New England vs Atlanta United preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Boston Stadium Sat, 25 Jul - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
New EnglandNER
4 1
Atlanta UnitedATL
Full Time Sat, 25 Jul 11:30 PM
Regular Season
Carles Gil  - 11'
Dor Turgeman - 36'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

New England defeated Atlanta United 4-1 with a 2-0 halftime lead in a match defined by the home side's clinical finishing and overall control. Atlanta United held 53 percent possession but managed only 1.07 xG against New England's 2.12, producing a differential of 1.05 that aligned with the final result. The stronger team New England delivered a significant deviation from typical patterns, converting opportunities efficiently while the visitors struggled to create meaningful threats. No red cards occurred, allowing uninterrupted play that favored the home side's structured approach. The outcome remained consistent with xG expectations and showed clear market alignment for the pre-match favorite. Second-half adjustments further solidified New England's advantage as they added two more goals after the break.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: New England produced a significant structural deviation from expected patterns in their 4-1 win.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with projected performance metrics for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The 4-1 result aligned directly with home xG of 2.12 and away xG of 1.07.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment for the stronger team New England.
  • xG expectations: New England exceeded xG expectations with a 1.05 differential over Atlanta United.
  • Event impact: Key events including the 2-0 halftime lead shaped the decisive 4-1 final score.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards created no distortion to the match flow or result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Luce Lauziere
P. Luce Lauziere
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Graves
R. Graves
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Howard
J. Howard
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Calume
A. Calume
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
New England M. Mitrovic
M. Mitrovic
VS
Atlanta United G. Martino
G. Martino
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.75
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Toronto Rank: 57 D
Charlotte Rank: 64 L
Minnesota United Rank: 64 W
Nashville SC Rank: 72 L
Philadelphia Union Rank: 63 W
Charlotte Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Charlotte Rank: 64 D
Nashville SC Rank: 71 L
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 L
Orlando City Rank: 65 D
LA Galaxy Rank: 60 L
CF Montréal Rank: 57 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.33
55.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
New England
Atlanta United
Power Score
60.33
55.31
League Position
4
14
Global Rank
532
686

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
New England — Opponent-weighted form score
Atlanta United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) New England Atlanta United

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

New England

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Atlanta United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

New England ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Atlanta United
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
3.29
5.89
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
5.89
3.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
New England -0.18 Efficiency Index
vs
Atlanta United +0.18 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
New England
Atlanta United
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

New England
vs
Atlanta United
Created Set-piece attacking threat
New England Atlanta United
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
14%
2%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.30 vs -0.02
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
New England Atlanta United
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
2%
14%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.02 vs -0.30
New England
Atlanta United
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
New England
vs
Atlanta United
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
New England Atlanta United
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
New England 0.20
Atlanta United 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
New England Atlanta United
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
New England 0.00
Atlanta United 0.20
New England
Atlanta United
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NER had peak pressure around 61'.
  • ATL started the game with stronger pressure.
NER Pressure ATL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NER reached the top pressure at 61' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

New England NER Home
5 matches
Atlanta United ATL Away
Match Record
4
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
4
Goals
8
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
8
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:04:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Boston Stadium
Capacity
66829
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pierre Luce Lauziere
Ryan Graves
Justin Howard
Alejo Calume

Statistics

Possession
NER
47%
ATL
53%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 5
40 Dangerous attacks 53
47 Possession 53
4 Corners 6
16 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

32 Ball Safe 38
6 Goal Kicks 5
6 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 5
10 Throwins 11
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Successful Headers 2
1 Assists 0
2 Injuries 0
21 Dribble Attempts 7
11 Successful Dribbles 5
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 71

Attacking

91 Attacks 98
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

38 Long Passes 47
459 Passes 515
410 Successful Passes 461
89 Successful Passes Percentage 90
10 Key Passes 12
23 Successful Long Passes 34
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 72

Defensive

5 Saves 3
8 Tackles 18
6 Interceptions 9
40 Duels Won 35

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 19
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Pierre Luce Lauziere

Starting XI ▼

30
Matt Turner
Matt Turner Goalkeeper
6.8
2
Mamadou Fofana
Mamadou Fofana Defender
6.59
8
Matt Polster
Matt Polster Defender
6.74
15
Cody Baker
Cody Baker
Defender79'
22
Ethan Kohler
Ethan Kohler Defender
6.53
23
Will Sands
Will Sands Defender
6.43
10
Carles Gil
Carles Gil (C) Midfielder
7.43
21
Brooklyn Raines
Brooklyn Raines Midfielder
6.52
80
Alhassan Yusuf
Alhassan Yusuf Midfielder
6.65
14
Jackson Yueill
Jackson Yueill
Midfielder59'
11
Dor Turgeman
Dor Turgeman Attacker
6.44
27
Wilson Harris
Wilson Harris
Attacker68'
17
Marcos Zambrano
Marcos Zambrano Attacker
6.33
41
Luca Langoni
Luca Langoni
Attacker68'
25
Peyton Miller
Peyton Miller Attacker
6.55
7
Griffin Yow
Griffin Yow
Attacker68'
Referee : Pierre Luce Lauziere

