NEOM SC vs Al-Qadsiah preview
2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
NEOM SC hosted Al-Qadsiah in a league fixture that ended with a 0-2 away win. The halftime score stood at 0-1 after Al-Qadsiah opened the scoring. Al-Qadsiah entered as the stronger side and maintained control throughout despite holding 48 percent possession compared to the home side's 52 percent. Expected goals finished at 1.54 for NEOM SC and 1.61 for Al-Qadsiah, producing a narrow differential of negative 0.07. The result proved consistent with these underlying numbers. No red cards were shown to either team. The visitors converted their opportunities efficiently to secure the three points on the road.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Al-Qadsiah recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent from pre-match indicators.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both sides.
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xG alignment: The final outcome aligned closely with the expected goals figures of 1.54 to 1.61.
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Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with pre-match projections for the stronger side.
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xG expectations: Home expected goals reached 1.54 while away expected goals reached 1.61.
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Event impact: The first-half goal by the away side shaped the 0-2 final scoreline.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued, producing no distortion to match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
48.52
65.46
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
NEOM SC
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
NEOM SC
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
NEOM SC
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- NEO had peak pressure around 27'.
- QAD started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-25T00:01:01+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
NEOM SC
vs
Al Riyadh
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Fri, 28 Aug - 3:50 PM
Venue: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Qadsiah
vs
Al Faisaly
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sun, 30 Aug - 6:00 PM
Venue: Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam))




















































Match Commentary