NEOM SC vs Al-Qadsiah preview

Saudi Arabia flag 2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia
King Khalid Sport City Stadium
Pro League
Full Time
Round 3 Regular Season
|

CONTEXT

NEOM SC hosted Al-Qadsiah in a league fixture that ended with a 0-2 away win. The halftime score stood at 0-1 after Al-Qadsiah opened the scoring. Al-Qadsiah entered as the stronger side and maintained control throughout despite holding 48 percent possession compared to the home side's 52 percent. Expected goals finished at 1.54 for NEOM SC and 1.61 for Al-Qadsiah, producing a narrow differential of negative 0.07. The result proved consistent with these underlying numbers. No red cards were shown to either team. The visitors converted their opportunities efficiently to secure the three points on the road.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Al-Qadsiah recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome aligned closely with the expected goals figures of 1.54 to 1.61.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with pre-match projections for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Home expected goals reached 1.54 while away expected goals reached 1.61.
  • Event impact: The first-half goal by the away side shaped the 0-2 final scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued, producing no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Alblwi
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.08
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Al Faisaly Rank: 46 W
Al-Fayha Rank: 46 W
Al Ettifaq Rank: 53 D
Al Hilal Rank: 76 L
Al Shabab Rank: 46 W
Al Fateh Rank: 44 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Al Ittihad Rank: 59 L
Al Shabab Rank: 49 W
Al Ittihad Rank: 60 W
Al Hazm Rank: 41 W
Al-Fayha Rank: 43 W
Al Nassr Rank: 70 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.52
65.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
Power Score
48.52
65.46
League Position
7
5
Global Rank
898
368

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
NEOM SC Opponent-weighted form score
Al-Qadsiah Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NEOM SC Al-Qadsiah

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

NEOM SC

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Al-Qadsiah

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

NEOM SC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Al-Qadsiah
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.52
21.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.98
34.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
NEOM SC +1.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Al-Qadsiah -1.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NEOM SC
vs
Al-Qadsiah
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NEOM SC Al-Qadsiah
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
23%
64%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.35 vs -0.02
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NEOM SC Al-Qadsiah
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
64%
23%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.02 vs -0.35
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

NEOM SC
vs
Al-Qadsiah
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
NEOM SC Al-Qadsiah
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
NEOM SC Al-Qadsiah
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NEO had peak pressure around 27'.
  • QAD started the game with stronger pressure.
NEO Pressure QAD Pressure
Pressure Index: NEO reached the top pressure at 27' (97.66).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NEOM SC NEO Home
2 matches
Al-Qadsiah QAD Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
1
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-25T00:01:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-1-4-2

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
King Khalid Sport City Stadium
Capacity
1200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees

Statistics

Possession
NEO
53%
QAD
47%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 3
10 Shots 5
39 Dangerous attacks 31
52 Possession 48
2 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

51 Ball Safe 61
0 Penalties 1
5 Goal Kicks 13
10 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 4
18 Throwins 20
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Assists 1
21 Dribble Attempts 13
10 Successful Dribbles 5
48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

Attacking

53 Attacks 56
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

54 Long Passes 41
477 Passes 450
423 Successful Passes 378
89 Successful Passes Percentage 84
13 Key Passes 4
35 Successful Long Passes 15
65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

Defensive

1 Saves 5
15 Tackles 19
10 Interceptions 9
39 Duels Won 42

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 11
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 4
17 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Faisal Alblwi

Starting XI

1
Marcin Bulka
Marcin Bulka Goalkeeper
6.24
4
Khalifah Al-Dawsari
6.17
8
Faisal Al-Ghamdi
Faisal Al-Ghamdi
Midfielder61'
6.63
5
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr (C) Defender
7.3
19
Mohannad Abu Taha
6.92
44
Nathan Zézé
Nathan Zézé Defender
6.83
7
Georgios Masouras
Georgios Masouras Midfielder
6.46
27
Islam Hawsawi
Islam Hawsawi
Defender75'
6.89
15
Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari
6.44
2
Mohammed Al-Burayk
6.82
18
Alaa Hejji
Alaa Hejji Midfielder
6.72
91
Alexandre Lacazette
6.65
72
Amadou Koné
Amadou Koné Midfielder
7.11
70
Haroune Camara
Haroune Camara Attacker
6.26
77
Muhanad Al-Saad
Muhanad Al-Saad Attacker
6.47
14
Khalil Al-Absi
Khalil Al-Absi
Attacker61'
6.79
Referee : Faisal Alblwi

