New England vs Houston Dynamo preview
2026 Major League Soccer, United States
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
New England hosted Houston Dynamo in a match that concluded with a 0-2 final score after trailing 0-1 at halftime. Houston Dynamo controlled the game effectively despite New England holding 48 percent possession compared to their 52 percent. The visitors generated an expected goals total of 1.11 while limiting the hosts to just 0.42. This performance aligned with the stronger team prevailing on the day. No red cards were issued to either side throughout the contest. The outcome reflected the underlying metrics without notable interruptions from disciplinary actions or other major events. Houston Dynamo secured the victory through consistent pressure and clinical finishing in both halves.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Houston Dynamo produced a significant deviation from pre-match expectations in securing the result.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall performance metrics for both teams.
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xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the xG figures of 0.42 for New England and 1.11 for Houston Dynamo.
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Market alignment: The result showed true alignment with the projected market direction for the stronger side.
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xG expectations: Houston Dynamo exceeded xG expectations by converting limited chances into two goals.
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Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond the halftime score of 0-1.
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Red card distortion: The absence of red cards meant zero distortion to the match dynamics or final 0-2 scoreline.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
61.32
66.16
New England
Houston Dynamo
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
New England
Houston Dynamo
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
New England
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
New England
New England
Houston Dynamo
New England
Houston Dynamo
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
New England
New England
Houston Dynamo
New England
Houston Dynamo
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HOU had peak pressure around 73'.
- NER started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:36:16+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
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Match Commentary