11
37 Duels Won 50

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 5
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Rosendo Mendoza

Starting XI ▼

34
Ethan Horvath
Ethan Horvath Goalkeeper
6.16
2
Justin Che
Justin Che Defender
6.53
12
Dylan Nealis
Dylan Nealis Defender
5.99
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
Defender70'
14
Julián Bazán
Julián Bazán Defender
6.26
56
Matthew Dos Santos
Matthew Dos Santos Defender
7.13
5
Omar Valencia
Omar Valencia
Defender84'
10
Emil Forsberg
Emil Forsberg (C) Midfielder
6.55
91
Mijahir Jiménez
Mijahir Jiménez
Attacker70'
15
Adri Mehmeti
Adri Mehmeti Midfielder
6.97
48
Ronald Donkor
Ronald Donkor Midfielder
7.06
7
Cade Cowell
Cade Cowell Attacker
6.41
37
Mohammed Sofo
Mohammed Sofo
Attacker70'
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba
Jorge Ruvalcaba Attacker
7.13
70
Andy Rojas
Andy Rojas
Attacker84'
16
Julian Hall
Julian Hall Attacker
6.27
Referee : Rosendo Mendoza

Starting XI ▼

1
Kristijan Kahlina
Kristijan Kahlina Goalkeeper
7.56
14
Nathan Byrne
Nathan Byrne Defender
6.64
15
Harry Toffolo
Harry Toffolo Defender
6.99
35
Will Cleary
Will Cleary
Defender61'
22
Henry Kessler
Henry Kessler Defender
7.07
44
Agyemang Morrison
Agyemang Morrison Defender
6.98
8
Ashley Westwood
Ashley Westwood (C) Midfielder
7.43
11
Liel Abada
Liel Abada Midfielder
6.69
25
Tyger Smalls
Tyger Smalls
Attacker71'
16
Pep Biel
Pep Biel Midfielder
7.3
13
Brandt Bronico
Brandt Bronico
Midfielder82'
17
Luca de la Torre
Luca de la Torre Midfielder
6.88
28
Djibril Diani
Djibril Diani
Midfielder71'
18
Kerwin Vargas
Kerwin Vargas Midfielder
7.03
9
Idan Toklomati
Idan Toklomati Attacker
6.35
7
Archie Goodwin
Archie Goodwin
Attacker82'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Adri Mehmeti
Argument / 1st Yellow/red Card
90+3'
Event
Justin Che
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Omar Valencia
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Andy Rojas → Jorge Ruvalcaba
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Omar Valencia → Matthew Dos Santos
10th Substitution
84'
82'
Event
Brandt Bronico → Pep Biel
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Archie Goodwin → Idan Toklomati
8th Substitution
Event
Adri Mehmeti
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
71'
Event
Djibril Diani → Luca de la Torre
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Tyger Smalls → Liel Abada
6th Substitution
Event
Mijahir Jiménez → Emil Forsberg 
2nd Substitution
70'
Event
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty → Dylan Nealis
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Mohammed Sofo  → Cade Cowell
4th Substitution
70'
61'
Event
Will Cleary → Harry Toffolo
1st Substitution
Event
Jorge Ruvalcaba
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
56'
47'
Event
Liel Abada
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
12'
Event
Ashley Westwood
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
7'
Event
Pep Biel
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Morrison Agyemang Head Shot Missed
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second Yellow Card - Adri Mehmeti
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Red Card
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Justin Che
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Andy Emanuel Rojas Maroto Right Footed Shot Blocked
90
Corner Corner
Corner
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mohammed Sofo Right Footed Shot Missed
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Omar Valencia
84
Update Update
On Andy Emanuel Rojas Maroto，Off Jorge Ruvalcaba
84
Update Update
On Omar Valencia，Off Matthew Dos Santos
83
Update Update
On Omar Valencia，Off Matthew Dos Santos
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jorge Ruvalcaba Right Footed Shot Blocked
82
Update Update
On Brandt Bronico，Off Pep Biel Mas Jaume
82
Update Update
On Archie Goodwin，Off Idan Toklomati
81
Update Update
Offside
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Adri Mehmeti
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mohammed Sofo Left Footed Shot Blocked
72
Update Update
On Tyger Smalls，Off Liel Abada
71
Update Update
On Tyger Smalls，Off Liel Abada
71
Update Update
On Djibril Diani，Off Luca De La Torre
71
Update Update
On Jimenez，Off Emil Forsberg
70
Update Update
On Jahkeele Marshall Rutty，Off Dylan Nealis
66
Update Update
On Mohammed Sofo，Off Cade Cowell
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Emil Forsberg Right Footed Shot Saved
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Emil Forsberg Right Footed Shot Saved
64
Corner Corner
Corner
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Emil Forsberg Left Footed Shot Saved
62
Update Update
On Will Cleary，Off Harry Toffolo
59
Update Update
On Will Cleary，Off Harry Toffolo
58
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Idan Toklomati Right Footed Shot Saved
58
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Idan Toklomati Head Shot Missed
57
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jorge Ruvalcaba Right Footed Shot Missed
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jorge Ruvalcaba Right Footed Shot Blocked
49
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Julian Hall Head Shot Missed
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Liel Abada
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cade Cowell Right Footed Shot Saved
43
Corner Corner
Corner
42
Corner Corner
Corner
37
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Julian Hall Right Footed Shot Missed
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jorge Ruvalcaba Left Footed Shot Saved
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cade Cowell Left Footed Shot Saved
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Emil Forsberg Right Footed Shot Missed
32
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ronald Donkor Right Footed Shot Missed
31
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dylan Nealis Right Footed Shot Blocked
31
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adri Mehmeti Right Footed Shot Saved
31
Corner Corner
Corner
30
Corner Corner
Corner
28
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Emil Forsberg Left Footed Shot Missed
24
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cade Cowell Right Footed Shot Blocked
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Ashley Westwood Right Footed Shot Goal
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-2
10
Corner Corner
Corner
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Pep Biel Mas Jaume Right Footed Shot Goal
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-1
6
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cade Cowell Head Shot Missed
6
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Rosendo Mendoza

CONCLUSION

Charlotte's victory over New York RB stood out due to the visitors overcoming a substantial xG deficit through efficient play and the benefit of a numerical advantage. New York RB dominated possession and created more opportunities yet could not convert them into goals, especially after the red card reduced their squad. The halftime score of 0-2 set the tone early, allowing Charlotte to manage the game effectively in the second period. This result underscored how key events can override statistical expectations in determining the final outcome. Charlotte demonstrated resilience and tactical discipline to claim the points on the road despite lower chance creation overall.