Starting XI

1
Koen Casteels
Koen Casteels Goalkeeper
7.93
4
Jehad Thakri
Jehad Thakri Defender
7.27
40
Ibrahim Mohannashi
Ibrahim Mohannashi
Midfielder77'
6.63
6
Nacho Fernández
7.17
17
Gastón Álvarez
Gastón Álvarez Defender
7.4
2
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
6.63
12
Yasser Al-Shahrani
6.37
5
Julian Weigl
Julian Weigl Midfielder
6.89
10
Musab Al-Juwayr
Musab Al-Juwayr Midfielder
6.42
7
Turki Al-Ammar
Turki Al-Ammar
Midfielder87'
6.43
14
Tijjani Reijnders
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder
7.41
22
Christopher Bonsu Baah
6.76
33
Julián Quiñones
6.61

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Turki Al-Ammar Musab Al-Juwayr
9th Substitution
77'
Event
Ibrahim Mohannashi Jehad Thakri
8th Substitution
Event
Mohammed Al-Burayk Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Islam Hawsawi Georgios Masouras
7th Substitution
75'
70'
Event
5th Substitution
Event
Khalil Al-Absi Muhanad Al-Saad
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Faisal Al-Ghamdi Khalifah Al-Dawsari
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Alexandre Lacazette Alaa Hejji
4th Substitution
61'
56'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
46'
Event
Yasser Al-Shahrani Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
29'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
20'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Tijani Reijnders takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Turki Al Ammar takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Update Update
Offside.
88
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Koné takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Update Update
Turki Al Ammar comes on for Musab Fahz Aljuwayr.
85
Update Update
Offside.
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Al-Burayk with his right foot, but it misses the target.
82
Attempt Attempt
Haroune Camara attempts a header but misses the shot.
81
Attempt Attempt
Julian Quinones takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Koné's left-footed shot is blocked.
79
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Mohannashi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Hamad Al Qahtani with his left foot is saved.
77
Substitution Substitution
Ibrahim Mohannashi is substituted for Jehad Thakri.
75
Update Update
Islam Hawsawi replaces Georgios Masouras.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mohammed Al-Burayk comes on for Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari.
74
Update Update
Offside.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Attempt Attempt
Georgios Masouras takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mohammed Hamad Al Qahtani comes on for Mateo Retegui.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Khalil Al-Absi comes on for Muhannad Al Saad.
61
Update Update
Alexandre Lacazette is on, and Ala Al-Hajji is off.
61
Update Update
Faisal Al-Ghamdi comes on for Khalifah Al-Dawsari.
58
Attempt Attempt
Ala Al-Hajji takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Mateo Retegui scores with a right-footed shot.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Mateo Retegui scores, making it 2-0.
50
Attempt Attempt
Muhannad Al Saad takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Update Update
Offside.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ala Al-Hajji.
46
Update Update
Yasir Al-Shahrani is on, and Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mohannad Abu Taha takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Musab Fahz Aljuwayr takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Update Update
Offside.
33
Attempt Attempt
Georgios Masouras takes a right-footed shot but misses.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Tijani Reijnders takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tijani Reijnders scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Gaston Alvarez.
27
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Koné takes a left-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Georgios Masouras takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Haroune Camara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Haroune Camara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Nathan Zeze takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gaston Alvarez receives a yellow card.
18
Attempt Attempt
Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari attempts a header but misses the shot.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Haroune Camara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Julian Quinones takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Faisal Alblwi.

CONCLUSION

Al-Qadsiah claimed a deserved 0-2 victory away at NEOM SC after leading 0-1 at the interval. The stronger team managed the game with composure and limited the hosts to minimal clear openings. Possession favored NEOM SC at 52 percent yet failed to translate into meaningful threat. Expected goals remained tightly contested and ultimately reflected the score. With no dismissals recorded the contest stayed balanced in personnel throughout. Al-Qadsiah's clinical finishing proved decisive in securing the points. The performance underlined their status as the more potent side on the day.