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Hoyos
Lucas Hoyos Goalkeeper
6.26
3
Elías Báez
Elías Báez Defender
6.43
5
Stian Gregersen
Stian Gregersen Defender
6.38
4
Enea Mihaj
Enea Mihaj
Defender79'
6
Júnior Alonso
Júnior Alonso Defender
6.47
47
Matthew Edwards
Matthew Edwards Defender
6.48
2
Ronald Hernández
Ronald Hernández
Defender69'
8
Tristan Muyumba
Tristan Muyumba Midfielder
6.43
20
Luke Brennan
Luke Brennan
Midfielder59'
10
Miguel Almirón
Miguel Almirón (C) Midfielder
6.8
28
Will Reilly
Will Reilly Midfielder
6.53
48
Cooper Sanchez
Cooper Sanchez Midfielder
6.34
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
Aleksey Miranchuk Midfielder
6.58
22
Fafà Picault
Fafà Picault Attacker
6.53
30
Cayman Togashi
Cayman Togashi
Attacker79'

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Miguel Almirón
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Cody Baker → Matt Polster 
7th Substitution
79'
79'
Event
Enea Mihaj → Stian Gregersen
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Cayman Togashi → Fafà Picault
9th Substitution
Event
Wilson Harris
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
70'
69'
Event
Ronald Hernández → Matthew Edwards
6th Substitution
Event
Wilson Harris → Dor Turgeman
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Luca Langoni → Marcos Zambrano
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Griffin Yow → Peyton Miller
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Brooklyn Raines
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
67'
Event
Jackson Yueill → Alhassan Yusuf
2nd Substitution
59'
59'
Event
Luke Brennan → Tristan Muyumba
1st Substitution
Event
Peyton Miller
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
52'
Event
Will Reilly
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Dor Turgeman
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
36'
31'
Event
Matthew Edwards
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Alhassan Yusuf
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
20'
Event
Carles Gil 
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
11'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luke Brennan Head Shot Blocked
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Miguel Angel Almiron Rejala Left Footed Shot Saved
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luke Brennan Left Footed Shot Missed
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Will Sands Right Footed Shot Saved
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Miguel Angel Almiron Rejala Left Footed Shot Goal
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Miguel Angel Almiron Rejala 4-1，Assist：Aleksey Miranchuk
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Elias Baez Left Footed Shot Saved
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Aleksey Miranchuk Left Footed Shot Blocked
80
Update Update
On Cody Baker，Off Matt Polster
80
Update Update
On Cayman Togashi，Off Pabrice Picault
80
Update Update
On Enea Mihaj，Off Stian Gregersen
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Miguel Angel Almiron Rejala Left Footed Shot Missed
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
74
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Griffin Yow Right Footed Shot Saved
71
Corner Corner
Corner
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
69
Update Update
Offside
69
Update Update
On Griffin Yow，Off Peyton Miller
69
Update Update
On Ronald Hernandez，Off Matthew Edwards
69
Update Update
On Wilson Harris，Off Dor Turgeman
69
Update Update
On Luca Langoni，Off Marcos Zambrano
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Brooklyn Raines Left Footed Shot Goal
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Luca Langoni 4-0
60
Update Update
On Luke Brennan，Off Tristan Muyumba
59
Update Update
On Jackson Yueill，Off Alhassan Yusuf
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Peyton Miller Left Footed Shot Goal
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Peyton Miller 3-0
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Peyton Miller Left Footed Shot Missed
53
Update Update
Offside
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - William Reilly
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alhassan Yusuf Head Shot Missed
50
Corner Corner
Corner
47
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcos Zambrano Right Footed Shot Missed
43
Corner Corner
Corner
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Miguel Angel Almiron Rejala Left Footed Shot Saved
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Miguel Angel Almiron Rejala Left Footed Shot Post
40
Update Update
Offside
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Dor Turgeman Left Footed Shot Goal
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-0
36
Corner Corner
Corner
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tristan Muyumba Right Footed Shot Missed
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot - William Reilly Right Footed Shot Blocked
34
Corner Corner
Corner
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Matthew Edwards
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Elias Baez Left Footed Shot Blocked
26
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dor Turgeman Right Footed Shot Saved
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Carles Gil de Pareja Vicent Left Footed Shot Goal
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Carles Gil de Pareja Vicent 1-0，Assist：Matt Polster
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Carles Gil de Pareja Vicent 1-0
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
7
Corner Corner
Corner
7
Corner Corner
Corner
6
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Junior Alonso Head Shot Blocked
6
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：P. Lauziere

CONCLUSION

New England's 4-1 triumph over Atlanta United reflected superior execution and adherence to xG indicators throughout the contest. The home side's ability to maintain a two-goal cushion from halftime onward prevented any meaningful comeback while extending their advantage with additional second-half strikes. Possession figures favored the visitors yet failed to translate into comparable scoring chances, underscoring the gap in finishing quality. With the result fully consistent with underlying metrics and no disciplinary interruptions, the performance highlighted New England's status as the stronger side. This victory reinforces their current form and sets a positive tone for upcoming fixtures against similar opposition.